Bundesliga·Regular Season - 30·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 30·Predicted match statistics
Goals
62%
19%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction2.401.273.68safe1.43–3.370.42–2.131.85–5.50safer1.18–3.620.19–2.361.37–5.98
Shots on target
69%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction6.544.3810.92safe4.68–8.412.63–6.127.32–14.53safer4.19–8.902.17–6.596.36–15.48
Total shots
80%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction16.9612.0128.97safe13.03–20.888.45–15.5721.48–36.45safer11.94–21.977.49–16.5319.43–38.50
Shots in box
76%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction12.088.3320.41safe9.14–15.025.65–11.0114.79–26.04safer8.31–15.854.91–11.7513.22–27.60
Blocked shots
61%
13%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction4.523.267.79safe2.64–6.411.61–4.924.25–11.32safer2.10–6.951.12–5.413.22–12.36
Corners
69%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction6.354.2210.57safe4.13–8.562.22–6.226.35–14.78safer3.56–9.131.69–6.755.25–15.89
Possession %
84%
homeawayprediction59.7141.58safe52.92–66.5034.80–48.37safer51.25–68.1733.13–50.04
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction523361884safe455–590295–428750–1018safer437–608277–445714–1053
Pass accuracy %
75%
21%
homeawayprediction75.7970.05safe71.76–79.8265.72–74.37safer70.47–81.1164.41–75.68
Fouls
30%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6512.6823.33safe7.81–13.499.74–15.6217.55–29.11safer7.06–14.248.99–16.3716.04–30.62
Offsides
38%
24%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.551.553.09safe0.38–2.710.45–2.640.84–5.34safer0.08–3.010.16–2.930.25–5.93
Yellow cards
30%
22%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.481.893.37safe0.43–2.530.76–3.021.19–5.55safer0.17–2.800.47–3.310.64–6.11
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
27%
14%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.974.057.02safe1.53–4.402.49–5.614.02–10.01safer1.14–4.792.07–6.033.21–10.82
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.40 1.43–3.37 1.18–3.62 | 1.27 0.42–2.13 0.19–2.36 | 3.68 1.85–5.50 1.37–5.98 | 62% 19% 19% |
| Shots on target | 6.54 4.68–8.41 4.19–8.90 | 4.38 2.63–6.12 2.17–6.59 | 10.92 7.32–14.53 6.36–15.48 | 69% 21% |
| Total shots | 16.96 13.03–20.88 11.94–21.97 | 12.01 8.45–15.57 7.49–16.53 | 28.97 21.48–36.45 19.43–38.50 | 80% 15% |
| Shots in box | 12.08 9.14–15.02 8.31–15.85 | 8.33 5.65–11.01 4.91–11.75 | 20.41 14.79–26.04 13.22–27.60 | 76% 17% |
| Blocked shots | 4.52 2.64–6.41 2.10–6.95 | 3.26 1.61–4.92 1.12–5.41 | 7.79 4.25–11.32 3.22–12.36 | 61% 13% 26% |
| Corners | 6.35 4.13–8.56 3.56–9.13 | 4.22 2.22–6.22 1.69–6.75 | 10.57 6.35–14.78 5.25–15.89 | 69% 21% |
| Possession % | 59.71 52.92–66.50 51.25–68.17 | 41.58 34.80–48.37 33.13–50.04 | — | 84% |
| Passes | 523 455–590 437–608 | 361 295–428 277–445 | 884 750–1018 714–1053 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.79 71.76–79.82 70.47–81.11 | 70.05 65.72–74.37 64.41–75.68 | — | 75% 21% |
| Fouls | 10.65 7.81–13.49 7.06–14.24 | 12.68 9.74–15.62 8.99–16.37 | 23.33 17.55–29.11 16.04–30.62 | 30% 62% |
| Offsides | 1.55 0.38–2.71 0.08–3.01 | 1.55 0.45–2.64 0.16–2.93 | 3.09 0.84–5.34 0.25–5.93 | 38% 24% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.48 0.43–2.53 0.17–2.80 | 1.89 0.76–3.02 0.47–3.31 | 3.37 1.19–5.55 0.64–6.11 | 30% 22% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.97 1.53–4.40 1.14–4.79 | 4.05 2.49–5.61 2.07–6.03 | 7.02 4.02–10.01 3.21–10.82 | 27% 14% 59% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.