Bundesliga·Regular Season - 30·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 30·Predicted match statistics
Goals
48%
24%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.671.192.86safe0.70–2.640.34–2.051.04–4.68safer0.45–2.890.11–2.280.56–5.16
Shots on target
54%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction5.164.329.48safe3.30–7.022.58–6.065.88–13.09safer2.81–7.512.11–6.534.92–14.04
Total shots
65%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction15.3912.8328.22safe11.47–19.319.26–16.3920.73–35.70safer10.37–20.418.31–17.3518.68–37.75
Shots in box
65%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction10.168.0218.18safe7.22–13.105.34–10.7012.56–23.81safer6.39–13.934.60–11.4410.99–25.37
Blocked shots
59%
14%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction4.353.207.55safe2.47–6.231.55–4.854.01–11.08safer1.93–6.781.05–5.342.98–12.12
Corners
52%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction5.514.8410.36safe3.30–7.732.84–6.846.14–14.57safer2.73–8.302.31–7.385.04–15.68
Possession %
57%
39%
homeawayprediction51.9048.12safe45.11–58.6941.34–54.91safer43.44–60.3639.67–56.58
Passes
64%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction463420883safe395–530354–486749–1016safer377–548336–504713–1052
Pass accuracy %
33%
62%
homeawayprediction66.2969.18safe62.26–70.3264.86–73.50safer60.97–71.6163.55–74.81
Fouls
43%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8012.1123.91safe8.96–14.649.16–15.0518.13–29.69safer8.21–15.408.42–15.8016.62–31.20
Offsides
25%
20%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.502.283.79safe0.34–2.661.19–3.371.53–6.04safer0.04–2.970.90–3.660.94–6.63
Yellow cards
32%
21%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.662.033.69safe0.61–2.710.90–3.151.51–5.87safer0.35–2.980.60–3.450.95–6.42
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
33%
16%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction2.913.476.38safe1.47–4.341.92–5.033.39–9.37safer1.08–4.731.49–5.452.57–10.18
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.67 0.70–2.64 0.45–2.89 | 1.19 0.34–2.05 0.11–2.28 | 2.86 1.04–4.68 0.56–5.16 | 48% 24% 27% |
| Shots on target | 5.16 3.30–7.02 2.81–7.51 | 4.32 2.58–6.06 2.11–6.53 | 9.48 5.88–13.09 4.92–14.04 | 54% 33% |
| Total shots | 15.39 11.47–19.31 10.37–20.41 | 12.83 9.26–16.39 8.31–17.35 | 28.22 20.73–35.70 18.68–37.75 | 65% 28% |
| Shots in box | 10.16 7.22–13.10 6.39–13.93 | 8.02 5.34–10.70 4.60–11.44 | 18.18 12.56–23.81 10.99–25.37 | 65% 27% |
| Blocked shots | 4.35 2.47–6.23 1.93–6.78 | 3.20 1.55–4.85 1.05–5.34 | 7.55 4.01–11.08 2.98–12.12 | 59% 14% 27% |
| Corners | 5.51 3.30–7.73 2.73–8.30 | 4.84 2.84–6.84 2.31–7.38 | 10.36 6.14–14.57 5.04–15.68 | 52% 36% |
| Possession % | 51.90 45.11–58.69 43.44–60.36 | 48.12 41.34–54.91 39.67–56.58 | — | 57% 39% |
| Passes | 463 395–530 377–548 | 420 354–486 336–504 | 883 749–1016 713–1052 | 64% 36% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.29 62.26–70.32 60.97–71.61 | 69.18 64.86–73.50 63.55–74.81 | — | 33% 62% |
| Fouls | 11.80 8.96–14.64 8.21–15.40 | 12.11 9.16–15.05 8.42–15.80 | 23.91 18.13–29.69 16.62–31.20 | 43% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.50 0.34–2.66 0.04–2.97 | 2.28 1.19–3.37 0.90–3.66 | 3.79 1.53–6.04 0.94–6.63 | 25% 20% 55% |
| Yellow cards | 1.66 0.61–2.71 0.35–2.98 | 2.03 0.90–3.15 0.60–3.45 | 3.69 1.51–5.87 0.95–6.42 | 32% 21% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.91 1.47–4.34 1.08–4.73 | 3.47 1.92–5.03 1.49–5.45 | 6.38 3.39–9.37 2.57–10.18 | 33% 16% 51% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.