Bundesliga·Regular Season - 31·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 31·Predicted match statistics
Goals
43%
23%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.701.463.16safe0.73–2.670.60–2.311.33–4.98safer0.48–2.920.37–2.540.85–5.46
Shots on target
47%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction5.104.809.90safe3.24–6.963.06–6.546.30–13.51safer2.75–7.452.59–7.015.34–14.46
Total shots
72%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction16.5612.8829.44safe12.64–20.499.32–16.4421.95–36.93safer11.55–21.588.36–17.4019.90–38.98
Shots in box
59%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction10.729.1919.91safe7.77–13.666.51–11.8714.29–25.53safer6.95–14.495.78–12.6112.72–27.10
Blocked shots
52%
14%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction4.623.958.57safe2.74–6.502.30–5.605.04–12.11safer2.20–7.051.81–6.104.00–13.14
Corners
64%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.934.2610.19safe3.72–8.142.26–6.265.97–14.40safer3.14–8.721.72–6.794.87–15.51
Possession %
75%
22%
homeawayprediction56.8544.57safe50.06–63.6437.79–51.36safer48.39–65.3136.12–53.03
Passes
84%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction538417955safe471–605351–483821–1088safer452–623333–501785–1124
Pass accuracy %
57%
38%
homeawayprediction73.4071.48safe69.37–77.4367.16–75.80safer68.08–78.7265.85–77.11
Fouls
49%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8411.4723.31safe9.00–14.688.52–14.4117.53–29.09safer8.25–15.437.78–15.1616.02–30.60
Offsides
46%
23%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.761.403.16safe0.60–2.920.30–2.490.90–5.41safer0.30–3.220.02–2.780.32–6.00
Yellow cards
34%
23%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.581.813.39safe0.53–2.630.68–2.941.21–5.57safer0.27–2.900.39–3.230.66–6.13
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.260.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
39%
16%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction3.033.196.22safe1.60–4.471.63–4.753.23–9.21safer1.21–4.861.21–5.172.42–10.03
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.70 0.73–2.67 0.48–2.92 | 1.46 0.60–2.31 0.37–2.54 | 3.16 1.33–4.98 0.85–5.46 | 43% 23% 33% |
| Shots on target | 5.10 3.24–6.96 2.75–7.45 | 4.80 3.06–6.54 2.59–7.01 | 9.90 6.30–13.51 5.34–14.46 | 47% 40% |
| Total shots | 16.56 12.64–20.49 11.55–21.58 | 12.88 9.32–16.44 8.36–17.40 | 29.44 21.95–36.93 19.90–38.98 | 72% 22% |
| Shots in box | 10.72 7.77–13.66 6.95–14.49 | 9.19 6.51–11.87 5.78–12.61 | 19.91 14.29–25.53 12.72–27.10 | 59% 32% |
| Blocked shots | 4.62 2.74–6.50 2.20–7.05 | 3.95 2.30–5.60 1.81–6.10 | 8.57 5.04–12.11 4.00–13.14 | 52% 14% 34% |
| Corners | 5.93 3.72–8.14 3.14–8.72 | 4.26 2.26–6.26 1.72–6.79 | 10.19 5.97–14.40 4.87–15.51 | 64% 25% |
| Possession % | 56.85 50.06–63.64 48.39–65.31 | 44.57 37.79–51.36 36.12–53.03 | — | 75% 22% |
| Passes | 538 471–605 452–623 | 417 351–483 333–501 | 955 821–1088 785–1124 | 84% 16% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.40 69.37–77.43 68.08–78.72 | 71.48 67.16–75.80 65.85–77.11 | — | 57% 38% |
| Fouls | 11.84 9.00–14.68 8.25–15.43 | 11.47 8.52–14.41 7.78–15.16 | 23.31 17.53–29.09 16.02–30.60 | 49% 43% |
| Offsides | 1.76 0.60–2.92 0.30–3.22 | 1.40 0.30–2.49 0.02–2.78 | 3.16 0.90–5.41 0.32–6.00 | 46% 23% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.58 0.53–2.63 0.27–2.90 | 1.81 0.68–2.94 0.39–3.23 | 3.39 1.21–5.57 0.66–6.13 | 34% 23% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 3.03 1.60–4.47 1.21–4.86 | 3.19 1.63–4.75 1.21–5.17 | 6.22 3.23–9.21 2.42–10.03 | 39% 16% 44% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+