Bundesliga·Regular Season - 28·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 28·Predicted match statistics
Goals
27%
23%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.311.873.18safe0.34–2.281.02–2.731.36–5.01safer0.09–2.530.79–2.950.88–5.49
Shots on target
27%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction4.516.0010.51safe2.65–6.384.26–7.746.91–14.12safer2.16–6.873.79–8.215.95–15.07
Total shots
23%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction13.4316.9830.42safe9.51–17.3613.42–20.5522.93–37.90safer8.42–18.4512.46–21.5120.88–39.95
Shots in box
22%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction8.7811.7720.55safe5.83–11.729.09–14.4514.92–26.17safer5.00–12.558.35–15.1913.36–27.74
Blocked shots
28%
13%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction3.474.598.06safe1.59–5.362.94–6.244.53–11.60safer1.05–5.902.45–6.743.49–12.64
Corners
37%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction5.115.7010.80safe2.89–7.323.70–7.706.59–15.02safer2.32–7.893.16–8.235.48–16.12
Possession %
34%
61%
homeawayprediction47.5253.40safe40.73–54.3146.62–60.19safer39.06–55.9844.94–61.86
Passes
33%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction408459867safe341–475393–526733–1001safer323–493375–543698–1036
Pass accuracy %
89%
homeawayprediction63.2573.24safe59.22–67.2868.91–77.56safer57.92–68.5767.61–78.87
Fouls
29%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9913.1524.14safe8.16–13.8310.21–16.0918.36–29.93safer7.40–14.599.46–16.8416.86–31.43
Offsides
30%
21%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.622.093.71safe0.46–2.781.00–3.181.45–5.96safer0.15–3.080.71–3.470.86–6.55
Yellow cards
29%
22%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.512.003.52safe0.47–2.560.87–3.131.34–5.69safer0.20–2.830.58–3.420.78–6.25
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
54%
15%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction3.813.026.83safe2.38–5.251.46–4.573.84–9.82safer1.99–5.641.04–5.003.03–10.64
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.31 0.34–2.28 0.09–2.53 | 1.87 1.02–2.73 0.79–2.95 | 3.18 1.36–5.01 0.88–5.49 | 27% 23% 51% |
| Shots on target | 4.51 2.65–6.38 2.16–6.87 | 6.00 4.26–7.74 3.79–8.21 | 10.51 6.91–14.12 5.95–15.07 | 27% 62% |
| Total shots | 13.43 9.51–17.36 8.42–18.45 | 16.98 13.42–20.55 12.46–21.51 | 30.42 22.93–37.90 20.88–39.95 | 23% 71% |
| Shots in box | 8.78 5.83–11.72 5.00–12.55 | 11.77 9.09–14.45 8.35–15.19 | 20.55 14.92–26.17 13.36–27.74 | 22% 71% |
| Blocked shots | 3.47 1.59–5.36 1.05–5.90 | 4.59 2.94–6.24 2.45–6.74 | 8.06 4.53–11.60 3.49–12.64 | 28% 13% 58% |
| Corners | 5.11 2.89–7.32 2.32–7.89 | 5.70 3.70–7.70 3.16–8.23 | 10.80 6.59–15.02 5.48–16.12 | 37% 51% |
| Possession % | 47.52 40.73–54.31 39.06–55.98 | 53.40 46.62–60.19 44.94–61.86 | — | 34% 61% |
| Passes | 408 341–475 323–493 | 459 393–526 375–543 | 867 733–1001 698–1036 | 33% 66% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.25 59.22–67.28 57.92–68.57 | 73.24 68.91–77.56 67.61–78.87 | — | 89% |
| Fouls | 10.99 8.16–13.83 7.40–14.59 | 13.15 10.21–16.09 9.46–16.84 | 24.14 18.36–29.93 16.86–31.43 | 29% 63% |
| Offsides | 1.62 0.46–2.78 0.15–3.08 | 2.09 1.00–3.18 0.71–3.47 | 3.71 1.45–5.96 0.86–6.55 | 30% 21% 49% |
| Yellow cards | 1.51 0.47–2.56 0.20–2.83 | 2.00 0.87–3.13 0.58–3.42 | 3.52 1.34–5.69 0.78–6.25 | 29% 22% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.81 2.38–5.25 1.99–5.64 | 3.02 1.46–4.57 1.04–5.00 | 6.83 3.84–9.82 3.03–10.64 | 54% 15% 31% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.