Bundesliga·Regular Season - 29·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 29·Predicted match statistics
Goals
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.883.164.04safe0.00–1.842.31–4.022.22–5.86safer0.00–2.102.08–4.251.74–6.34
Shots on target
91%
homeawaytotalprediction3.298.2111.50safe1.42–5.156.47–9.957.89–15.10safer0.94–5.646.00–10.426.94–16.06
Total shots
98%
homeawaytotalprediction9.2620.9630.22safe5.33–13.1817.40–24.5222.73–37.70safer4.24–14.2716.44–25.4820.68–39.75
Shots in box
97%
homeawaytotalprediction5.8314.8420.68safe2.89–8.7812.16–17.5215.05–26.30safer2.06–9.6111.43–18.2613.49–27.87
Blocked shots
79%
homeawaytotalprediction2.715.508.22safe0.83–4.603.85–7.164.68–11.75safer0.29–5.143.36–7.653.65–12.79
Corners
90%
homeawaytotalprediction3.097.8310.92safe0.88–5.305.83–9.836.70–15.13safer0.30–5.885.29–10.365.60–16.24
Possession %
98%
homeawayprediction32.0268.79safe25.23–38.8162.00–75.57safer23.56–40.4860.33–77.24
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction3297001029safe261–396634–767895–1162safer243–414616–784859–1198
Pass accuracy %
99%
homeawayprediction64.5584.84safe60.52–68.5880.51–89.16safer59.23–69.8779.20–90.47
Fouls
56%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction10.209.0419.24safe7.36–13.046.09–11.9813.46–25.02safer6.61–13.795.35–12.7311.95–26.53
Offsides
33%
19%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.032.454.48safe0.87–3.191.36–3.542.22–6.73safer0.56–3.491.07–3.831.63–7.32
Yellow cards
50%
24%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.701.172.87safe0.65–2.750.04–2.290.69–5.05safer0.39–3.020.00–2.590.13–5.60
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.070.15safe0.00–0.240.00–0.260.00–0.50safer0.00–0.390.00–0.390.00–0.78
GK saves
87%
homeawaytotalprediction5.742.137.87safe4.30–7.180.57–3.684.87–10.86safer3.92–7.560.14–4.114.06–11.67
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.88 0.00–1.84 0.00–2.10 | 3.16 2.31–4.02 2.08–4.25 | 4.04 2.22–5.86 1.74–6.34 | 82% |
| Shots on target | 3.29 1.42–5.15 0.94–5.64 | 8.21 6.47–9.95 6.00–10.42 | 11.50 7.89–15.10 6.94–16.06 | 91% |
| Total shots | 9.26 5.33–13.18 4.24–14.27 | 20.96 17.40–24.52 16.44–25.48 | 30.22 22.73–37.70 20.68–39.75 | 98% |
| Shots in box | 5.83 2.89–8.78 2.06–9.61 | 14.84 12.16–17.52 11.43–18.26 | 20.68 15.05–26.30 13.49–27.87 | 97% |
| Blocked shots | 2.71 0.83–4.60 0.29–5.14 | 5.50 3.85–7.16 3.36–7.65 | 8.22 4.68–11.75 3.65–12.79 | 79% |
| Corners | 3.09 0.88–5.30 0.30–5.88 | 7.83 5.83–9.83 5.29–10.36 | 10.92 6.70–15.13 5.60–16.24 | 90% |
| Possession % | 32.02 25.23–38.81 23.56–40.48 | 68.79 62.00–75.57 60.33–77.24 | — | 98% |
| Passes | 329 261–396 243–414 | 700 634–767 616–784 | 1029 895–1162 859–1198 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.55 60.52–68.58 59.23–69.87 | 84.84 80.51–89.16 79.20–90.47 | — | 99% |
| Fouls | 10.20 7.36–13.04 6.61–13.79 | 9.04 6.09–11.98 5.35–12.73 | 19.24 13.46–25.02 11.95–26.53 | 56% 35% |
| Offsides | 2.03 0.87–3.19 0.56–3.49 | 2.45 1.36–3.54 1.07–3.83 | 4.48 2.22–6.73 1.63–7.32 | 33% 19% 48% |
| Yellow cards | 1.70 0.65–2.75 0.39–3.02 | 1.17 0.04–2.29 0.00–2.59 | 2.87 0.69–5.05 0.13–5.60 | 50% 24% 26% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 5.74 4.30–7.18 3.92–7.56 | 2.13 0.57–3.68 0.14–4.11 | 7.87 4.87–10.86 4.06–11.67 | 87% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.