Bundesliga·Regular Season - 28·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 28·Predicted match statistics
Goals
49%
22%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.891.383.27safe0.92–2.860.53–2.241.45–5.09safer0.67–3.110.30–2.460.97–5.57
Shots on target
53%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction5.364.629.98safe3.50–7.222.88–6.366.37–13.59safer3.01–7.712.41–6.835.42–14.54
Total shots
62%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction15.7013.5029.20safe11.78–19.639.93–17.0621.71–36.69safer10.69–20.728.98–18.0219.66–38.74
Shots in box
64%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction11.038.8919.92safe8.09–13.976.21–11.5714.30–25.54safer7.26–14.805.47–12.3112.73–27.11
Blocked shots
58%
13%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction4.593.548.12safe2.71–6.471.88–5.194.59–11.66safer2.16–7.011.39–5.683.55–12.69
Corners
49%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction5.695.3010.99safe3.48–7.903.30–7.306.78–15.20safer2.90–8.482.77–7.835.67–16.31
Possession %
39%
56%
homeawayprediction48.4252.04safe41.63–55.2145.26–58.83safer39.96–56.8843.58–60.50
Passes
43%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction451471922safe384–518405–538789–1056safer366–537387–555753–1092
Pass accuracy %
23%
73%
homeawayprediction66.1771.38safe62.14–70.2067.05–75.70safer60.85–71.4965.75–77.01
Fouls
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8811.7422.62safe8.04–13.718.80–14.6916.84–28.40safer7.28–14.478.05–15.4415.33–29.90
Offsides
43%
21%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction2.091.934.02safe0.93–3.250.83–3.021.77–6.27safer0.63–3.550.55–3.311.18–6.86
Yellow cards
28%
21%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.572.183.75safe0.52–2.621.05–3.311.57–5.93safer0.26–2.890.76–3.601.01–6.49
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.110.18safe0.00–0.220.00–0.300.00–0.53safer0.00–0.370.00–0.430.00–0.81
GK saves
34%
15%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction3.233.827.05safe1.79–4.672.26–5.374.06–10.04safer1.41–5.051.84–5.803.24–10.85
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.89 0.92–2.86 0.67–3.11 | 1.38 0.53–2.24 0.30–2.46 | 3.27 1.45–5.09 0.97–5.57 | 49% 22% 28% |
| Shots on target | 5.36 3.50–7.22 3.01–7.71 | 4.62 2.88–6.36 2.41–6.83 | 9.98 6.37–13.59 5.42–14.54 | 53% 35% |
| Total shots | 15.70 11.78–19.63 10.69–20.72 | 13.50 9.93–17.06 8.98–18.02 | 29.20 21.71–36.69 19.66–38.74 | 62% 31% |
| Shots in box | 11.03 8.09–13.97 7.26–14.80 | 8.89 6.21–11.57 5.47–12.31 | 19.92 14.30–25.54 12.73–27.11 | 64% 28% |
| Blocked shots | 4.59 2.71–6.47 2.16–7.01 | 3.54 1.88–5.19 1.39–5.68 | 8.12 4.59–11.66 3.55–12.69 | 58% 13% 29% |
| Corners | 5.69 3.48–7.90 2.90–8.48 | 5.30 3.30–7.30 2.77–7.83 | 10.99 6.78–15.20 5.67–16.31 | 49% 39% |
| Possession % | 48.42 41.63–55.21 39.96–56.88 | 52.04 45.26–58.83 43.58–60.50 | — | 39% 56% |
| Passes | 451 384–518 366–537 | 471 405–538 387–555 | 922 789–1056 753–1092 | 43% 56% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.17 62.14–70.20 60.85–71.49 | 71.38 67.05–75.70 65.75–77.01 | — | 23% 73% |
| Fouls | 10.88 8.04–13.71 7.28–14.47 | 11.74 8.80–14.69 8.05–15.44 | 22.62 16.84–28.40 15.33–29.90 | 39% 53% |
| Offsides | 2.09 0.93–3.25 0.63–3.55 | 1.93 0.83–3.02 0.55–3.31 | 4.02 1.77–6.27 1.18–6.86 | 43% 21% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.57 0.52–2.62 0.26–2.89 | 2.18 1.05–3.31 0.76–3.60 | 3.75 1.57–5.93 1.01–6.49 | 28% 21% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.23 1.79–4.67 1.41–5.05 | 3.82 2.26–5.37 1.84–5.80 | 7.05 4.06–10.04 3.24–10.85 | 34% 15% 51% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+