Bundesliga·Regular Season - 31·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 31·Predicted match statistics
Goals
14%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction1.072.994.06safe0.10–2.042.14–3.852.24–5.89safer0.00–2.291.91–4.081.76–6.37
Shots on target
92%
homeawaytotalprediction3.218.5211.73safe1.35–5.086.77–10.268.12–15.33safer0.86–5.576.31–10.727.17–16.29
Total shots
97%
homeawaytotalprediction9.4720.2029.67safe5.55–13.4016.64–23.7722.19–37.16safer4.46–14.4915.68–24.7220.14–39.21
Shots in box
96%
homeawaytotalprediction5.9714.0420.01safe3.03–8.9111.36–16.7214.39–25.63safer2.20–9.7410.62–17.4612.82–27.20
Blocked shots
79%
homeawaytotalprediction2.485.157.63safe0.60–4.363.49–6.804.09–11.16safer0.06–4.913.00–7.293.06–12.20
Corners
89%
homeawaytotalprediction3.107.4510.55safe0.89–5.325.45–9.456.34–14.76safer0.32–5.894.91–9.985.23–15.87
Possession %
98%
homeawayprediction33.1668.15safe26.37–39.9561.36–74.93safer24.70–41.6259.69–76.61
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction3476981044safe279–414631–764911–1178safer261–432614–782875–1214
Pass accuracy %
98%
homeawayprediction68.1884.41safe64.15–72.2180.08–88.73safer62.86–73.5078.77–90.04
Fouls
70%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction11.228.3519.57safe8.38–14.065.40–11.2913.78–25.35safer7.63–14.814.65–12.0412.28–26.85
Offsides
48%
21%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction2.151.733.88safe0.99–3.310.63–2.821.62–6.13safer0.69–3.610.34–3.111.03–6.72
Yellow cards
51%
23%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.791.213.01safe0.74–2.840.09–2.340.83–5.19safer0.48–3.110.00–2.630.27–5.74
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.060.14safe0.00–0.240.00–0.250.00–0.49safer0.00–0.390.00–0.380.00–0.77
GK saves
86%
homeawaytotalprediction5.492.067.55safe4.06–6.930.51–3.624.56–10.55safer3.67–7.320.08–4.043.75–11.36
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.07 0.10–2.04 0.00–2.29 | 2.99 2.14–3.85 1.91–4.08 | 4.06 2.24–5.89 1.76–6.37 | 14% 76% |
| Shots on target | 3.21 1.35–5.08 0.86–5.57 | 8.52 6.77–10.26 6.31–10.72 | 11.73 8.12–15.33 7.17–16.29 | 92% |
| Total shots | 9.47 5.55–13.40 4.46–14.49 | 20.20 16.64–23.77 15.68–24.72 | 29.67 22.19–37.16 20.14–39.21 | 97% |
| Shots in box | 5.97 3.03–8.91 2.20–9.74 | 14.04 11.36–16.72 10.62–17.46 | 20.01 14.39–25.63 12.82–27.20 | 96% |
| Blocked shots | 2.48 0.60–4.36 0.06–4.91 | 5.15 3.49–6.80 3.00–7.29 | 7.63 4.09–11.16 3.06–12.20 | 79% |
| Corners | 3.10 0.89–5.32 0.32–5.89 | 7.45 5.45–9.45 4.91–9.98 | 10.55 6.34–14.76 5.23–15.87 | 89% |
| Possession % | 33.16 26.37–39.95 24.70–41.62 | 68.15 61.36–74.93 59.69–76.61 | — | 98% |
| Passes | 347 279–414 261–432 | 698 631–764 614–782 | 1044 911–1178 875–1214 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.18 64.15–72.21 62.86–73.50 | 84.41 80.08–88.73 78.77–90.04 | — | 98% |
| Fouls | 11.22 8.38–14.06 7.63–14.81 | 8.35 5.40–11.29 4.65–12.04 | 19.57 13.78–25.35 12.28–26.85 | 70% 22% |
| Offsides | 2.15 0.99–3.31 0.69–3.61 | 1.73 0.63–2.82 0.34–3.11 | 3.88 1.62–6.13 1.03–6.72 | 48% 21% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.79 0.74–2.84 0.48–3.11 | 1.21 0.09–2.34 0.00–2.63 | 3.01 0.83–5.19 0.27–5.74 | 51% 23% 26% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.06 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.38 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 5.49 4.06–6.93 3.67–7.32 | 2.06 0.51–3.62 0.08–4.04 | 7.55 4.56–10.55 3.75–11.36 | 86% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+