Bundesliga·Regular Season - 30·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 30·Predicted match statistics
Goals
50%
24%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.142.80safe0.70–2.630.28–1.990.98–4.62safer0.44–2.880.05–2.220.50–5.10
Shots on target
62%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.063.658.71safe3.20–6.921.90–5.395.10–12.31safer2.71–7.411.44–5.864.15–13.27
Total shots
76%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction14.9110.8525.76safe10.99–18.847.29–14.4218.28–33.25safer9.89–19.936.33–15.3816.23–35.30
Shots in box
67%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction9.957.6217.57safe7.00–12.894.94–10.3011.94–23.19safer6.17–13.724.20–11.0410.38–24.76
Blocked shots
59%
13%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction4.583.458.04safe2.70–6.471.80–5.114.50–11.57safer2.16–7.011.31–5.603.47–12.61
Corners
62%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction5.524.109.62safe3.30–7.732.10–6.105.40–13.83safer2.73–8.301.57–6.634.29–14.94
Possession %
75%
21%
homeawayprediction56.2943.64safe49.50–63.0836.85–50.42safer47.83–64.7535.18–52.09
Passes
86%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction499367866safe432–566301–434732–1000safer414–584283–451697–1035
Pass accuracy %
46%
49%
homeawayprediction71.4971.76safe67.46–75.5267.44–76.09safer66.17–76.8266.13–77.40
Fouls
18%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction9.5313.4522.98safe6.69–12.3710.50–16.3917.20–28.76safer5.94–13.129.76–17.1415.69–30.26
Offsides
41%
23%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.671.553.22safe0.51–2.830.45–2.640.97–5.47safer0.21–3.130.17–2.930.38–6.06
Yellow cards
25%
21%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.362.053.41safe0.31–2.410.93–3.181.24–5.59safer0.04–2.670.63–3.470.68–6.15
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.110.16safe0.00–0.210.00–0.300.00–0.51safer0.00–0.360.00–0.430.00–0.79
GK saves
28%
16%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction2.483.365.84safe1.04–3.911.80–4.922.84–8.83safer0.65–4.301.38–5.342.03–9.64
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.66 0.70–2.63 0.44–2.88 | 1.14 0.28–1.99 0.05–2.22 | 2.80 0.98–4.62 0.50–5.10 | 50% 24% 26% |
| Shots on target | 5.06 3.20–6.92 2.71–7.41 | 3.65 1.90–5.39 1.44–5.86 | 8.71 5.10–12.31 4.15–13.27 | 62% 26% |
| Total shots | 14.91 10.99–18.84 9.89–19.93 | 10.85 7.29–14.42 6.33–15.38 | 25.76 18.28–33.25 16.23–35.30 | 76% 18% |
| Shots in box | 9.95 7.00–12.89 6.17–13.72 | 7.62 4.94–10.30 4.20–11.04 | 17.57 11.94–23.19 10.38–24.76 | 67% 25% |
| Blocked shots | 4.58 2.70–6.47 2.16–7.01 | 3.45 1.80–5.11 1.31–5.60 | 8.04 4.50–11.57 3.47–12.61 | 59% 13% 28% |
| Corners | 5.52 3.30–7.73 2.73–8.30 | 4.10 2.10–6.10 1.57–6.63 | 9.62 5.40–13.83 4.29–14.94 | 62% 27% |
| Possession % | 56.29 49.50–63.08 47.83–64.75 | 43.64 36.85–50.42 35.18–52.09 | — | 75% 21% |
| Passes | 499 432–566 414–584 | 367 301–434 283–451 | 866 732–1000 697–1035 | 86% 13% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.49 67.46–75.52 66.17–76.82 | 71.76 67.44–76.09 66.13–77.40 | — | 46% 49% |
| Fouls | 9.53 6.69–12.37 5.94–13.12 | 13.45 10.50–16.39 9.76–17.14 | 22.98 17.20–28.76 15.69–30.26 | 18% 76% |
| Offsides | 1.67 0.51–2.83 0.21–3.13 | 1.55 0.45–2.64 0.17–2.93 | 3.22 0.97–5.47 0.38–6.06 | 41% 23% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.36 0.31–2.41 0.04–2.67 | 2.05 0.93–3.18 0.63–3.47 | 3.41 1.24–5.59 0.68–6.15 | 25% 21% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.48 1.04–3.91 0.65–4.30 | 3.36 1.80–4.92 1.38–5.34 | 5.84 2.84–8.83 2.03–9.64 | 28% 16% 56% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.