Bundesliga·Regular Season - 29·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 29·Predicted match statistics
Goals
43%
24%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.631.393.02safe0.66–2.600.53–2.241.19–4.84safer0.41–2.850.31–2.470.71–5.32
Shots on target
58%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction5.554.429.97safe3.69–7.412.68–6.176.37–13.58safer3.20–7.902.22–6.635.41–14.53
Total shots
79%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction17.4712.5830.05safe13.55–21.399.02–16.1422.56–37.54safer12.45–22.498.06–17.1020.51–39.59
Shots in box
64%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction10.678.6319.30safe7.73–13.615.95–11.3113.68–24.92safer6.90–14.445.21–12.0512.11–26.49
Blocked shots
61%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.213.839.04safe3.33–7.092.18–5.495.51–12.58safer2.79–7.641.69–5.984.47–13.62
Corners
59%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction6.074.7710.84safe3.85–8.282.77–6.776.63–15.06safer3.28–8.852.24–7.315.52–16.16
Possession %
67%
28%
homeawayprediction54.9446.32safe48.15–61.7339.54–53.11safer46.48–63.4037.87–54.78
Passes
74%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction499421920safe432–566354–487786–1053safer414–584337–505750–1089
Pass accuracy %
42%
53%
homeawayprediction67.8768.89safe63.84–71.9064.57–73.22safer62.55–73.1963.26–74.53
Fouls
35%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4211.7022.12safe7.58–13.258.76–14.6516.34–27.90safer6.82–14.018.01–15.4014.83–29.41
Offsides
49%
22%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.901.403.30safe0.74–3.060.31–2.491.04–5.55safer0.44–3.360.02–2.780.45–6.14
Yellow cards
30%
24%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.271.642.92safe0.22–2.320.52–2.770.74–5.09safer0.00–2.590.22–3.060.18–5.65
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
27%
15%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction2.853.906.75safe1.42–4.292.34–5.453.76–9.74safer1.03–4.681.92–5.882.95–10.56
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.63 0.66–2.60 0.41–2.85 | 1.39 0.53–2.24 0.31–2.47 | 3.02 1.19–4.84 0.71–5.32 | 43% 24% 33% |
| Shots on target | 5.55 3.69–7.41 3.20–7.90 | 4.42 2.68–6.17 2.22–6.63 | 9.97 6.37–13.58 5.41–14.53 | 58% 30% |
| Total shots | 17.47 13.55–21.39 12.45–22.49 | 12.58 9.02–16.14 8.06–17.10 | 30.05 22.56–37.54 20.51–39.59 | 79% 16% |
| Shots in box | 10.67 7.73–13.61 6.90–14.44 | 8.63 5.95–11.31 5.21–12.05 | 19.30 13.68–24.92 12.11–26.49 | 64% 28% |
| Blocked shots | 5.21 3.33–7.09 2.79–7.64 | 3.83 2.18–5.49 1.69–5.98 | 9.04 5.51–12.58 4.47–13.62 | 61% 26% |
| Corners | 6.07 3.85–8.28 3.28–8.85 | 4.77 2.77–6.77 2.24–7.31 | 10.84 6.63–15.06 5.52–16.16 | 59% 29% |
| Possession % | 54.94 48.15–61.73 46.48–63.40 | 46.32 39.54–53.11 37.87–54.78 | — | 67% 28% |
| Passes | 499 432–566 414–584 | 421 354–487 337–505 | 920 786–1053 750–1089 | 74% 26% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.87 63.84–71.90 62.55–73.19 | 68.89 64.57–73.22 63.26–74.53 | — | 42% 53% |
| Fouls | 10.42 7.58–13.25 6.82–14.01 | 11.70 8.76–14.65 8.01–15.40 | 22.12 16.34–27.90 14.83–29.41 | 35% 57% |
| Offsides | 1.90 0.74–3.06 0.44–3.36 | 1.40 0.31–2.49 0.02–2.78 | 3.30 1.04–5.55 0.45–6.14 | 49% 22% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 1.27 0.22–2.32 0.00–2.59 | 1.64 0.52–2.77 0.22–3.06 | 2.92 0.74–5.09 0.18–5.65 | 30% 24% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.85 1.42–4.29 1.03–4.68 | 3.90 2.34–5.45 1.92–5.88 | 6.75 3.76–9.74 2.95–10.56 | 27% 15% 58% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.