Bundesliga·Regular Season - 29·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 29·Predicted match statistics
Goals
79%
homeawaytotalprediction2.850.813.66safe1.88–3.820.00–1.661.83–5.48safer1.63–4.070.00–1.891.35–5.96
Shots on target
90%
homeawaytotalprediction7.412.9510.36safe5.55–9.271.21–4.696.75–13.96safer5.06–9.760.74–5.165.80–14.92
Total shots
98%
homeawaytotalprediction18.908.2927.19safe14.98–22.824.73–11.8519.70–34.68safer13.88–23.923.77–12.8117.65–36.73
Shots in box
96%
homeawaytotalprediction14.205.9120.11safe11.26–17.143.23–8.5914.49–25.74safer10.43–17.972.49–9.3312.92–27.30
Blocked shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction5.472.347.81safe3.59–7.350.69–4.004.28–11.35safer3.04–7.890.20–4.493.24–12.38
Corners
89%
homeawaytotalprediction7.633.1310.76safe5.42–9.841.13–5.136.55–14.98safer4.84–10.420.60–5.665.44–16.08
Possession %
92%
homeawayprediction62.1337.31safe55.34–68.9230.52–44.09safer53.67–70.5928.85–45.76
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction613360973safe546–680294–427839–1107safer527–698276–444804–1142
Pass accuracy %
88%
homeawayprediction78.0768.64safe74.04–82.1064.32–72.97safer72.75–83.3963.01–74.28
Fouls
42%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction9.489.8919.37safe6.65–12.326.94–12.8313.59–25.15safer5.89–13.086.19–13.5812.08–26.66
Offsides
43%
19%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction2.312.164.47safe1.15–3.471.06–3.252.21–6.72safer0.85–3.770.77–3.541.62–7.31
Yellow cards
26%
25%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.081.562.64safe0.03–2.130.43–2.690.46–4.82safer0.00–2.390.14–2.980.00–5.38
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.110.15safe0.00–0.200.00–0.300.00–0.50safer0.00–0.350.00–0.430.00–0.78
GK saves
13%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction2.114.406.51safe0.68–3.552.85–5.963.52–9.51safer0.29–3.942.42–6.382.71–10.32
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.85 1.88–3.82 1.63–4.07 | 0.81 0.00–1.66 0.00–1.89 | 3.66 1.83–5.48 1.35–5.96 | 79% |
| Shots on target | 7.41 5.55–9.27 5.06–9.76 | 2.95 1.21–4.69 0.74–5.16 | 10.36 6.75–13.96 5.80–14.92 | 90% |
| Total shots | 18.90 14.98–22.82 13.88–23.92 | 8.29 4.73–11.85 3.77–12.81 | 27.19 19.70–34.68 17.65–36.73 | 98% |
| Shots in box | 14.20 11.26–17.14 10.43–17.97 | 5.91 3.23–8.59 2.49–9.33 | 20.11 14.49–25.74 12.92–27.30 | 96% |
| Blocked shots | 5.47 3.59–7.35 3.04–7.89 | 2.34 0.69–4.00 0.20–4.49 | 7.81 4.28–11.35 3.24–12.38 | 83% |
| Corners | 7.63 5.42–9.84 4.84–10.42 | 3.13 1.13–5.13 0.60–5.66 | 10.76 6.55–14.98 5.44–16.08 | 89% |
| Possession % | 62.13 55.34–68.92 53.67–70.59 | 37.31 30.52–44.09 28.85–45.76 | — | 92% |
| Passes | 613 546–680 527–698 | 360 294–427 276–444 | 973 839–1107 804–1142 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.07 74.04–82.10 72.75–83.39 | 68.64 64.32–72.97 63.01–74.28 | — | 88% |
| Fouls | 9.48 6.65–12.32 5.89–13.08 | 9.89 6.94–12.83 6.19–13.58 | 19.37 13.59–25.15 12.08–26.66 | 42% 49% |
| Offsides | 2.31 1.15–3.47 0.85–3.77 | 2.16 1.06–3.25 0.77–3.54 | 4.47 2.21–6.72 1.62–7.31 | 43% 19% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.08 0.03–2.13 0.00–2.39 | 1.56 0.43–2.69 0.14–2.98 | 2.64 0.46–4.82 0.00–5.38 | 26% 25% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.11 0.68–3.55 0.29–3.94 | 4.40 2.85–5.96 2.42–6.38 | 6.51 3.52–9.51 2.71–10.32 | 13% 76% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.