Bundesliga·Regular Season - 29·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 29·Predicted match statistics
Goals
45%
24%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.671.343.01safe0.70–2.640.49–2.201.19–4.83safer0.45–2.890.26–2.420.71–5.31
Shots on target
53%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction5.124.409.52safe3.26–6.992.66–6.145.92–13.13safer2.77–7.482.19–6.614.96–14.08
Total shots
66%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction15.1312.4527.58safe11.21–19.058.89–16.0120.09–35.07safer10.11–20.157.93–16.9718.04–37.12
Shots in box
71%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction11.008.0619.06safe8.06–13.945.38–10.7413.44–24.68safer7.23–14.774.64–11.4811.87–26.25
Blocked shots
35%
14%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction3.724.267.98safe1.84–5.602.61–5.914.45–11.52safer1.29–6.152.12–6.413.41–12.55
Corners
53%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction5.644.8810.52safe3.43–7.862.88–6.886.31–14.73safer2.86–8.432.34–7.415.20–15.84
Possession %
23%
74%
homeawayprediction44.9956.65safe38.20–51.7849.86–63.43safer36.53–53.4548.19–65.10
Passes
20%
80%
homeawaytotalprediction403504907safe336–470437–570773–1040safer318–488420–588737–1076
Pass accuracy %
19%
78%
homeawayprediction69.2475.66safe65.21–73.2771.33–79.98safer63.92–74.5770.02–81.29
Fouls
59%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6710.1121.79safe8.84–14.517.17–13.0616.00–27.57safer8.08–15.276.42–13.8014.50–29.07
Offsides
68%
16%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.821.354.18safe1.66–3.980.26–2.451.93–6.43safer1.36–4.290.00–2.741.34–7.02
Yellow cards
38%
22%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.811.893.70safe0.77–2.860.76–3.021.53–5.88safer0.50–3.130.47–3.310.97–6.44
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
36%
16%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction2.873.226.10safe1.44–4.311.67–4.783.11–9.09safer1.05–4.701.24–5.212.29–9.90
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.67 0.70–2.64 0.45–2.89 | 1.34 0.49–2.20 0.26–2.42 | 3.01 1.19–4.83 0.71–5.31 | 45% 24% 31% |
| Shots on target | 5.12 3.26–6.99 2.77–7.48 | 4.40 2.66–6.14 2.19–6.61 | 9.52 5.92–13.13 4.96–14.08 | 53% 34% |
| Total shots | 15.13 11.21–19.05 10.11–20.15 | 12.45 8.89–16.01 7.93–16.97 | 27.58 20.09–35.07 18.04–37.12 | 66% 27% |
| Shots in box | 11.00 8.06–13.94 7.23–14.77 | 8.06 5.38–10.74 4.64–11.48 | 19.06 13.44–24.68 11.87–26.25 | 71% 21% |
| Blocked shots | 3.72 1.84–5.60 1.29–6.15 | 4.26 2.61–5.91 2.12–6.41 | 7.98 4.45–11.52 3.41–12.55 | 35% 14% 50% |
| Corners | 5.64 3.43–7.86 2.86–8.43 | 4.88 2.88–6.88 2.34–7.41 | 10.52 6.31–14.73 5.20–15.84 | 53% 35% |
| Possession % | 44.99 38.20–51.78 36.53–53.45 | 56.65 49.86–63.43 48.19–65.10 | — | 23% 74% |
| Passes | 403 336–470 318–488 | 504 437–570 420–588 | 907 773–1040 737–1076 | 20% 80% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.24 65.21–73.27 63.92–74.57 | 75.66 71.33–79.98 70.02–81.29 | — | 19% 78% |
| Fouls | 11.67 8.84–14.51 8.08–15.27 | 10.11 7.17–13.06 6.42–13.80 | 21.79 16.00–27.57 14.50–29.07 | 59% 33% |
| Offsides | 2.82 1.66–3.98 1.36–4.29 | 1.35 0.26–2.45 0.00–2.74 | 4.18 1.93–6.43 1.34–7.02 | 68% 16% 16% |
| Yellow cards | 1.81 0.77–2.86 0.50–3.13 | 1.89 0.76–3.02 0.47–3.31 | 3.70 1.53–5.88 0.97–6.44 | 38% 22% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.87 1.44–4.31 1.05–4.70 | 3.22 1.67–4.78 1.24–5.21 | 6.10 3.11–9.09 2.29–9.90 | 36% 16% 47% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+