Bundesliga·Regular Season - 28·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 28·Predicted match statistics
Goals
20%
22%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction1.071.953.02safe0.10–2.031.10–2.811.19–4.84safer0.00–2.290.87–3.030.72–5.32
Shots on target
18%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction3.625.929.54safe1.76–5.484.18–7.665.94–13.15safer1.27–5.973.71–8.134.98–14.10
Total shots
18%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5515.8927.44safe7.63–15.4812.33–19.4619.96–34.93safer6.54–16.5711.37–20.4217.91–36.98
Shots in box
85%
homeawaytotalprediction7.5512.7120.26safe4.61–10.5010.03–15.3914.64–25.89safer3.78–11.339.29–16.1313.07–27.45
Blocked shots
24%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction3.495.078.56safe1.61–5.373.42–6.735.03–12.10safer1.06–5.912.93–7.223.99–13.13
Corners
19%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction4.166.4410.60safe1.95–6.374.44–8.446.39–14.82safer1.37–6.953.91–8.975.28–15.92
Possession %
28%
67%
homeawayprediction45.9354.57safe39.14–52.7247.79–61.36safer37.47–54.3946.12–63.03
Passes
33%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction393447840safe326–461380–513707–974safer308–479363–531671–1010
Pass accuracy %
91%
homeawayprediction61.9272.70safe57.89–65.9568.37–77.02safer56.60–67.2467.06–78.33
Fouls
41%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9011.4622.36safe8.06–13.738.51–14.4016.57–28.14safer7.30–14.497.77–15.1515.07–29.64
Offsides
36%
22%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.711.873.58safe0.55–2.870.77–2.961.32–5.83safer0.25–3.170.48–3.250.73–6.42
Yellow cards
44%
23%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.811.573.38safe0.76–2.860.44–2.691.20–5.56safer0.50–3.130.15–2.990.64–6.11
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.090.21safe0.00–0.280.00–0.280.00–0.56safer0.00–0.430.00–0.410.00–0.84
GK saves
55%
16%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction3.382.555.92safe1.94–4.810.99–4.102.93–8.92safer1.55–5.200.57–4.532.12–9.73
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.07 0.10–2.03 0.00–2.29 | 1.95 1.10–2.81 0.87–3.03 | 3.02 1.19–4.84 0.72–5.32 | 20% 22% 58% |
| Shots on target | 3.62 1.76–5.48 1.27–5.97 | 5.92 4.18–7.66 3.71–8.13 | 9.54 5.94–13.15 4.98–14.10 | 18% 72% |
| Total shots | 11.55 7.63–15.48 6.54–16.57 | 15.89 12.33–19.46 11.37–20.42 | 27.44 19.96–34.93 17.91–36.98 | 18% 77% |
| Shots in box | 7.55 4.61–10.50 3.78–11.33 | 12.71 10.03–15.39 9.29–16.13 | 20.26 14.64–25.89 13.07–27.45 | 85% |
| Blocked shots | 3.49 1.61–5.37 1.06–5.91 | 5.07 3.42–6.73 2.93–7.22 | 8.56 5.03–12.10 3.99–13.13 | 24% 64% |
| Corners | 4.16 1.95–6.37 1.37–6.95 | 6.44 4.44–8.44 3.91–8.97 | 10.60 6.39–14.82 5.28–15.92 | 19% 71% |
| Possession % | 45.93 39.14–52.72 37.47–54.39 | 54.57 47.79–61.36 46.12–63.03 | — | 28% 67% |
| Passes | 393 326–461 308–479 | 447 380–513 363–531 | 840 707–974 671–1010 | 33% 67% |
| Pass accuracy % | 61.92 57.89–65.95 56.60–67.24 | 72.70 68.37–77.02 67.06–78.33 | — | 91% |
| Fouls | 10.90 8.06–13.73 7.30–14.49 | 11.46 8.51–14.40 7.77–15.15 | 22.36 16.57–28.14 15.07–29.64 | 41% 50% |
| Offsides | 1.71 0.55–2.87 0.25–3.17 | 1.87 0.77–2.96 0.48–3.25 | 3.58 1.32–5.83 0.73–6.42 | 36% 22% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 1.81 0.76–2.86 0.50–3.13 | 1.57 0.44–2.69 0.15–2.99 | 3.38 1.20–5.56 0.64–6.11 | 44% 23% 34% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 3.38 1.94–4.81 1.55–5.20 | 2.55 0.99–4.10 0.57–4.53 | 5.92 2.93–8.92 2.12–9.73 | 55% 16% 29% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+