Bundesliga·Regular Season - 31·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 31·Predicted match statistics
Goals
67%
18%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.361.043.40safe1.40–3.330.18–1.891.58–5.22safer1.14–3.580.00–2.121.10–5.70
Shots on target
74%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction6.333.7610.10safe4.47–8.202.02–5.506.49–13.70safer3.98–8.691.55–5.975.53–14.66
Total shots
94%
homeawaytotalprediction18.9310.2429.18safe15.01–22.866.68–13.8121.69–36.67safer13.92–23.955.72–14.7719.64–38.72
Shots in box
90%
homeawaytotalprediction12.866.6519.52safe9.92–15.803.97–9.3313.89–25.14safer9.09–16.633.24–10.0712.33–26.71
Blocked shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction5.932.568.49safe4.05–7.810.90–4.214.95–12.02safer3.50–8.350.41–4.703.92–13.06
Corners
79%
homeawaytotalprediction7.213.9811.19safe5.00–9.431.98–5.986.98–15.41safer4.43–10.001.45–6.515.87–16.51
Possession %
88%
homeawayprediction60.6539.35safe53.86–67.4432.57–46.14safer52.19–69.1130.90–47.81
Passes
94%
homeawaytotalprediction531348879safe463–598282–415745–1013safer445–616264–432710–1048
Pass accuracy %
86%
homeawayprediction74.3565.36safe70.32–78.3861.04–69.69safer69.03–79.6759.73–71.00
Fouls
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8512.0523.89safe9.01–14.689.10–14.9918.11–29.67safer8.25–15.448.35–15.7416.61–31.18
Offsides
47%
22%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.911.503.41safe0.75–3.070.41–2.601.16–5.66safer0.45–3.370.12–2.890.57–6.25
Yellow cards
24%
20%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.452.233.68safe0.40–2.491.10–3.361.50–5.86safer0.13–2.760.81–3.650.94–6.41
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.120.19safe0.00–0.220.00–0.310.00–0.53safer0.00–0.370.00–0.440.00–0.82
GK saves
20%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction2.584.296.87safe1.15–4.022.74–5.853.88–9.87safer0.76–4.412.31–6.273.07–10.68
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.36 1.40–3.33 1.14–3.58 | 1.04 0.18–1.89 0.00–2.12 | 3.40 1.58–5.22 1.10–5.70 | 67% 18% 15% |
| Shots on target | 6.33 4.47–8.20 3.98–8.69 | 3.76 2.02–5.50 1.55–5.97 | 10.10 6.49–13.70 5.53–14.66 | 74% 16% |
| Total shots | 18.93 15.01–22.86 13.92–23.95 | 10.24 6.68–13.81 5.72–14.77 | 29.18 21.69–36.67 19.64–38.72 | 94% |
| Shots in box | 12.86 9.92–15.80 9.09–16.63 | 6.65 3.97–9.33 3.24–10.07 | 19.52 13.89–25.14 12.33–26.71 | 90% |
| Blocked shots | 5.93 4.05–7.81 3.50–8.35 | 2.56 0.90–4.21 0.41–4.70 | 8.49 4.95–12.02 3.92–13.06 | 84% |
| Corners | 7.21 5.00–9.43 4.43–10.00 | 3.98 1.98–5.98 1.45–6.51 | 11.19 6.98–15.41 5.87–16.51 | 79% |
| Possession % | 60.65 53.86–67.44 52.19–69.11 | 39.35 32.57–46.14 30.90–47.81 | — | 88% |
| Passes | 531 463–598 445–616 | 348 282–415 264–432 | 879 745–1013 710–1048 | 94% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.35 70.32–78.38 69.03–79.67 | 65.36 61.04–69.69 59.73–71.00 | — | 86% |
| Fouls | 11.85 9.01–14.68 8.25–15.44 | 12.05 9.10–14.99 8.35–15.74 | 23.89 18.11–29.67 16.61–31.18 | 44% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.91 0.75–3.07 0.45–3.37 | 1.50 0.41–2.60 0.12–2.89 | 3.41 1.16–5.66 0.57–6.25 | 47% 22% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.45 0.40–2.49 0.13–2.76 | 2.23 1.10–3.36 0.81–3.65 | 3.68 1.50–5.86 0.94–6.41 | 24% 20% 55% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.58 1.15–4.02 0.76–4.41 | 4.29 2.74–5.85 2.31–6.27 | 6.87 3.88–9.87 3.07–10.68 | 20% 68% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.