Bundesliga·Regular Season - 28·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 28·Predicted match statistics
Goals
41%
24%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.561.432.99safe0.60–2.530.57–2.281.17–4.81safer0.34–2.780.34–2.510.69–5.29
Shots on target
56%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.004.049.04safe3.14–6.872.29–5.785.44–12.65safer2.65–7.361.83–6.254.48–13.60
Total shots
73%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction15.1111.5026.61safe11.19–19.047.94–15.0619.13–34.10safer10.10–20.136.98–16.0217.08–36.15
Shots in box
60%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction9.327.8117.14safe6.38–12.265.13–10.5011.51–22.76safer5.55–13.094.40–11.239.95–24.33
Blocked shots
50%
15%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.943.467.40safe2.06–5.831.80–5.113.87–10.94safer1.52–6.371.31–5.602.83–11.97
Corners
59%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.534.289.81safe3.32–7.742.28–6.285.59–14.02safer2.74–8.321.74–6.814.49–15.13
Possession %
56%
40%
homeawayprediction52.0848.72safe45.29–58.8741.94–55.51safer43.62–60.5440.26–57.18
Passes
61%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction504472976safe437–572405–538842–1110safer419–590388–556807–1145
Pass accuracy %
49%
45%
homeawayprediction75.2474.85safe71.21–79.2770.52–79.17safer69.92–80.5669.21–80.48
Fouls
32%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9312.6823.61safe8.09–13.769.74–15.6317.83–29.39safer7.33–14.528.99–16.3816.32–30.90
Offsides
49%
21%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction2.161.683.84safe1.00–3.320.59–2.781.59–6.10safer0.70–3.620.30–3.061.00–6.69
Yellow cards
30%
20%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.672.193.86safe0.62–2.721.06–3.311.68–6.04safer0.36–2.990.77–3.611.12–6.60
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.100.20safe0.00–0.270.00–0.290.00–0.55safer0.00–0.420.00–0.420.00–0.83
GK saves
33%
17%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction2.623.195.80safe1.18–4.051.63–4.742.81–8.80safer0.79–4.441.21–5.172.00–9.61
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.56 0.60–2.53 0.34–2.78 | 1.43 0.57–2.28 0.34–2.51 | 2.99 1.17–4.81 0.69–5.29 | 41% 24% 35% |
| Shots on target | 5.00 3.14–6.87 2.65–7.36 | 4.04 2.29–5.78 1.83–6.25 | 9.04 5.44–12.65 4.48–13.60 | 56% 31% |
| Total shots | 15.11 11.19–19.04 10.10–20.13 | 11.50 7.94–15.06 6.98–16.02 | 26.61 19.13–34.10 17.08–36.15 | 73% 21% |
| Shots in box | 9.32 6.38–12.26 5.55–13.09 | 7.81 5.13–10.50 4.40–11.23 | 17.14 11.51–22.76 9.95–24.33 | 60% 31% |
| Blocked shots | 3.94 2.06–5.83 1.52–6.37 | 3.46 1.80–5.11 1.31–5.60 | 7.40 3.87–10.94 2.83–11.97 | 50% 15% 36% |
| Corners | 5.53 3.32–7.74 2.74–8.32 | 4.28 2.28–6.28 1.74–6.81 | 9.81 5.59–14.02 4.49–15.13 | 59% 29% |
| Possession % | 52.08 45.29–58.87 43.62–60.54 | 48.72 41.94–55.51 40.26–57.18 | — | 56% 40% |
| Passes | 504 437–572 419–590 | 472 405–538 388–556 | 976 842–1110 807–1145 | 61% 39% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.24 71.21–79.27 69.92–80.56 | 74.85 70.52–79.17 69.21–80.48 | — | 49% 45% |
| Fouls | 10.93 8.09–13.76 7.33–14.52 | 12.68 9.74–15.63 8.99–16.38 | 23.61 17.83–29.39 16.32–30.90 | 32% 60% |
| Offsides | 2.16 1.00–3.32 0.70–3.62 | 1.68 0.59–2.78 0.30–3.06 | 3.84 1.59–6.10 1.00–6.69 | 49% 21% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 1.67 0.62–2.72 0.36–2.99 | 2.19 1.06–3.31 0.77–3.61 | 3.86 1.68–6.04 1.12–6.60 | 30% 20% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.62 1.18–4.05 0.79–4.44 | 3.19 1.63–4.74 1.21–5.17 | 5.80 2.81–8.80 2.00–9.61 | 33% 17% 51% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.