Bundesliga·Regular Season - 30·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 30·Predicted match statistics
Goals
64%
19%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction2.391.213.59safe1.42–3.360.35–2.061.77–5.42safer1.17–3.610.12–2.291.29–5.90
Shots on target
70%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction6.964.6911.65safe5.10–8.832.95–6.438.05–15.26safer4.61–9.322.48–6.907.09–16.21
Total shots
90%
homeawaytotalprediction20.1812.3832.56safe16.26–24.108.82–15.9425.07–40.05safer15.16–25.207.86–16.9023.02–42.10
Shots in box
82%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction13.058.4121.46safe10.11–15.995.73–11.0915.84–27.08safer9.28–16.824.99–11.8314.27–28.65
Blocked shots
74%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction5.332.988.31safe3.45–7.211.33–4.634.77–11.85safer2.90–7.760.83–5.123.74–12.88
Corners
73%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction6.794.2511.03safe4.57–9.002.25–6.256.82–15.24safer4.00–9.571.71–6.785.71–16.35
Possession %
87%
homeawayprediction60.2939.93safe53.50–67.0833.14–46.71safer51.83–68.7531.47–48.38
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction596393989safe529–663326–459855–1123safer511–681309–477820–1158
Pass accuracy %
74%
22%
homeawayprediction76.5270.98safe72.49–80.5566.66–75.30safer71.20–81.8565.35–76.61
Fouls
33%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction9.6511.1920.83safe6.81–12.488.24–14.1315.05–26.61safer6.05–13.247.49–14.8813.54–28.12
Offsides
17%
16%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction1.502.914.41safe0.34–2.661.82–4.012.16–6.66safer0.04–2.961.53–4.291.57–7.25
Yellow cards
25%
23%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.181.823.00safe0.13–2.220.69–2.950.82–5.18safer0.00–2.490.40–3.240.26–5.73
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.100.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
28%
14%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction3.194.257.44safe1.76–4.632.69–5.804.45–10.43safer1.37–5.022.27–6.233.63–11.24
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.39 1.42–3.36 1.17–3.61 | 1.21 0.35–2.06 0.12–2.29 | 3.59 1.77–5.42 1.29–5.90 | 64% 19% 18% |
| Shots on target | 6.96 5.10–8.83 4.61–9.32 | 4.69 2.95–6.43 2.48–6.90 | 11.65 8.05–15.26 7.09–16.21 | 70% 21% |
| Total shots | 20.18 16.26–24.10 15.16–25.20 | 12.38 8.82–15.94 7.86–16.90 | 32.56 25.07–40.05 23.02–42.10 | 90% |
| Shots in box | 13.05 10.11–15.99 9.28–16.82 | 8.41 5.73–11.09 4.99–11.83 | 21.46 15.84–27.08 14.27–28.65 | 82% 13% |
| Blocked shots | 5.33 3.45–7.21 2.90–7.76 | 2.98 1.33–4.63 0.83–5.12 | 8.31 4.77–11.85 3.74–12.88 | 74% 16% |
| Corners | 6.79 4.57–9.00 4.00–9.57 | 4.25 2.25–6.25 1.71–6.78 | 11.03 6.82–15.24 5.71–16.35 | 73% 18% |
| Possession % | 60.29 53.50–67.08 51.83–68.75 | 39.93 33.14–46.71 31.47–48.38 | — | 87% |
| Passes | 596 529–663 511–681 | 393 326–459 309–477 | 989 855–1123 820–1158 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.52 72.49–80.55 71.20–81.85 | 70.98 66.66–75.30 65.35–76.61 | — | 74% 22% |
| Fouls | 9.65 6.81–12.48 6.05–13.24 | 11.19 8.24–14.13 7.49–14.88 | 20.83 15.05–26.61 13.54–28.12 | 33% 59% |
| Offsides | 1.50 0.34–2.66 0.04–2.96 | 2.91 1.82–4.01 1.53–4.29 | 4.41 2.16–6.66 1.57–7.25 | 17% 16% 67% |
| Yellow cards | 1.18 0.13–2.22 0.00–2.49 | 1.82 0.69–2.95 0.40–3.24 | 3.00 0.82–5.18 0.26–5.73 | 25% 23% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.19 1.76–4.63 1.37–5.02 | 4.25 2.69–5.80 2.27–6.23 | 7.44 4.45–10.43 3.63–11.24 | 28% 14% 58% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.