Bundesliga·Regular Season - 30·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 30·Predicted match statistics
Goals
87%
homeawaytotalprediction3.740.884.63safe2.78–4.710.03–1.742.80–6.45safer2.52–4.960.00–1.972.33–6.93
Shots on target
93%
homeawaytotalprediction8.543.1911.73safe6.67–10.401.45–4.938.12–15.33safer6.18–10.890.98–5.407.17–16.29
Total shots
98%
homeawaytotalprediction21.289.6230.90safe17.35–25.206.05–13.1823.41–38.38safer16.26–26.305.09–14.1421.36–40.43
Shots in box
97%
homeawaytotalprediction14.975.7820.76safe12.03–17.913.10–8.4715.13–26.38safer11.20–18.742.37–9.2013.57–27.95
Blocked shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction5.412.217.62safe3.53–7.290.56–3.874.09–11.16safer2.99–7.840.07–4.363.05–12.20
Corners
94%
homeawaytotalprediction7.872.5910.46safe5.66–10.080.59–4.596.25–14.67safer5.08–10.660.06–5.125.14–15.78
Possession %
99%
homeawayprediction69.1431.13safe62.35–75.9324.34–37.91safer60.68–77.6022.67–39.59
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction7143221036safe647–781255–388902–1169safer629–799238–405866–1205
Pass accuracy %
91%
homeawayprediction81.8170.86safe77.78–85.8466.54–75.19safer76.49–87.1365.23–76.50
Fouls
22%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction9.0612.0821.14safe6.23–11.909.13–15.0215.36–26.92safer5.47–12.668.38–15.7713.85–28.43
Offsides
37%
22%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.761.883.64safe0.60–2.920.79–2.981.39–5.90safer0.30–3.220.50–3.270.80–6.49
Yellow cards
20%
21%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction1.112.073.18safe0.06–2.160.94–3.201.00–5.35safer0.00–2.420.65–3.490.44–5.91
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.110.17safe0.00–0.210.00–0.300.00–0.51safer0.00–0.360.00–0.430.00–0.80
GK saves
81%
homeawaytotalprediction2.104.886.97safe0.66–3.533.32–6.433.98–9.97safer0.27–3.922.90–6.863.17–10.78
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3.74 2.78–4.71 2.52–4.96 | 0.88 0.03–1.74 0.00–1.97 | 4.63 2.80–6.45 2.33–6.93 | 87% |
| Shots on target | 8.54 6.67–10.40 6.18–10.89 | 3.19 1.45–4.93 0.98–5.40 | 11.73 8.12–15.33 7.17–16.29 | 93% |
| Total shots | 21.28 17.35–25.20 16.26–26.30 | 9.62 6.05–13.18 5.09–14.14 | 30.90 23.41–38.38 21.36–40.43 | 98% |
| Shots in box | 14.97 12.03–17.91 11.20–18.74 | 5.78 3.10–8.47 2.37–9.20 | 20.76 15.13–26.38 13.57–27.95 | 97% |
| Blocked shots | 5.41 3.53–7.29 2.99–7.84 | 2.21 0.56–3.87 0.07–4.36 | 7.62 4.09–11.16 3.05–12.20 | 84% |
| Corners | 7.87 5.66–10.08 5.08–10.66 | 2.59 0.59–4.59 0.06–5.12 | 10.46 6.25–14.67 5.14–15.78 | 94% |
| Possession % | 69.14 62.35–75.93 60.68–77.60 | 31.13 24.34–37.91 22.67–39.59 | — | 99% |
| Passes | 714 647–781 629–799 | 322 255–388 238–405 | 1036 902–1169 866–1205 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.81 77.78–85.84 76.49–87.13 | 70.86 66.54–75.19 65.23–76.50 | — | 91% |
| Fouls | 9.06 6.23–11.90 5.47–12.66 | 12.08 9.13–15.02 8.38–15.77 | 21.14 15.36–26.92 13.85–28.43 | 22% 71% |
| Offsides | 1.76 0.60–2.92 0.30–3.22 | 1.88 0.79–2.98 0.50–3.27 | 3.64 1.39–5.90 0.80–6.49 | 37% 22% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 1.11 0.06–2.16 0.00–2.42 | 2.07 0.94–3.20 0.65–3.49 | 3.18 1.00–5.35 0.44–5.91 | 20% 21% 59% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.10 0.66–3.53 0.27–3.92 | 4.88 3.32–6.43 2.90–6.86 | 6.97 3.98–9.97 3.17–10.78 | 81% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+