Bundesliga·Regular Season - 28·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 28·Predicted match statistics
Goals
35%
22%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.631.833.46safe0.66–2.600.97–2.681.64–5.28safer0.41–2.850.74–2.911.16–5.76
Shots on target
35%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction5.065.8410.89safe3.19–6.924.09–7.587.29–14.50safer2.70–7.413.63–8.046.33–15.45
Total shots
45%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction14.9315.1730.10safe11.00–18.8511.61–18.7322.61–37.59safer9.91–19.9410.65–19.6920.56–39.64
Shots in box
37%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction9.6710.6120.28safe6.73–12.617.93–13.3014.66–25.91safer5.90–13.447.20–14.0313.09–27.47
Blocked shots
42%
14%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction4.194.238.43safe2.31–6.072.58–5.894.89–11.96safer1.77–6.622.09–6.383.85–13.00
Corners
37%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction4.945.4810.42safe2.73–7.163.48–7.486.20–14.63safer2.15–7.732.94–8.015.10–15.74
Possession %
31%
65%
homeawayprediction46.4353.98safe39.64–53.2247.20–60.77safer37.97–54.8945.52–62.44
Passes
29%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction420485905safe353–487419–552771–1039safer334–505401–569736–1074
Pass accuracy %
22%
74%
homeawayprediction69.7775.17safe65.74–73.8070.85–79.49safer64.45–75.0969.54–80.80
Fouls
46%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6911.6323.32safe8.85–14.538.69–14.5817.54–29.10safer8.10–15.287.94–15.3316.04–30.61
Offsides
37%
24%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.541.573.11safe0.38–2.700.48–2.670.86–5.37safer0.08–3.000.19–2.950.27–5.95
Yellow cards
34%
22%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.701.973.67safe0.65–2.750.84–3.101.49–5.85safer0.39–3.020.55–3.390.94–6.41
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.070.16safe0.00–0.260.00–0.260.00–0.51safer0.00–0.410.00–0.390.00–0.79
GK saves
50%
15%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.743.206.94safe2.30–5.171.64–4.763.94–9.93safer1.91–5.561.22–5.183.13–10.74
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.63 0.66–2.60 0.41–2.85 | 1.83 0.97–2.68 0.74–2.91 | 3.46 1.64–5.28 1.16–5.76 | 35% 22% 43% |
| Shots on target | 5.06 3.19–6.92 2.70–7.41 | 5.84 4.09–7.58 3.63–8.04 | 10.89 7.29–14.50 6.33–15.45 | 35% 53% |
| Total shots | 14.93 11.00–18.85 9.91–19.94 | 15.17 11.61–18.73 10.65–19.69 | 30.10 22.61–37.59 20.56–39.64 | 45% 48% |
| Shots in box | 9.67 6.73–12.61 5.90–13.44 | 10.61 7.93–13.30 7.20–14.03 | 20.28 14.66–25.91 13.09–27.47 | 37% 54% |
| Blocked shots | 4.19 2.31–6.07 1.77–6.62 | 4.23 2.58–5.89 2.09–6.38 | 8.43 4.89–11.96 3.85–13.00 | 42% 14% 44% |
| Corners | 4.94 2.73–7.16 2.15–7.73 | 5.48 3.48–7.48 2.94–8.01 | 10.42 6.20–14.63 5.10–15.74 | 37% 50% |
| Possession % | 46.43 39.64–53.22 37.97–54.89 | 53.98 47.20–60.77 45.52–62.44 | — | 31% 65% |
| Passes | 420 353–487 334–505 | 485 419–552 401–569 | 905 771–1039 736–1074 | 29% 71% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.77 65.74–73.80 64.45–75.09 | 75.17 70.85–79.49 69.54–80.80 | — | 22% 74% |
| Fouls | 11.69 8.85–14.53 8.10–15.28 | 11.63 8.69–14.58 7.94–15.33 | 23.32 17.54–29.10 16.04–30.61 | 46% 45% |
| Offsides | 1.54 0.38–2.70 0.08–3.00 | 1.57 0.48–2.67 0.19–2.95 | 3.11 0.86–5.37 0.27–5.95 | 37% 24% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.70 0.65–2.75 0.39–3.02 | 1.97 0.84–3.10 0.55–3.39 | 3.67 1.49–5.85 0.94–6.41 | 34% 22% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.74 2.30–5.17 1.91–5.56 | 3.20 1.64–4.76 1.22–5.18 | 6.94 3.94–9.93 3.13–10.74 | 50% 15% 34% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.