Bundesliga·Regular Season - 30·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 30·Predicted match statistics
Goals
47%
22%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.931.533.45safe0.96–2.890.67–2.381.63–5.28safer0.71–3.140.45–2.611.15–5.76
Shots on target
57%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction5.894.8310.73safe4.03–7.763.09–6.587.12–14.33safer3.54–8.252.63–7.046.17–15.29
Total shots
64%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction17.8315.3133.14safe13.90–21.7511.75–18.8725.65–40.63safer12.81–22.8410.79–19.8323.60–42.68
Shots in box
62%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction11.199.3120.49safe8.24–14.136.63–11.9914.87–26.12safer7.41–14.965.89–12.7313.30–27.68
Blocked shots
54%
13%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction4.603.788.38safe2.72–6.492.13–5.434.85–11.92safer2.18–7.031.63–5.923.81–12.96
Corners
46%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction5.475.2810.75safe3.26–7.683.28–7.286.53–14.96safer2.68–8.262.74–7.815.43–16.07
Possession %
59%
37%
homeawayprediction52.4447.69safe45.65–59.2340.91–54.47safer43.98–60.9039.23–56.15
Passes
67%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction503451954safe435–570385–518820–1087safer417–588367–535784–1123
Pass accuracy %
40%
55%
homeawayprediction72.1473.69safe68.11–76.1769.36–78.01safer66.82–77.4668.06–79.32
Fouls
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7011.3822.08safe7.86–13.548.44–14.3316.30–27.86safer7.11–14.297.69–15.0714.79–29.37
Offsides
37%
21%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.811.933.75safe0.65–2.970.84–3.031.49–6.00safer0.35–3.280.55–3.310.90–6.59
Yellow cards
29%
22%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.471.993.46safe0.42–2.520.86–3.121.28–5.63safer0.15–2.780.57–3.410.72–6.19
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.110.17safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.430.00–0.80
GK saves
32%
15%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction3.193.897.07safe1.75–4.622.33–5.444.08–10.07safer1.36–5.011.91–5.873.27–10.88
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.93 0.96–2.89 0.71–3.14 | 1.53 0.67–2.38 0.45–2.61 | 3.45 1.63–5.28 1.15–5.76 | 47% 22% 31% |
| Shots on target | 5.89 4.03–7.76 3.54–8.25 | 4.83 3.09–6.58 2.63–7.04 | 10.73 7.12–14.33 6.17–15.29 | 57% 32% |
| Total shots | 17.83 13.90–21.75 12.81–22.84 | 15.31 11.75–18.87 10.79–19.83 | 33.14 25.65–40.63 23.60–42.68 | 64% 30% |
| Shots in box | 11.19 8.24–14.13 7.41–14.96 | 9.31 6.63–11.99 5.89–12.73 | 20.49 14.87–26.12 13.30–27.68 | 62% 30% |
| Blocked shots | 4.60 2.72–6.49 2.18–7.03 | 3.78 2.13–5.43 1.63–5.92 | 8.38 4.85–11.92 3.81–12.96 | 54% 13% 32% |
| Corners | 5.47 3.26–7.68 2.68–8.26 | 5.28 3.28–7.28 2.74–7.81 | 10.75 6.53–14.96 5.43–16.07 | 46% 42% |
| Possession % | 52.44 45.65–59.23 43.98–60.90 | 47.69 40.91–54.47 39.23–56.15 | — | 59% 37% |
| Passes | 503 435–570 417–588 | 451 385–518 367–535 | 954 820–1087 784–1123 | 67% 33% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.14 68.11–76.17 66.82–77.46 | 73.69 69.36–78.01 68.06–79.32 | — | 40% 55% |
| Fouls | 10.70 7.86–13.54 7.11–14.29 | 11.38 8.44–14.33 7.69–15.07 | 22.08 16.30–27.86 14.79–29.37 | 40% 52% |
| Offsides | 1.81 0.65–2.97 0.35–3.28 | 1.93 0.84–3.03 0.55–3.31 | 3.75 1.49–6.00 0.90–6.59 | 37% 21% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 1.47 0.42–2.52 0.15–2.78 | 1.99 0.86–3.12 0.57–3.41 | 3.46 1.28–5.63 0.72–6.19 | 29% 22% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.19 1.75–4.62 1.36–5.01 | 3.89 2.33–5.44 1.91–5.87 | 7.07 4.08–10.07 3.27–10.88 | 32% 15% 53% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.