Bundesliga·Regular Season - 32·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 32·Predicted match statistics
Goals
92%
homeawaytotalprediction4.340.805.14safe3.37–5.310.00–1.653.32–6.96safer3.12–5.560.00–1.882.84–7.44
Shots on target
97%
homeawaytotalprediction9.522.6712.19safe7.66–11.380.93–4.418.59–15.80safer7.17–11.870.46–4.887.63–16.75
Total shots
100%
homeawaytotalprediction24.037.5931.62safe20.11–27.964.02–11.1524.13–39.10safer19.02–29.053.06–12.1122.08–41.16
Shots in box
99%
homeawaytotalprediction16.134.7120.84safe13.19–19.072.03–7.3915.21–26.46safer12.36–19.901.29–8.1313.65–28.03
Blocked shots
93%
homeawaytotalprediction6.271.778.04safe4.38–8.150.12–3.424.50–11.57safer3.84–8.690.00–3.923.47–12.61
Corners
96%
homeawaytotalprediction8.062.2710.34safe5.85–10.280.27–4.276.12–14.55safer5.28–10.850.00–4.815.02–15.66
Possession %
100%
homeawayprediction72.4627.83safe65.67–79.2521.05–34.62safer64.00–80.9219.38–36.29
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction7592921051safe692–826225–358917–1184safer673–844208–376881–1220
Pass accuracy %
98%
homeawayprediction84.8969.15safe80.86–88.9264.82–73.47safer79.57–90.2263.51–74.78
Fouls
21%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction7.9410.8718.81safe5.10–10.777.93–13.8113.03–24.59safer4.34–11.537.18–14.5611.52–26.09
Offsides
36%
22%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.671.833.50safe0.51–2.830.73–2.921.25–5.75safer0.21–3.140.44–3.210.66–6.34
Yellow cards
20%
25%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction0.851.582.42safe0.00–1.900.45–2.700.24–4.60safer0.00–2.160.16–3.000.00–5.16
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.110.15safe0.00–0.200.00–0.300.00–0.50safer0.00–0.350.00–0.430.00–0.78
GK saves
91%
homeawaytotalprediction1.865.917.77safe0.43–3.304.35–7.474.78–10.76safer0.04–3.693.93–7.893.97–11.58
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 4.34 3.37–5.31 3.12–5.56 | 0.80 0.00–1.65 0.00–1.88 | 5.14 3.32–6.96 2.84–7.44 | 92% |
| Shots on target | 9.52 7.66–11.38 7.17–11.87 | 2.67 0.93–4.41 0.46–4.88 | 12.19 8.59–15.80 7.63–16.75 | 97% |
| Total shots | 24.03 20.11–27.96 19.02–29.05 | 7.59 4.02–11.15 3.06–12.11 | 31.62 24.13–39.10 22.08–41.16 | 100% |
| Shots in box | 16.13 13.19–19.07 12.36–19.90 | 4.71 2.03–7.39 1.29–8.13 | 20.84 15.21–26.46 13.65–28.03 | 99% |
| Blocked shots | 6.27 4.38–8.15 3.84–8.69 | 1.77 0.12–3.42 0.00–3.92 | 8.04 4.50–11.57 3.47–12.61 | 93% |
| Corners | 8.06 5.85–10.28 5.28–10.85 | 2.27 0.27–4.27 0.00–4.81 | 10.34 6.12–14.55 5.02–15.66 | 96% |
| Possession % | 72.46 65.67–79.25 64.00–80.92 | 27.83 21.05–34.62 19.38–36.29 | — | 100% |
| Passes | 759 692–826 673–844 | 292 225–358 208–376 | 1051 917–1184 881–1220 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 84.89 80.86–88.92 79.57–90.22 | 69.15 64.82–73.47 63.51–74.78 | — | 98% |
| Fouls | 7.94 5.10–10.77 4.34–11.53 | 10.87 7.93–13.81 7.18–14.56 | 18.81 13.03–24.59 11.52–26.09 | 21% 71% |
| Offsides | 1.67 0.51–2.83 0.21–3.14 | 1.83 0.73–2.92 0.44–3.21 | 3.50 1.25–5.75 0.66–6.34 | 36% 22% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 0.85 0.00–1.90 0.00–2.16 | 1.58 0.45–2.70 0.16–3.00 | 2.42 0.24–4.60 0.00–5.16 | 20% 25% 55% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 1.86 0.43–3.30 0.04–3.69 | 5.91 4.35–7.47 3.93–7.89 | 7.77 4.78–10.76 3.97–11.58 | 91% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.