Bundesliga·Regular Season - 30·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 30·Predicted match statistics
Goals
15%
18%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction1.082.403.48safe0.11–2.051.54–3.251.66–5.30safer0.00–2.301.32–3.481.18–5.78
Shots on target
14%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction3.736.6810.41safe1.87–5.594.94–8.436.81–14.02safer1.38–6.084.48–8.895.85–14.97
Total shots
14%
81%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5716.7528.33safe7.65–15.5013.19–20.3220.84–35.82safer6.56–16.5912.23–21.2818.79–37.87
Shots in box
85%
homeawaytotalprediction6.8811.7918.67safe3.94–9.839.11–14.4713.05–24.30safer3.11–10.668.37–15.2111.48–25.86
Blocked shots
19%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction3.004.987.99safe1.12–4.893.33–6.644.45–11.52safer0.58–5.432.84–7.133.42–12.56
Corners
25%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction4.325.9510.27safe2.11–6.543.95–7.956.06–14.49safer1.54–7.113.42–8.484.95–15.60
Possession %
86%
homeawayprediction40.8260.34safe34.03–47.6153.56–67.13safer32.36–49.2851.89–68.80
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction382544927safe315–449478–611793–1060safer297–468460–628757–1096
Pass accuracy %
95%
homeawayprediction63.5076.61safe59.47–67.5372.29–80.93safer58.18–68.8370.98–82.24
Fouls
43%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4710.7921.25safe7.63–13.307.84–13.7315.47–27.04safer6.87–14.067.09–14.4813.97–28.54
Offsides
36%
20%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.982.194.17safe0.82–3.141.10–3.291.92–6.42safer0.52–3.440.81–3.571.33–7.01
Yellow cards
36%
25%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.401.462.86safe0.35–2.450.33–2.590.68–5.04safer0.08–2.720.04–2.880.12–5.59
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.260.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.390.00–0.78
GK saves
63%
14%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction4.122.736.85safe2.68–5.561.17–4.283.85–9.84safer2.30–5.940.75–4.713.04–10.65
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.08 0.11–2.05 0.00–2.30 | 2.40 1.54–3.25 1.32–3.48 | 3.48 1.66–5.30 1.18–5.78 | 15% 18% 67% |
| Shots on target | 3.73 1.87–5.59 1.38–6.08 | 6.68 4.94–8.43 4.48–8.89 | 10.41 6.81–14.02 5.85–14.97 | 14% 78% |
| Total shots | 11.57 7.65–15.50 6.56–16.59 | 16.75 13.19–20.32 12.23–21.28 | 28.33 20.84–35.82 18.79–37.87 | 14% 81% |
| Shots in box | 6.88 3.94–9.83 3.11–10.66 | 11.79 9.11–14.47 8.37–15.21 | 18.67 13.05–24.30 11.48–25.86 | 85% |
| Blocked shots | 3.00 1.12–4.89 0.58–5.43 | 4.98 3.33–6.64 2.84–7.13 | 7.99 4.45–11.52 3.42–12.56 | 19% 70% |
| Corners | 4.32 2.11–6.54 1.54–7.11 | 5.95 3.95–7.95 3.42–8.48 | 10.27 6.06–14.49 4.95–15.60 | 25% 64% |
| Possession % | 40.82 34.03–47.61 32.36–49.28 | 60.34 53.56–67.13 51.89–68.80 | — | 86% |
| Passes | 382 315–449 297–468 | 544 478–611 460–628 | 927 793–1060 757–1096 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.50 59.47–67.53 58.18–68.83 | 76.61 72.29–80.93 70.98–82.24 | — | 95% |
| Fouls | 10.47 7.63–13.30 6.87–14.06 | 10.79 7.84–13.73 7.09–14.48 | 21.25 15.47–27.04 13.97–28.54 | 43% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.98 0.82–3.14 0.52–3.44 | 2.19 1.10–3.29 0.81–3.57 | 4.17 1.92–6.42 1.33–7.01 | 36% 20% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 1.40 0.35–2.45 0.08–2.72 | 1.46 0.33–2.59 0.04–2.88 | 2.86 0.68–5.04 0.12–5.59 | 36% 25% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 4.12 2.68–5.56 2.30–5.94 | 2.73 1.17–4.28 0.75–4.71 | 6.85 3.85–9.84 3.04–10.65 | 63% 14% 23% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.