Bundesliga·Regular Season - 31·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 31·Predicted match statistics
Goals
43%
24%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.671.453.12safe0.70–2.630.59–2.301.29–4.94safer0.45–2.890.37–2.530.81–5.42
Shots on target
44%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction5.225.1610.38safe3.36–7.083.42–6.906.78–13.99safer2.87–7.572.95–7.375.82–14.94
Total shots
62%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction15.0612.8927.95safe11.13–18.989.33–16.4620.47–35.44safer10.04–20.078.37–17.4218.42–37.49
Shots in box
57%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction9.908.6618.55safe6.95–12.845.98–11.3412.93–24.18safer6.13–13.675.24–12.0811.36–25.74
Blocked shots
55%
14%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction4.403.547.94safe2.52–6.281.89–5.194.41–11.48safer1.97–6.831.40–5.693.37–12.51
Corners
59%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.904.6510.56safe3.69–8.122.65–6.656.35–14.77safer3.12–8.692.12–7.195.24–15.88
Possession %
59%
36%
homeawayprediction52.1647.27safe45.37–58.9540.48–54.05safer43.70–60.6238.81–55.72
Passes
72%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction487417903safe419–554350–483770–1037safer401–572333–501734–1073
Pass accuracy %
42%
53%
homeawayprediction68.6269.78safe64.59–72.6565.46–74.11safer63.30–73.9464.15–75.42
Fouls
55%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1611.0823.24safe9.32–15.008.13–14.0217.46–29.02safer8.57–15.757.39–14.7715.95–30.52
Offsides
55%
21%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction2.171.403.57safe1.01–3.330.31–2.491.31–5.82safer0.71–3.630.02–2.780.73–6.41
Yellow cards
38%
23%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.621.673.29safe0.57–2.670.54–2.801.11–5.47safer0.31–2.940.25–3.090.56–6.03
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.110.18safe0.00–0.230.00–0.300.00–0.53safer0.00–0.380.00–0.430.00–0.81
GK saves
39%
16%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction3.223.446.66safe1.79–4.661.88–4.993.67–9.65safer1.40–5.041.46–5.422.85–10.46
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.67 0.70–2.63 0.45–2.89 | 1.45 0.59–2.30 0.37–2.53 | 3.12 1.29–4.94 0.81–5.42 | 43% 24% 33% |
| Shots on target | 5.22 3.36–7.08 2.87–7.57 | 5.16 3.42–6.90 2.95–7.37 | 10.38 6.78–13.99 5.82–14.94 | 44% 43% |
| Total shots | 15.06 11.13–18.98 10.04–20.07 | 12.89 9.33–16.46 8.37–17.42 | 27.95 20.47–35.44 18.42–37.49 | 62% 31% |
| Shots in box | 9.90 6.95–12.84 6.13–13.67 | 8.66 5.98–11.34 5.24–12.08 | 18.55 12.93–24.18 11.36–25.74 | 57% 34% |
| Blocked shots | 4.40 2.52–6.28 1.97–6.83 | 3.54 1.89–5.19 1.40–5.69 | 7.94 4.41–11.48 3.37–12.51 | 55% 14% 31% |
| Corners | 5.90 3.69–8.12 3.12–8.69 | 4.65 2.65–6.65 2.12–7.19 | 10.56 6.35–14.77 5.24–15.88 | 59% 29% |
| Possession % | 52.16 45.37–58.95 43.70–60.62 | 47.27 40.48–54.05 38.81–55.72 | — | 59% 36% |
| Passes | 487 419–554 401–572 | 417 350–483 333–501 | 903 770–1037 734–1073 | 72% 28% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.62 64.59–72.65 63.30–73.94 | 69.78 65.46–74.11 64.15–75.42 | — | 42% 53% |
| Fouls | 12.16 9.32–15.00 8.57–15.75 | 11.08 8.13–14.02 7.39–14.77 | 23.24 17.46–29.02 15.95–30.52 | 55% 37% |
| Offsides | 2.17 1.01–3.33 0.71–3.63 | 1.40 0.31–2.49 0.02–2.78 | 3.57 1.31–5.82 0.73–6.41 | 55% 21% 24% |
| Yellow cards | 1.62 0.57–2.67 0.31–2.94 | 1.67 0.54–2.80 0.25–3.09 | 3.29 1.11–5.47 0.56–6.03 | 38% 23% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.22 1.79–4.66 1.40–5.04 | 3.44 1.88–4.99 1.46–5.42 | 6.66 3.67–9.65 2.85–10.46 | 39% 16% 45% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.