Bundesliga·Regular Season - 29·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 29·Predicted match statistics
Goals
64%
18%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction2.481.263.74safe1.51–3.450.40–2.111.92–5.56safer1.26–3.700.17–2.341.44–6.04
Shots on target
80%
homeawaytotalprediction7.604.2311.83safe5.74–9.462.49–5.978.22–15.43safer5.25–9.952.02–6.447.27–16.39
Total shots
96%
homeawaytotalprediction22.3211.6834.00safe18.39–26.248.12–15.2526.51–41.49safer17.30–27.337.16–16.2124.46–43.54
Shots in box
90%
homeawaytotalprediction14.858.3623.21safe11.91–17.795.68–11.0417.59–28.83safer11.08–18.624.94–11.7816.02–30.40
Blocked shots
74%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction5.663.268.92safe3.78–7.541.61–4.915.38–12.46safer3.23–8.091.11–5.414.35–13.49
Corners
84%
homeawaytotalprediction7.603.8011.40safe5.39–9.821.80–5.807.19–15.61safer4.82–10.391.26–6.336.08–16.72
Possession %
79%
18%
homeawayprediction57.8443.13safe51.05–64.6336.35–49.92safer49.38–66.3034.68–51.59
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction570412982safe503–637345–478848–1116safer485–655328–496813–1151
Pass accuracy %
62%
33%
homeawayprediction75.1472.32safe71.11–79.1768.00–76.64safer69.81–80.4666.69–77.95
Fouls
43%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6510.9121.56safe7.81–13.497.97–13.8615.78–27.34safer7.05–14.247.22–14.6114.27–28.85
Offsides
62%
19%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction2.431.313.73safe1.27–3.590.21–2.401.48–5.99safer0.97–3.890.00–2.690.89–6.58
Yellow cards
27%
24%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.191.672.86safe0.14–2.240.54–2.800.68–5.04safer0.00–2.510.25–3.090.13–5.60
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
16%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction2.664.797.45safe1.22–4.093.23–6.344.45–10.44safer0.83–4.482.81–6.773.64–11.25
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.48 1.51–3.45 1.26–3.70 | 1.26 0.40–2.11 0.17–2.34 | 3.74 1.92–5.56 1.44–6.04 | 64% 18% 18% |
| Shots on target | 7.60 5.74–9.46 5.25–9.95 | 4.23 2.49–5.97 2.02–6.44 | 11.83 8.22–15.43 7.27–16.39 | 80% |
| Total shots | 22.32 18.39–26.24 17.30–27.33 | 11.68 8.12–15.25 7.16–16.21 | 34.00 26.51–41.49 24.46–43.54 | 96% |
| Shots in box | 14.85 11.91–17.79 11.08–18.62 | 8.36 5.68–11.04 4.94–11.78 | 23.21 17.59–28.83 16.02–30.40 | 90% |
| Blocked shots | 5.66 3.78–7.54 3.23–8.09 | 3.26 1.61–4.91 1.11–5.41 | 8.92 5.38–12.46 4.35–13.49 | 74% 16% |
| Corners | 7.60 5.39–9.82 4.82–10.39 | 3.80 1.80–5.80 1.26–6.33 | 11.40 7.19–15.61 6.08–16.72 | 84% |
| Possession % | 57.84 51.05–64.63 49.38–66.30 | 43.13 36.35–49.92 34.68–51.59 | — | 79% 18% |
| Passes | 570 503–637 485–655 | 412 345–478 328–496 | 982 848–1116 813–1151 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.14 71.11–79.17 69.81–80.46 | 72.32 68.00–76.64 66.69–77.95 | — | 62% 33% |
| Fouls | 10.65 7.81–13.49 7.05–14.24 | 10.91 7.97–13.86 7.22–14.61 | 21.56 15.78–27.34 14.27–28.85 | 43% 48% |
| Offsides | 2.43 1.27–3.59 0.97–3.89 | 1.31 0.21–2.40 0.00–2.69 | 3.73 1.48–5.99 0.89–6.58 | 62% 19% 19% |
| Yellow cards | 1.19 0.14–2.24 0.00–2.51 | 1.67 0.54–2.80 0.25–3.09 | 2.86 0.68–5.04 0.13–5.60 | 27% 24% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.66 1.22–4.09 0.83–4.48 | 4.79 3.23–6.34 2.81–6.77 | 7.45 4.45–10.44 3.64–11.25 | 16% 72% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.