Bundesliga·Regular Season - 31·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 31·Predicted match statistics
Goals
37%
24%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.551.603.15safe0.58–2.510.75–2.461.33–4.97safer0.33–2.760.52–2.690.85–5.45
Shots on target
50%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction5.545.0610.60safe3.68–7.403.32–6.806.99–14.20safer3.19–7.892.85–7.276.04–15.16
Total shots
65%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction17.1814.5131.68safe13.25–21.1010.95–18.0724.20–39.17safer12.16–22.199.99–19.0322.15–41.22
Shots in box
56%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction10.569.3619.92safe7.62–13.506.68–12.0414.29–25.54safer6.79–14.335.94–12.7812.73–27.11
Blocked shots
58%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction4.883.818.69safe3.00–6.762.15–5.465.15–12.22safer2.45–7.301.66–5.954.11–13.26
Corners
56%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction5.994.9910.98safe3.77–8.202.99–6.996.77–15.19safer3.20–8.772.46–7.535.66–16.30
Possession %
66%
29%
homeawayprediction54.0845.91safe47.29–60.8739.13–52.70safer45.62–62.5437.46–54.37
Passes
73%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction492420912safe425–560353–486779–1046safer407–578336–504743–1082
Pass accuracy %
43%
52%
homeawayprediction68.4669.31safe64.43–72.4964.99–73.64safer63.14–73.7863.68–74.95
Fouls
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6012.0022.59safe7.76–13.439.06–14.9416.81–28.38safer7.00–14.198.31–15.6915.31–29.88
Offsides
38%
21%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.891.933.82safe0.73–3.050.84–3.031.57–6.08safer0.43–3.350.55–3.320.98–6.67
Yellow cards
24%
22%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.271.993.27safe0.22–2.320.86–3.121.09–5.45safer0.00–2.590.57–3.410.53–6.00
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.100.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.420.00–0.77
GK saves
39%
15%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction3.403.607.00safe1.96–4.832.04–5.164.01–9.99safer1.57–5.221.62–5.583.19–10.80
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.55 0.58–2.51 0.33–2.76 | 1.60 0.75–2.46 0.52–2.69 | 3.15 1.33–4.97 0.85–5.45 | 37% 24% 39% |
| Shots on target | 5.54 3.68–7.40 3.19–7.89 | 5.06 3.32–6.80 2.85–7.27 | 10.60 6.99–14.20 6.04–15.16 | 50% 38% |
| Total shots | 17.18 13.25–21.10 12.16–22.19 | 14.51 10.95–18.07 9.99–19.03 | 31.68 24.20–39.17 22.15–41.22 | 65% 29% |
| Shots in box | 10.56 7.62–13.50 6.79–14.33 | 9.36 6.68–12.04 5.94–12.78 | 19.92 14.29–25.54 12.73–27.11 | 56% 35% |
| Blocked shots | 4.88 3.00–6.76 2.45–7.30 | 3.81 2.15–5.46 1.66–5.95 | 8.69 5.15–12.22 4.11–13.26 | 58% 30% |
| Corners | 5.99 3.77–8.20 3.20–8.77 | 4.99 2.99–6.99 2.46–7.53 | 10.98 6.77–15.19 5.66–16.30 | 56% 32% |
| Possession % | 54.08 47.29–60.87 45.62–62.54 | 45.91 39.13–52.70 37.46–54.37 | — | 66% 29% |
| Passes | 492 425–560 407–578 | 420 353–486 336–504 | 912 779–1046 743–1082 | 73% 27% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.46 64.43–72.49 63.14–73.78 | 69.31 64.99–73.64 63.68–74.95 | — | 43% 52% |
| Fouls | 10.60 7.76–13.43 7.00–14.19 | 12.00 9.06–14.94 8.31–15.69 | 22.59 16.81–28.38 15.31–29.88 | 34% 58% |
| Offsides | 1.89 0.73–3.05 0.43–3.35 | 1.93 0.84–3.03 0.55–3.32 | 3.82 1.57–6.08 0.98–6.67 | 38% 21% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.27 0.22–2.32 0.00–2.59 | 1.99 0.86–3.12 0.57–3.41 | 3.27 1.09–5.45 0.53–6.00 | 24% 22% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.40 1.96–4.83 1.57–5.22 | 3.60 2.04–5.16 1.62–5.58 | 7.00 4.01–9.99 3.19–10.80 | 39% 15% 45% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.