Bundesliga·Regular Season - 29·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 29·Predicted match statistics
Goals
39%
23%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.691.653.34safe0.72–2.660.79–2.501.51–5.16safer0.47–2.910.56–2.731.03–5.64
Shots on target
46%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction5.395.1710.57safe3.53–7.263.43–6.926.96–14.17safer3.04–7.752.97–7.386.01–15.13
Total shots
60%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction15.8113.9929.80safe11.88–19.7310.43–17.5522.31–37.28safer10.79–20.829.47–18.5120.26–39.33
Shots in box
52%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction10.179.4119.58safe7.23–13.126.73–12.0913.96–25.20safer6.40–13.945.99–12.8312.39–26.77
Blocked shots
45%
14%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction4.254.098.33safe2.36–6.132.43–5.744.80–11.87safer1.82–6.671.94–6.233.76–12.90
Corners
49%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction5.244.8110.06safe3.03–7.462.81–6.815.84–14.27safer2.46–8.032.28–7.344.74–15.38
Possession %
52%
43%
homeawayprediction51.3149.47safe44.52–58.1042.69–56.26safer42.85–59.7741.02–57.93
Passes
60%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction470439909safe403–537373–506775–1043safer385–555355–523740–1078
Pass accuracy %
22%
74%
homeawayprediction71.4876.94safe67.45–75.5172.62–81.26safer66.16–76.8071.31–82.57
Fouls
45%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8311.8923.72safe9.00–14.678.95–14.8417.94–29.51safer8.24–15.438.20–15.5916.44–31.01
Offsides
41%
24%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.651.523.17safe0.49–2.810.42–2.610.91–5.42safer0.19–3.110.13–2.900.32–6.01
Yellow cards
30%
21%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.602.083.68safe0.55–2.650.95–3.211.50–5.86safer0.28–2.910.66–3.500.94–6.41
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
40%
16%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction3.173.286.45safe1.73–4.601.72–4.833.45–9.44safer1.34–4.991.30–5.262.64–10.25
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.69 0.72–2.66 0.47–2.91 | 1.65 0.79–2.50 0.56–2.73 | 3.34 1.51–5.16 1.03–5.64 | 39% 23% 38% |
| Shots on target | 5.39 3.53–7.26 3.04–7.75 | 5.17 3.43–6.92 2.97–7.38 | 10.57 6.96–14.17 6.01–15.13 | 46% 41% |
| Total shots | 15.81 11.88–19.73 10.79–20.82 | 13.99 10.43–17.55 9.47–18.51 | 29.80 22.31–37.28 20.26–39.33 | 60% 34% |
| Shots in box | 10.17 7.23–13.12 6.40–13.94 | 9.41 6.73–12.09 5.99–12.83 | 19.58 13.96–25.20 12.39–26.77 | 52% 39% |
| Blocked shots | 4.25 2.36–6.13 1.82–6.67 | 4.09 2.43–5.74 1.94–6.23 | 8.33 4.80–11.87 3.76–12.90 | 45% 14% 41% |
| Corners | 5.24 3.03–7.46 2.46–8.03 | 4.81 2.81–6.81 2.28–7.34 | 10.06 5.84–14.27 4.74–15.38 | 49% 38% |
| Possession % | 51.31 44.52–58.10 42.85–59.77 | 49.47 42.69–56.26 41.02–57.93 | — | 52% 43% |
| Passes | 470 403–537 385–555 | 439 373–506 355–523 | 909 775–1043 740–1078 | 60% 40% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.48 67.45–75.51 66.16–76.80 | 76.94 72.62–81.26 71.31–82.57 | — | 22% 74% |
| Fouls | 11.83 9.00–14.67 8.24–15.43 | 11.89 8.95–14.84 8.20–15.59 | 23.72 17.94–29.51 16.44–31.01 | 45% 46% |
| Offsides | 1.65 0.49–2.81 0.19–3.11 | 1.52 0.42–2.61 0.13–2.90 | 3.17 0.91–5.42 0.32–6.01 | 41% 24% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.60 0.55–2.65 0.28–2.91 | 2.08 0.95–3.21 0.66–3.50 | 3.68 1.50–5.86 0.94–6.41 | 30% 21% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.17 1.73–4.60 1.34–4.99 | 3.28 1.72–4.83 1.30–5.26 | 6.45 3.45–9.44 2.64–10.25 | 40% 16% 44% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+