Bundesliga·Regular Season - 29·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 29·Predicted match statistics
Goals
46%
25%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.531.152.68safe0.56–2.500.29–2.000.86–4.50safer0.31–2.750.06–2.230.38–4.98
Shots on target
52%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction4.974.299.26safe3.11–6.842.55–6.035.66–12.87safer2.62–7.322.08–6.504.70–13.82
Total shots
64%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction14.5512.2326.78safe10.63–18.488.66–15.7919.29–34.27safer9.54–19.577.71–16.7517.24–36.32
Shots in box
53%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction9.168.3817.54safe6.22–12.105.70–11.0611.91–23.16safer5.39–12.934.96–11.8010.35–24.73
Blocked shots
54%
15%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.993.227.21safe2.11–5.871.56–4.873.67–10.74safer1.57–6.421.07–5.362.64–11.78
Corners
55%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction5.384.499.87safe3.17–7.602.49–6.495.66–14.09safer2.60–8.171.96–7.024.55–15.19
Possession %
56%
39%
homeawayprediction51.8048.05safe45.01–58.5941.26–54.83safer43.34–60.2639.59–56.51
Passes
60%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction442412854safe375–510345–478720–988safer357–528328–496685–1023
Pass accuracy %
44%
50%
homeawayprediction67.5868.17safe63.55–71.6163.85–72.50safer62.26–72.9062.54–73.81
Fouls
24%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8213.8124.63safe7.98–13.6610.86–16.7518.85–30.41safer7.23–14.4110.11–17.5017.34–31.91
Offsides
47%
22%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.871.503.37safe0.71–3.030.40–2.591.12–5.63safer0.41–3.340.12–2.880.53–6.21
Yellow cards
23%
18%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction1.662.644.30safe0.61–2.711.51–3.772.12–6.48safer0.35–2.981.22–4.061.56–7.04
Red cards
81%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.150.22safe0.00–0.230.00–0.340.00–0.57safer0.00–0.380.00–0.470.00–0.85
GK saves
32%
16%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction2.823.456.27safe1.38–4.261.89–5.003.27–9.26safer1.00–4.641.46–5.432.46–10.07
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.53 0.56–2.50 0.31–2.75 | 1.15 0.29–2.00 0.06–2.23 | 2.68 0.86–4.50 0.38–4.98 | 46% 25% 28% |
| Shots on target | 4.97 3.11–6.84 2.62–7.32 | 4.29 2.55–6.03 2.08–6.50 | 9.26 5.66–12.87 4.70–13.82 | 52% 35% |
| Total shots | 14.55 10.63–18.48 9.54–19.57 | 12.23 8.66–15.79 7.71–16.75 | 26.78 19.29–34.27 17.24–36.32 | 64% 29% |
| Shots in box | 9.16 6.22–12.10 5.39–12.93 | 8.38 5.70–11.06 4.96–11.80 | 17.54 11.91–23.16 10.35–24.73 | 53% 38% |
| Blocked shots | 3.99 2.11–5.87 1.57–6.42 | 3.22 1.56–4.87 1.07–5.36 | 7.21 3.67–10.74 2.64–11.78 | 54% 15% 32% |
| Corners | 5.38 3.17–7.60 2.60–8.17 | 4.49 2.49–6.49 1.96–7.02 | 9.87 5.66–14.09 4.55–15.19 | 55% 33% |
| Possession % | 51.80 45.01–58.59 43.34–60.26 | 48.05 41.26–54.83 39.59–56.51 | — | 56% 39% |
| Passes | 442 375–510 357–528 | 412 345–478 328–496 | 854 720–988 685–1023 | 60% 40% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.58 63.55–71.61 62.26–72.90 | 68.17 63.85–72.50 62.54–73.81 | — | 44% 50% |
| Fouls | 10.82 7.98–13.66 7.23–14.41 | 13.81 10.86–16.75 10.11–17.50 | 24.63 18.85–30.41 17.34–31.91 | 24% 69% |
| Offsides | 1.87 0.71–3.03 0.41–3.34 | 1.50 0.40–2.59 0.12–2.88 | 3.37 1.12–5.63 0.53–6.21 | 47% 22% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.66 0.61–2.71 0.35–2.98 | 2.64 1.51–3.77 1.22–4.06 | 4.30 2.12–6.48 1.56–7.04 | 23% 18% 59% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.15 0.00–0.34 0.00–0.47 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% 13% |
| GK saves | 2.82 1.38–4.26 1.00–4.64 | 3.45 1.89–5.00 1.46–5.43 | 6.27 3.27–9.26 2.46–10.07 | 32% 16% 52% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.