Bundesliga·Regular Season - 31·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 31·Predicted match statistics
Goals
62%
19%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction2.301.193.49safe1.33–3.270.33–2.041.66–5.31safer1.08–3.520.10–2.271.18–5.79
Shots on target
72%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction6.193.8610.06safe4.33–8.052.12–5.616.45–13.66safer3.84–8.541.66–6.075.50–14.62
Total shots
85%
homeawaytotalprediction17.4011.4428.84safe13.47–21.327.88–15.0121.35–36.33safer12.38–22.416.92–15.9719.30–38.38
Shots in box
81%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction12.117.7119.82safe9.17–15.055.03–10.3914.20–25.45safer8.34–15.884.29–11.1312.63–27.01
Blocked shots
61%
13%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction4.473.177.64safe2.59–6.351.52–4.834.11–11.18safer2.04–6.891.03–5.323.07–12.21
Corners
74%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction6.764.1810.94safe4.55–8.972.18–6.186.73–15.15safer3.97–9.551.65–6.715.62–16.26
Possession %
63%
33%
homeawayprediction53.2446.81safe46.45–60.0340.02–53.59safer44.78–61.7038.35–55.26
Passes
67%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction504451955safe437–571385–518822–1089safer419–589367–535786–1125
Pass accuracy %
47%
48%
homeawayprediction75.3475.50safe71.31–79.3771.17–79.82safer70.02–80.6669.86–81.13
Fouls
53%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction10.849.9720.81safe8.00–13.687.03–12.9115.03–26.59safer7.24–14.436.28–13.6613.52–28.09
Offsides
62%
16%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction3.011.834.85safe1.85–4.170.74–2.932.59–7.10safer1.55–4.470.45–3.222.00–7.69
Yellow cards
33%
23%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.541.833.37safe0.49–2.590.70–2.961.19–5.55safer0.23–2.860.41–3.250.64–6.11
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.78
GK saves
28%
15%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction2.733.696.42safe1.29–4.172.13–5.243.43–9.41safer0.91–4.551.71–5.672.61–10.22
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.30 1.33–3.27 1.08–3.52 | 1.19 0.33–2.04 0.10–2.27 | 3.49 1.66–5.31 1.18–5.79 | 62% 19% 18% |
| Shots on target | 6.19 4.33–8.05 3.84–8.54 | 3.86 2.12–5.61 1.66–6.07 | 10.06 6.45–13.66 5.50–14.62 | 72% 18% |
| Total shots | 17.40 13.47–21.32 12.38–22.41 | 11.44 7.88–15.01 6.92–15.97 | 28.84 21.35–36.33 19.30–38.38 | 85% |
| Shots in box | 12.11 9.17–15.05 8.34–15.88 | 7.71 5.03–10.39 4.29–11.13 | 19.82 14.20–25.45 12.63–27.01 | 81% 13% |
| Blocked shots | 4.47 2.59–6.35 2.04–6.89 | 3.17 1.52–4.83 1.03–5.32 | 7.64 4.11–11.18 3.07–12.21 | 61% 13% 26% |
| Corners | 6.76 4.55–8.97 3.97–9.55 | 4.18 2.18–6.18 1.65–6.71 | 10.94 6.73–15.15 5.62–16.26 | 74% 17% |
| Possession % | 53.24 46.45–60.03 44.78–61.70 | 46.81 40.02–53.59 38.35–55.26 | — | 63% 33% |
| Passes | 504 437–571 419–589 | 451 385–518 367–535 | 955 822–1089 786–1125 | 67% 33% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.34 71.31–79.37 70.02–80.66 | 75.50 71.17–79.82 69.86–81.13 | — | 47% 48% |
| Fouls | 10.84 8.00–13.68 7.24–14.43 | 9.97 7.03–12.91 6.28–13.66 | 20.81 15.03–26.59 13.52–28.09 | 53% 38% |
| Offsides | 3.01 1.85–4.17 1.55–4.47 | 1.83 0.74–2.93 0.45–3.22 | 4.85 2.59–7.10 2.00–7.69 | 62% 16% 22% |
| Yellow cards | 1.54 0.49–2.59 0.23–2.86 | 1.83 0.70–2.96 0.41–3.25 | 3.37 1.19–5.55 0.64–6.11 | 33% 23% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.73 1.29–4.17 0.91–4.55 | 3.69 2.13–5.24 1.71–5.67 | 6.42 3.43–9.41 2.61–10.22 | 28% 15% 57% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+