Bundesliga·Regular Season - 28·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 28·Predicted match statistics
Goals
32%
23%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.521.823.34safe0.55–2.490.97–2.681.52–5.16safer0.30–2.740.74–2.911.04–5.64
Shots on target
37%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction4.885.3910.27safe3.02–6.743.65–7.146.67–13.88safer2.53–7.233.19–7.605.71–14.83
Total shots
39%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction13.6614.7128.36safe9.73–17.5811.14–18.2720.88–35.85safer8.64–18.6710.18–19.2318.82–37.90
Shots in box
33%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction8.8010.1718.97safe5.86–11.747.49–12.8513.35–24.59safer5.03–12.576.75–13.5911.78–26.16
Blocked shots
46%
14%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction4.103.908.00safe2.22–5.982.24–5.554.46–11.53safer1.67–6.531.75–6.043.43–12.57
Corners
41%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction4.815.069.87safe2.60–7.033.06–7.065.66–14.08safer2.03–7.602.52–7.594.55–15.19
Possession %
35%
60%
homeawayprediction47.4652.85safe40.67–54.2546.06–59.63safer39.00–55.9244.39–61.30
Passes
36%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction449493942safe382–517426–559808–1076safer364–535409–577773–1111
Pass accuracy %
18%
79%
homeawayprediction68.0174.73safe63.98–72.0470.40–79.05safer62.68–73.3369.09–80.36
Fouls
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4811.5023.99safe9.64–15.328.56–14.4518.20–29.77safer8.89–16.087.81–15.2016.70–31.27
Offsides
38%
25%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.471.462.93safe0.31–2.630.36–2.550.68–5.18safer0.01–2.930.08–2.840.09–5.77
Yellow cards
38%
22%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.831.873.70safe0.78–2.880.74–3.001.52–5.88safer0.51–3.150.45–3.290.96–6.43
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.110.18safe0.00–0.240.00–0.290.00–0.53safer0.00–0.390.00–0.430.00–0.81
GK saves
46%
15%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.623.387.00safe2.19–5.061.82–4.944.01–9.99safer1.80–5.451.40–5.363.20–10.81
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.52 0.55–2.49 0.30–2.74 | 1.82 0.97–2.68 0.74–2.91 | 3.34 1.52–5.16 1.04–5.64 | 32% 23% 45% |
| Shots on target | 4.88 3.02–6.74 2.53–7.23 | 5.39 3.65–7.14 3.19–7.60 | 10.27 6.67–13.88 5.71–14.83 | 37% 50% |
| Total shots | 13.66 9.73–17.58 8.64–18.67 | 14.71 11.14–18.27 10.18–19.23 | 28.36 20.88–35.85 18.82–37.90 | 39% 54% |
| Shots in box | 8.80 5.86–11.74 5.03–12.57 | 10.17 7.49–12.85 6.75–13.59 | 18.97 13.35–24.59 11.78–26.16 | 33% 58% |
| Blocked shots | 4.10 2.22–5.98 1.67–6.53 | 3.90 2.24–5.55 1.75–6.04 | 8.00 4.46–11.53 3.43–12.57 | 46% 14% 40% |
| Corners | 4.81 2.60–7.03 2.03–7.60 | 5.06 3.06–7.06 2.52–7.59 | 9.87 5.66–14.08 4.55–15.19 | 41% 47% |
| Possession % | 47.46 40.67–54.25 39.00–55.92 | 52.85 46.06–59.63 44.39–61.30 | — | 35% 60% |
| Passes | 449 382–517 364–535 | 493 426–559 409–577 | 942 808–1076 773–1111 | 36% 64% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.01 63.98–72.04 62.68–73.33 | 74.73 70.40–79.05 69.09–80.36 | — | 18% 79% |
| Fouls | 12.48 9.64–15.32 8.89–16.08 | 11.50 8.56–14.45 7.81–15.20 | 23.99 18.20–29.77 16.70–31.27 | 54% 38% |
| Offsides | 1.47 0.31–2.63 0.01–2.93 | 1.46 0.36–2.55 0.08–2.84 | 2.93 0.68–5.18 0.09–5.77 | 38% 25% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.83 0.78–2.88 0.51–3.15 | 1.87 0.74–3.00 0.45–3.29 | 3.70 1.52–5.88 0.96–6.43 | 38% 22% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.62 2.19–5.06 1.80–5.45 | 3.38 1.82–4.94 1.40–5.36 | 7.00 4.01–9.99 3.20–10.81 | 46% 15% 39% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.