Bundesliga·Regular Season - 31·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 31·Predicted match statistics
Goals
23%
21%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.262.023.27safe0.29–2.221.16–2.871.45–5.10safer0.04–2.470.94–3.100.97–5.58
Shots on target
21%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction4.176.2810.44safe2.30–6.034.53–8.026.84–14.05safer1.81–6.524.07–8.485.88–15.00
Total shots
19%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9115.9827.89safe7.98–15.8312.42–19.5420.40–35.37safer6.89–16.9211.46–20.5018.35–37.42
Shots in box
18%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction8.0711.5519.62safe5.12–11.018.87–14.2314.00–25.24safer4.29–11.848.14–14.9712.43–26.81
Blocked shots
28%
14%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction3.264.337.59safe1.37–5.142.68–5.984.05–11.12safer0.83–5.682.19–6.483.02–12.16
Corners
27%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction4.345.7710.10safe2.12–6.553.77–7.775.89–14.32safer1.55–7.123.23–8.304.78–15.42
Possession %
29%
66%
homeawayprediction46.7754.97safe39.98–53.5648.18–61.75safer38.31–55.2346.51–63.43
Passes
25%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction417499916safe350–484432–565782–1050safer332–503415–583747–1085
Pass accuracy %
23%
73%
homeawayprediction72.9078.11safe68.87–76.9273.78–82.43safer67.57–78.2272.47–83.74
Fouls
48%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2111.9924.20safe9.38–15.059.04–14.9318.42–29.98safer8.62–15.818.29–15.6816.91–31.49
Offsides
40%
23%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.691.643.33safe0.53–2.850.55–2.731.08–5.59safer0.23–3.150.26–3.020.49–6.18
Yellow cards
35%
21%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.741.983.71safe0.69–2.790.85–3.111.54–5.89safer0.42–3.050.56–3.400.98–6.45
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
56%
15%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction3.812.916.72safe2.38–5.251.35–4.463.73–9.71safer1.99–5.640.93–4.892.92–10.53
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.26 0.29–2.22 0.04–2.47 | 2.02 1.16–2.87 0.94–3.10 | 3.27 1.45–5.10 0.97–5.58 | 23% 21% 55% |
| Shots on target | 4.17 2.30–6.03 1.81–6.52 | 6.28 4.53–8.02 4.07–8.48 | 10.44 6.84–14.05 5.88–15.00 | 21% 69% |
| Total shots | 11.91 7.98–15.83 6.89–16.92 | 15.98 12.42–19.54 11.46–20.50 | 27.89 20.40–35.37 18.35–37.42 | 19% 75% |
| Shots in box | 8.07 5.12–11.01 4.29–11.84 | 11.55 8.87–14.23 8.14–14.97 | 19.62 14.00–25.24 12.43–26.81 | 18% 75% |
| Blocked shots | 3.26 1.37–5.14 0.83–5.68 | 4.33 2.68–5.98 2.19–6.48 | 7.59 4.05–11.12 3.02–12.16 | 28% 14% 58% |
| Corners | 4.34 2.12–6.55 1.55–7.12 | 5.77 3.77–7.77 3.23–8.30 | 10.10 5.89–14.32 4.78–15.42 | 27% 61% |
| Possession % | 46.77 39.98–53.56 38.31–55.23 | 54.97 48.18–61.75 46.51–63.43 | — | 29% 66% |
| Passes | 417 350–484 332–503 | 499 432–565 415–583 | 916 782–1050 747–1085 | 25% 75% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.90 68.87–76.92 67.57–78.22 | 78.11 73.78–82.43 72.47–83.74 | — | 23% 73% |
| Fouls | 12.21 9.38–15.05 8.62–15.81 | 11.99 9.04–14.93 8.29–15.68 | 24.20 18.42–29.98 16.91–31.49 | 48% 44% |
| Offsides | 1.69 0.53–2.85 0.23–3.15 | 1.64 0.55–2.73 0.26–3.02 | 3.33 1.08–5.59 0.49–6.18 | 40% 23% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.74 0.69–2.79 0.42–3.05 | 1.98 0.85–3.11 0.56–3.40 | 3.71 1.54–5.89 0.98–6.45 | 35% 21% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.81 2.38–5.25 1.99–5.64 | 2.91 1.35–4.46 0.93–4.89 | 6.72 3.73–9.71 2.92–10.53 | 56% 15% 29% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.