Bundesliga·Regular Season - 30·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 30·Predicted match statistics
Goals
15%
17%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction1.202.663.86safe0.23–2.161.81–3.522.03–5.68safer0.00–2.411.58–3.741.55–6.16
Shots on target
82%
homeawaytotalprediction3.807.3611.17safe1.94–5.675.62–9.117.56–14.77safer1.45–6.165.16–9.576.61–15.73
Total shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2418.9231.16safe8.32–16.1715.36–22.4823.67–38.65safer7.23–17.2614.40–23.4421.62–40.70
Shots in box
90%
homeawaytotalprediction7.9014.3222.23safe4.96–10.8511.64–17.0116.60–27.85safer4.13–11.6710.91–17.7415.04–29.42
Blocked shots
24%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction3.615.218.82safe1.73–5.503.55–6.865.28–12.36safer1.19–6.043.06–7.354.25–13.39
Corners
14%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction4.117.2311.34safe1.90–6.325.23–9.237.12–15.55safer1.32–6.904.69–9.766.02–16.66
Possession %
94%
homeawayprediction36.0163.40safe29.22–42.8056.61–70.18safer27.55–44.4754.94–71.86
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction330572902safe263–398506–638769–1036safer245–416488–656733–1072
Pass accuracy %
99%
homeawayprediction60.0877.47safe56.05–64.1173.14–81.79safer54.75–65.4071.83–83.10
Fouls
59%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9410.3822.32safe9.10–14.787.44–13.3316.54–28.10safer8.35–15.536.69–14.0715.03–29.61
Offsides
30%
21%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.602.073.67safe0.44–2.760.97–3.161.41–5.92safer0.14–3.060.68–3.450.82–6.51
Yellow cards
49%
22%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.951.463.41safe0.90–3.000.33–2.591.24–5.59safer0.64–3.270.04–2.880.68–6.15
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.070.19safe0.00–0.280.00–0.260.00–0.54safer0.00–0.430.00–0.390.00–0.82
GK saves
69%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction4.422.587.01safe2.99–5.861.03–4.144.01–10.00safer2.60–6.250.60–4.563.20–10.81
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.20 0.23–2.16 0.00–2.41 | 2.66 1.81–3.52 1.58–3.74 | 3.86 2.03–5.68 1.55–6.16 | 15% 17% 69% |
| Shots on target | 3.80 1.94–5.67 1.45–6.16 | 7.36 5.62–9.11 5.16–9.57 | 11.17 7.56–14.77 6.61–15.73 | 82% |
| Total shots | 12.24 8.32–16.17 7.23–17.26 | 18.92 15.36–22.48 14.40–23.44 | 31.16 23.67–38.65 21.62–40.70 | 87% |
| Shots in box | 7.90 4.96–10.85 4.13–11.67 | 14.32 11.64–17.01 10.91–17.74 | 22.23 16.60–27.85 15.04–29.42 | 90% |
| Blocked shots | 3.61 1.73–5.50 1.19–6.04 | 5.21 3.55–6.86 3.06–7.35 | 8.82 5.28–12.36 4.25–13.39 | 24% 64% |
| Corners | 4.11 1.90–6.32 1.32–6.90 | 7.23 5.23–9.23 4.69–9.76 | 11.34 7.12–15.55 6.02–16.66 | 14% 78% |
| Possession % | 36.01 29.22–42.80 27.55–44.47 | 63.40 56.61–70.18 54.94–71.86 | — | 94% |
| Passes | 330 263–398 245–416 | 572 506–638 488–656 | 902 769–1036 733–1072 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 60.08 56.05–64.11 54.75–65.40 | 77.47 73.14–81.79 71.83–83.10 | — | 99% |
| Fouls | 11.94 9.10–14.78 8.35–15.53 | 10.38 7.44–13.33 6.69–14.07 | 22.32 16.54–28.10 15.03–29.61 | 59% 33% |
| Offsides | 1.60 0.44–2.76 0.14–3.06 | 2.07 0.97–3.16 0.68–3.45 | 3.67 1.41–5.92 0.82–6.51 | 30% 21% 49% |
| Yellow cards | 1.95 0.90–3.00 0.64–3.27 | 1.46 0.33–2.59 0.04–2.88 | 3.41 1.24–5.59 0.68–6.15 | 49% 22% 29% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 4.42 2.99–5.86 2.60–6.25 | 2.58 1.03–4.14 0.60–4.56 | 7.01 4.01–10.00 3.20–10.81 | 69% 18% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+