Bundesliga·Regular Season - 31·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 31·Predicted match statistics
Goals
28%
24%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.211.652.86safe0.24–2.170.80–2.511.04–4.68safer0.00–2.430.57–2.740.56–5.16
Shots on target
38%
13%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.314.739.04safe2.45–6.182.98–6.475.43–12.64safer1.96–6.672.52–6.934.48–13.60
Total shots
52%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction13.6712.9626.63safe9.74–17.599.40–16.5219.14–34.12safer8.65–18.688.44–17.4817.09–36.17
Shots in box
28%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction7.879.8617.73safe4.92–10.817.18–12.5412.10–23.35safer4.10–11.646.44–13.2810.54–24.92
Blocked shots
42%
14%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction4.274.398.66safe2.39–6.162.73–6.045.13–12.20safer1.85–6.702.24–6.534.09–13.23
Corners
44%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction5.155.1510.30safe2.93–7.363.15–7.156.08–14.51safer2.36–7.932.62–7.684.98–15.62
Possession %
62%
33%
homeawayprediction53.7747.41safe46.98–60.5640.62–54.19safer45.31–62.2338.95–55.86
Passes
68%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction472416888safe405–539349–482754–1022safer387–558332–500718–1057
Pass accuracy %
21%
75%
homeawayprediction65.5271.36safe61.49–69.5567.04–75.68safer60.20–70.8465.73–76.99
Fouls
29%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction9.7911.8221.61safe6.95–12.628.88–14.7715.83–27.39safer6.19–13.388.13–15.5214.32–28.90
Offsides
41%
24%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.641.523.16safe0.48–2.800.43–2.610.91–5.41safer0.18–3.100.14–2.900.32–6.00
Yellow cards
36%
24%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.521.613.13safe0.47–2.570.48–2.740.95–5.31safer0.20–2.830.19–3.030.39–5.87
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.090.18safe0.00–0.250.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.400.00–0.410.00–0.81
GK saves
41%
17%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.942.995.93safe1.50–4.371.44–4.552.94–8.92safer1.11–4.761.01–4.972.13–9.74
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.21 0.24–2.17 0.00–2.43 | 1.65 0.80–2.51 0.57–2.74 | 2.86 1.04–4.68 0.56–5.16 | 28% 24% 48% |
| Shots on target | 4.31 2.45–6.18 1.96–6.67 | 4.73 2.98–6.47 2.52–6.93 | 9.04 5.43–12.64 4.48–13.60 | 38% 13% 49% |
| Total shots | 13.67 9.74–17.59 8.65–18.68 | 12.96 9.40–16.52 8.44–17.48 | 26.63 19.14–34.12 17.09–36.17 | 52% 41% |
| Shots in box | 7.87 4.92–10.81 4.10–11.64 | 9.86 7.18–12.54 6.44–13.28 | 17.73 12.10–23.35 10.54–24.92 | 28% 64% |
| Blocked shots | 4.27 2.39–6.16 1.85–6.70 | 4.39 2.73–6.04 2.24–6.53 | 8.66 5.13–12.20 4.09–13.23 | 42% 14% 45% |
| Corners | 5.15 2.93–7.36 2.36–7.93 | 5.15 3.15–7.15 2.62–7.68 | 10.30 6.08–14.51 4.98–15.62 | 44% 44% |
| Possession % | 53.77 46.98–60.56 45.31–62.23 | 47.41 40.62–54.19 38.95–55.86 | — | 62% 33% |
| Passes | 472 405–539 387–558 | 416 349–482 332–500 | 888 754–1022 718–1057 | 68% 32% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.52 61.49–69.55 60.20–70.84 | 71.36 67.04–75.68 65.73–76.99 | — | 21% 75% |
| Fouls | 9.79 6.95–12.62 6.19–13.38 | 11.82 8.88–14.77 8.13–15.52 | 21.61 15.83–27.39 14.32–28.90 | 29% 63% |
| Offsides | 1.64 0.48–2.80 0.18–3.10 | 1.52 0.43–2.61 0.14–2.90 | 3.16 0.91–5.41 0.32–6.00 | 41% 24% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.52 0.47–2.57 0.20–2.83 | 1.61 0.48–2.74 0.19–3.03 | 3.13 0.95–5.31 0.39–5.87 | 36% 24% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.94 1.50–4.37 1.11–4.76 | 2.99 1.44–4.55 1.01–4.97 | 5.93 2.94–8.92 2.13–9.74 | 41% 17% 43% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.