Bundesliga·Regular Season - 28·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 28·Predicted match statistics
Goals
40%
23%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.641.583.23safe0.67–2.610.73–2.441.40–5.05safer0.42–2.860.50–2.670.92–5.53
Shots on target
40%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction5.095.3810.47safe3.23–6.963.64–7.126.87–14.08safer2.74–7.453.17–7.595.91–15.03
Total shots
52%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction16.2115.3731.58safe12.29–20.1411.80–18.9324.09–39.06safer11.20–21.2310.84–19.8922.04–41.11
Shots in box
43%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction9.8110.1419.95safe6.87–12.757.46–12.8214.33–25.57safer6.04–13.586.72–13.5612.76–27.14
Blocked shots
47%
14%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction4.334.068.40safe2.45–6.222.41–5.714.86–11.93safer1.91–6.761.92–6.213.83–12.97
Corners
44%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction5.345.2910.63safe3.13–7.553.29–7.296.41–14.84safer2.55–8.132.75–7.825.31–15.95
Possession %
62%
33%
homeawayprediction53.3747.09safe46.58–60.1640.30–53.87safer44.91–61.8338.63–55.55
Passes
70%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction504440945safe437–572374–507811–1078safer419–590356–524775–1114
Pass accuracy %
41%
54%
homeawayprediction71.3772.61safe67.34–75.4068.29–76.94safer66.04–76.6966.98–78.25
Fouls
41%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2910.8221.11safe7.45–13.137.87–13.7615.33–26.89safer6.70–13.897.12–14.5113.82–28.40
Offsides
29%
21%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.582.133.71safe0.42–2.741.03–3.221.45–5.96safer0.12–3.040.74–3.510.86–6.55
Yellow cards
27%
22%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.331.893.23safe0.28–2.380.77–3.021.05–5.41safer0.02–2.650.47–3.320.49–5.96
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.100.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.420.00–0.77
GK saves
46%
16%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.463.226.68safe2.03–4.901.66–4.773.69–9.67safer1.64–5.291.23–5.202.88–10.48
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.64 0.67–2.61 0.42–2.86 | 1.58 0.73–2.44 0.50–2.67 | 3.23 1.40–5.05 0.92–5.53 | 40% 23% 37% |
| Shots on target | 5.09 3.23–6.96 2.74–7.45 | 5.38 3.64–7.12 3.17–7.59 | 10.47 6.87–14.08 5.91–15.03 | 40% 47% |
| Total shots | 16.21 12.29–20.14 11.20–21.23 | 15.37 11.80–18.93 10.84–19.89 | 31.58 24.09–39.06 22.04–41.11 | 52% 41% |
| Shots in box | 9.81 6.87–12.75 6.04–13.58 | 10.14 7.46–12.82 6.72–13.56 | 19.95 14.33–25.57 12.76–27.14 | 43% 48% |
| Blocked shots | 4.33 2.45–6.22 1.91–6.76 | 4.06 2.41–5.71 1.92–6.21 | 8.40 4.86–11.93 3.83–12.97 | 47% 14% 39% |
| Corners | 5.34 3.13–7.55 2.55–8.13 | 5.29 3.29–7.29 2.75–7.82 | 10.63 6.41–14.84 5.31–15.95 | 44% 43% |
| Possession % | 53.37 46.58–60.16 44.91–61.83 | 47.09 40.30–53.87 38.63–55.55 | — | 62% 33% |
| Passes | 504 437–572 419–590 | 440 374–507 356–524 | 945 811–1078 775–1114 | 70% 30% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.37 67.34–75.40 66.04–76.69 | 72.61 68.29–76.94 66.98–78.25 | — | 41% 54% |
| Fouls | 10.29 7.45–13.13 6.70–13.89 | 10.82 7.87–13.76 7.12–14.51 | 21.11 15.33–26.89 13.82–28.40 | 41% 50% |
| Offsides | 1.58 0.42–2.74 0.12–3.04 | 2.13 1.03–3.22 0.74–3.51 | 3.71 1.45–5.96 0.86–6.55 | 29% 21% 50% |
| Yellow cards | 1.33 0.28–2.38 0.02–2.65 | 1.89 0.77–3.02 0.47–3.32 | 3.23 1.05–5.41 0.49–5.96 | 27% 22% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.46 2.03–4.90 1.64–5.29 | 3.22 1.66–4.77 1.23–5.20 | 6.68 3.69–9.67 2.88–10.48 | 46% 16% 38% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.