Bundesliga·Regular Season - 29·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 29·Predicted match statistics
Goals
33%
24%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.431.673.10safe0.46–2.400.82–2.531.28–4.92safer0.21–2.650.59–2.760.80–5.40
Shots on target
44%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction4.894.899.78safe3.03–6.753.15–6.636.17–13.38safer2.54–7.242.68–7.105.22–14.34
Total shots
65%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction15.2312.7027.93safe11.31–19.169.13–16.2620.44–35.41safer10.21–20.258.17–17.2218.39–37.46
Shots in box
61%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction10.488.7719.25safe7.54–13.426.09–11.4513.63–24.87safer6.71–14.255.35–12.1912.06–26.44
Blocked shots
57%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction4.863.808.66safe2.98–6.742.15–5.465.13–12.20safer2.43–7.291.66–5.954.09–13.23
Corners
52%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction5.184.499.67safe2.97–7.392.49–6.495.45–13.88safer2.39–7.971.95–7.024.35–14.99
Possession %
60%
36%
homeawayprediction52.8747.77safe46.08–59.6640.98–54.55safer44.41–61.3339.31–56.23
Passes
63%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction453413866safe386–521346–479732–1000safer368–539329–497697–1035
Pass accuracy %
56%
39%
homeawayprediction73.0771.49safe69.04–77.1067.17–75.81safer67.74–78.3965.86–77.12
Fouls
70%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction13.6110.4924.10safe10.77–16.457.55–13.4418.32–29.88safer10.02–17.206.80–14.1916.82–31.39
Offsides
46%
23%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.751.403.15safe0.59–2.910.31–2.490.89–5.40safer0.29–3.210.02–2.780.31–5.99
Yellow cards
40%
22%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.851.783.63safe0.80–2.900.65–2.911.45–5.81safer0.53–3.160.36–3.200.90–6.37
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.17safe0.00–0.250.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.400.00–0.400.00–0.80
GK saves
39%
16%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction3.253.446.68safe1.81–4.681.88–5.003.69–9.68safer1.42–5.071.46–5.422.88–10.49
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.43 0.46–2.40 0.21–2.65 | 1.67 0.82–2.53 0.59–2.76 | 3.10 1.28–4.92 0.80–5.40 | 33% 24% 44% |
| Shots on target | 4.89 3.03–6.75 2.54–7.24 | 4.89 3.15–6.63 2.68–7.10 | 9.78 6.17–13.38 5.22–14.34 | 44% 44% |
| Total shots | 15.23 11.31–19.16 10.21–20.25 | 12.70 9.13–16.26 8.17–17.22 | 27.93 20.44–35.41 18.39–37.46 | 65% 28% |
| Shots in box | 10.48 7.54–13.42 6.71–14.25 | 8.77 6.09–11.45 5.35–12.19 | 19.25 13.63–24.87 12.06–26.44 | 61% 31% |
| Blocked shots | 4.86 2.98–6.74 2.43–7.29 | 3.80 2.15–5.46 1.66–5.95 | 8.66 5.13–12.20 4.09–13.23 | 57% 30% |
| Corners | 5.18 2.97–7.39 2.39–7.97 | 4.49 2.49–6.49 1.95–7.02 | 9.67 5.45–13.88 4.35–14.99 | 52% 35% |
| Possession % | 52.87 46.08–59.66 44.41–61.33 | 47.77 40.98–54.55 39.31–56.23 | — | 60% 36% |
| Passes | 453 386–521 368–539 | 413 346–479 329–497 | 866 732–1000 697–1035 | 63% 37% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.07 69.04–77.10 67.74–78.39 | 71.49 67.17–75.81 65.86–77.12 | — | 56% 39% |
| Fouls | 13.61 10.77–16.45 10.02–17.20 | 10.49 7.55–13.44 6.80–14.19 | 24.10 18.32–29.88 16.82–31.39 | 70% 23% |
| Offsides | 1.75 0.59–2.91 0.29–3.21 | 1.40 0.31–2.49 0.02–2.78 | 3.15 0.89–5.40 0.31–5.99 | 46% 23% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.85 0.80–2.90 0.53–3.16 | 1.78 0.65–2.91 0.36–3.20 | 3.63 1.45–5.81 0.90–6.37 | 40% 22% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.25 1.81–4.68 1.42–5.07 | 3.44 1.88–5.00 1.46–5.42 | 6.68 3.69–9.68 2.88–10.49 | 39% 16% 45% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.