Bundesliga·Regular Season - 29·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 29·Predicted match statistics
Goals
16%
19%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction1.052.293.34safe0.08–2.011.44–3.141.51–5.16safer0.00–2.271.21–3.371.03–5.64
Shots on target
82%
homeawaytotalprediction3.516.9310.44safe1.65–5.385.18–8.676.83–14.04safer1.16–5.874.72–9.135.88–15.00
Total shots
88%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9417.6428.57safe7.01–14.8614.08–21.2021.09–36.06safer5.92–15.9513.12–22.1619.04–38.11
Shots in box
85%
homeawaytotalprediction7.0012.0419.05safe4.06–9.959.36–14.7213.42–24.67safer3.23–10.788.62–15.4611.86–26.24
Blocked shots
19%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction2.974.887.85safe1.09–4.853.23–6.544.32–11.39safer0.55–5.402.74–7.033.28–12.42
Corners
17%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction3.786.2710.05safe1.56–5.994.27–8.275.84–14.26safer0.99–6.563.74–8.814.73–15.37
Possession %
88%
homeawayprediction39.4760.68safe32.68–46.2653.90–67.47safer31.01–47.9352.23–69.14
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction382578959safe314–449511–644826–1093safer296–467494–662790–1129
Pass accuracy %
95%
homeawayprediction67.1080.00safe63.07–71.1375.68–84.32safer61.78–72.4274.37–85.63
Fouls
67%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction13.9611.2025.16safe11.12–16.808.26–14.1519.38–30.94safer10.37–17.557.51–14.9017.88–32.45
Offsides
42%
23%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.741.573.31safe0.58–2.900.47–2.661.05–5.56safer0.28–3.200.19–2.950.47–6.15
Yellow cards
42%
21%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.971.833.80safe0.92–3.020.70–2.961.62–5.98safer0.65–3.290.41–3.251.06–6.53
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.100.19safe0.00–0.260.00–0.280.00–0.54safer0.00–0.410.00–0.420.00–0.82
GK saves
67%
13%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction4.052.416.46safe2.61–5.480.85–3.963.46–9.45safer2.22–5.870.43–4.392.65–10.26
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.05 0.08–2.01 0.00–2.27 | 2.29 1.44–3.14 1.21–3.37 | 3.34 1.51–5.16 1.03–5.64 | 16% 19% 65% |
| Shots on target | 3.51 1.65–5.38 1.16–5.87 | 6.93 5.18–8.67 4.72–9.13 | 10.44 6.83–14.04 5.88–15.00 | 82% |
| Total shots | 10.94 7.01–14.86 5.92–15.95 | 17.64 14.08–21.20 13.12–22.16 | 28.57 21.09–36.06 19.04–38.11 | 88% |
| Shots in box | 7.00 4.06–9.95 3.23–10.78 | 12.04 9.36–14.72 8.62–15.46 | 19.05 13.42–24.67 11.86–26.24 | 85% |
| Blocked shots | 2.97 1.09–4.85 0.55–5.40 | 4.88 3.23–6.54 2.74–7.03 | 7.85 4.32–11.39 3.28–12.42 | 19% 69% |
| Corners | 3.78 1.56–5.99 0.99–6.56 | 6.27 4.27–8.27 3.74–8.81 | 10.05 5.84–14.26 4.73–15.37 | 17% 74% |
| Possession % | 39.47 32.68–46.26 31.01–47.93 | 60.68 53.90–67.47 52.23–69.14 | — | 88% |
| Passes | 382 314–449 296–467 | 578 511–644 494–662 | 959 826–1093 790–1129 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.10 63.07–71.13 61.78–72.42 | 80.00 75.68–84.32 74.37–85.63 | — | 95% |
| Fouls | 13.96 11.12–16.80 10.37–17.55 | 11.20 8.26–14.15 7.51–14.90 | 25.16 19.38–30.94 17.88–32.45 | 67% 26% |
| Offsides | 1.74 0.58–2.90 0.28–3.20 | 1.57 0.47–2.66 0.19–2.95 | 3.31 1.05–5.56 0.47–6.15 | 42% 23% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.97 0.92–3.02 0.65–3.29 | 1.83 0.70–2.96 0.41–3.25 | 3.80 1.62–5.98 1.06–6.53 | 42% 21% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 4.05 2.61–5.48 2.22–5.87 | 2.41 0.85–3.96 0.43–4.39 | 6.46 3.46–9.45 2.65–10.26 | 67% 13% 20% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+