Bundesliga·Regular Season - 31·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 31·Predicted match statistics
Goals
33%
25%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.341.562.91safe0.37–2.310.71–2.421.08–4.73safer0.12–2.560.48–2.650.60–5.21
Shots on target
42%
13%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction4.764.879.63safe2.90–6.623.13–6.626.03–13.24safer2.41–7.112.66–7.085.07–14.19
Total shots
49%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction15.1314.7729.90safe11.21–19.0611.21–18.3322.41–37.39safer10.12–20.1510.25–19.2920.36–39.44
Shots in box
43%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction9.139.3418.47safe6.19–12.076.66–12.0212.85–24.10safer5.36–12.905.93–12.7611.28–25.66
Blocked shots
44%
14%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction4.043.937.97safe2.16–5.922.28–5.584.43–11.51safer1.62–6.471.78–6.073.40–12.54
Corners
41%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction4.794.959.74safe2.58–7.002.95–6.955.53–13.95safer2.00–7.582.42–7.484.42–15.06
Possession %
28%
68%
homeawayprediction45.3154.40safe38.52–52.1047.61–61.18safer36.85–53.7745.94–62.85
Passes
27%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction408481889safe341–475415–548756–1023safer322–493397–565720–1059
Pass accuracy %
16%
81%
homeawayprediction67.1774.50safe63.14–71.2070.17–78.82safer61.85–72.5068.86–80.13
Fouls
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3912.2423.63safe8.55–14.239.29–15.1817.84–29.41safer7.79–14.988.54–15.9316.34–30.91
Offsides
62%
19%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction2.371.253.63safe1.21–3.530.16–2.351.37–5.88safer0.91–3.840.00–2.630.78–6.47
Yellow cards
38%
23%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.691.743.43safe0.64–2.740.62–2.871.25–5.61safer0.37–3.000.32–3.160.70–6.17
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.110.19safe0.00–0.240.00–0.300.00–0.54safer0.00–0.390.00–0.430.00–0.82
GK saves
40%
16%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction3.273.386.65safe1.83–4.701.83–4.943.66–9.64safer1.44–5.091.40–5.372.85–10.46
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.34 0.37–2.31 0.12–2.56 | 1.56 0.71–2.42 0.48–2.65 | 2.91 1.08–4.73 0.60–5.21 | 33% 25% 43% |
| Shots on target | 4.76 2.90–6.62 2.41–7.11 | 4.87 3.13–6.62 2.66–7.08 | 9.63 6.03–13.24 5.07–14.19 | 42% 13% 45% |
| Total shots | 15.13 11.21–19.06 10.12–20.15 | 14.77 11.21–18.33 10.25–19.29 | 29.90 22.41–37.39 20.36–39.44 | 49% 44% |
| Shots in box | 9.13 6.19–12.07 5.36–12.90 | 9.34 6.66–12.02 5.93–12.76 | 18.47 12.85–24.10 11.28–25.66 | 43% 47% |
| Blocked shots | 4.04 2.16–5.92 1.62–6.47 | 3.93 2.28–5.58 1.78–6.07 | 7.97 4.43–11.51 3.40–12.54 | 44% 14% 41% |
| Corners | 4.79 2.58–7.00 2.00–7.58 | 4.95 2.95–6.95 2.42–7.48 | 9.74 5.53–13.95 4.42–15.06 | 41% 46% |
| Possession % | 45.31 38.52–52.10 36.85–53.77 | 54.40 47.61–61.18 45.94–62.85 | — | 28% 68% |
| Passes | 408 341–475 322–493 | 481 415–548 397–565 | 889 756–1023 720–1059 | 27% 73% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.17 63.14–71.20 61.85–72.50 | 74.50 70.17–78.82 68.86–80.13 | — | 16% 81% |
| Fouls | 11.39 8.55–14.23 7.79–14.98 | 12.24 9.29–15.18 8.54–15.93 | 23.63 17.84–29.41 16.34–30.91 | 39% 53% |
| Offsides | 2.37 1.21–3.53 0.91–3.84 | 1.25 0.16–2.35 0.00–2.63 | 3.63 1.37–5.88 0.78–6.47 | 62% 19% 19% |
| Yellow cards | 1.69 0.64–2.74 0.37–3.00 | 1.74 0.62–2.87 0.32–3.16 | 3.43 1.25–5.61 0.70–6.17 | 38% 23% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.27 1.83–4.70 1.44–5.09 | 3.38 1.83–4.94 1.40–5.37 | 6.65 3.66–9.64 2.85–10.46 | 40% 16% 44% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.