Bundesliga·Regular Season - 30·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 30·Predicted match statistics
Goals
62%
20%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.091.003.08safe1.12–3.050.14–1.851.26–4.91safer0.87–3.310.00–2.080.78–5.39
Shots on target
82%
homeawaytotalprediction6.533.249.77safe4.67–8.401.49–4.986.16–13.37safer4.18–8.881.03–5.445.21–14.33
Total shots
95%
homeawaytotalprediction18.419.4527.86safe14.49–22.345.88–13.0120.37–35.35safer13.39–23.434.93–13.9718.32–37.40
Shots in box
89%
homeawaytotalprediction11.596.0917.68safe8.64–14.533.41–8.7712.05–23.30safer7.81–15.362.67–9.5110.49–24.87
Blocked shots
76%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction5.062.617.67safe3.18–6.940.95–4.264.13–11.20safer2.64–7.490.46–4.753.10–12.24
Corners
79%
homeawaytotalprediction6.333.369.69safe4.12–8.551.36–5.365.48–13.91safer3.55–9.120.83–5.904.37–15.01
Possession %
82%
15%
homeawayprediction58.3241.69safe51.53–65.1134.91–48.48safer49.86–66.7833.24–50.15
Passes
88%
homeawaytotalprediction568427995safe501–635360–493861–1128safer483–653343–511825–1164
Pass accuracy %
72%
24%
homeawayprediction78.1473.17safe74.11–82.1768.85–77.49safer72.82–83.4667.54–78.80
Fouls
33%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3112.9624.27safe8.47–14.1410.02–15.9118.48–30.05safer7.71–14.909.27–16.6516.98–31.55
Offsides
36%
23%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.551.643.18safe0.39–2.710.54–2.730.93–5.44safer0.09–3.010.25–3.020.34–6.03
Yellow cards
25%
21%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.422.133.54safe0.37–2.471.00–3.261.37–5.72safer0.10–2.730.71–3.550.81–6.28
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.110.17safe0.00–0.220.00–0.300.00–0.52safer0.00–0.370.00–0.430.00–0.80
GK saves
16%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction2.304.326.61safe0.86–3.732.76–5.873.62–9.61safer0.47–4.122.34–6.302.81–10.42
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.09 1.12–3.05 0.87–3.31 | 1.00 0.14–1.85 0.00–2.08 | 3.08 1.26–4.91 0.78–5.39 | 62% 20% 17% |
| Shots on target | 6.53 4.67–8.40 4.18–8.88 | 3.24 1.49–4.98 1.03–5.44 | 9.77 6.16–13.37 5.21–14.33 | 82% |
| Total shots | 18.41 14.49–22.34 13.39–23.43 | 9.45 5.88–13.01 4.93–13.97 | 27.86 20.37–35.35 18.32–37.40 | 95% |
| Shots in box | 11.59 8.64–14.53 7.81–15.36 | 6.09 3.41–8.77 2.67–9.51 | 17.68 12.05–23.30 10.49–24.87 | 89% |
| Blocked shots | 5.06 3.18–6.94 2.64–7.49 | 2.61 0.95–4.26 0.46–4.75 | 7.67 4.13–11.20 3.10–12.24 | 76% 14% |
| Corners | 6.33 4.12–8.55 3.55–9.12 | 3.36 1.36–5.36 0.83–5.90 | 9.69 5.48–13.91 4.37–15.01 | 79% |
| Possession % | 58.32 51.53–65.11 49.86–66.78 | 41.69 34.91–48.48 33.24–50.15 | — | 82% 15% |
| Passes | 568 501–635 483–653 | 427 360–493 343–511 | 995 861–1128 825–1164 | 88% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.14 74.11–82.17 72.82–83.46 | 73.17 68.85–77.49 67.54–78.80 | — | 72% 24% |
| Fouls | 11.31 8.47–14.14 7.71–14.90 | 12.96 10.02–15.91 9.27–16.65 | 24.27 18.48–30.05 16.98–31.55 | 33% 59% |
| Offsides | 1.55 0.39–2.71 0.09–3.01 | 1.64 0.54–2.73 0.25–3.02 | 3.18 0.93–5.44 0.34–6.03 | 36% 23% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.42 0.37–2.47 0.10–2.73 | 2.13 1.00–3.26 0.71–3.55 | 3.54 1.37–5.72 0.81–6.28 | 25% 21% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.30 0.86–3.73 0.47–4.12 | 4.32 2.76–5.87 2.34–6.30 | 6.61 3.62–9.61 2.81–10.42 | 16% 72% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.