Bundesliga·Regular Season - 32·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 32·Predicted match statistics
Goals
64%
18%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction2.541.343.88safe1.57–3.510.48–2.192.06–5.70safer1.32–3.760.25–2.421.58–6.18
Shots on target
75%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction7.464.6312.08safe5.60–9.322.88–6.378.48–15.69safer5.11–9.812.42–6.837.52–16.64
Total shots
91%
homeawaytotalprediction21.0612.8433.90safe17.14–24.999.27–16.4026.41–41.39safer16.05–26.088.31–17.3624.36–43.44
Shots in box
87%
homeawaytotalprediction14.298.4722.76safe11.34–17.235.79–11.1517.13–28.38safer10.51–18.065.05–11.8915.57–29.95
Blocked shots
78%
homeawaytotalprediction5.522.798.31safe3.64–7.401.14–4.444.78–11.85safer3.10–7.950.65–4.943.74–12.88
Corners
78%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction7.424.2711.69safe5.21–9.642.27–6.277.48–15.90safer4.64–10.211.73–6.806.37–17.01
Possession %
83%
14%
homeawayprediction58.8141.38safe52.02–65.6034.60–48.17safer50.35–67.2732.93–49.84
Passes
94%
homeawaytotalprediction577394971safe509–644328–461837–1105safer491–662310–478801–1140
Pass accuracy %
67%
28%
homeawayprediction76.2972.37safe72.26–80.3268.04–76.69safer70.97–81.6266.73–78.00
Fouls
31%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction9.8411.6921.53safe7.01–12.688.74–14.6315.75–27.32safer6.25–13.448.00–15.3814.25–28.82
Offsides
25%
18%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.822.714.52safe0.65–2.981.62–3.802.27–6.78safer0.35–3.281.33–4.091.68–7.37
Yellow cards
30%
23%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.451.853.30safe0.40–2.500.72–2.981.12–5.48safer0.13–2.770.43–3.270.57–6.04
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
23%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction3.074.647.71safe1.64–4.513.08–6.194.72–10.70safer1.25–4.902.66–6.623.91–11.51
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.54 1.57–3.51 1.32–3.76 | 1.34 0.48–2.19 0.25–2.42 | 3.88 2.06–5.70 1.58–6.18 | 64% 18% 19% |
| Shots on target | 7.46 5.60–9.32 5.11–9.81 | 4.63 2.88–6.37 2.42–6.83 | 12.08 8.48–15.69 7.52–16.64 | 75% 17% |
| Total shots | 21.06 17.14–24.99 16.05–26.08 | 12.84 9.27–16.40 8.31–17.36 | 33.90 26.41–41.39 24.36–43.44 | 91% |
| Shots in box | 14.29 11.34–17.23 10.51–18.06 | 8.47 5.79–11.15 5.05–11.89 | 22.76 17.13–28.38 15.57–29.95 | 87% |
| Blocked shots | 5.52 3.64–7.40 3.10–7.95 | 2.79 1.14–4.44 0.65–4.94 | 8.31 4.78–11.85 3.74–12.88 | 78% |
| Corners | 7.42 5.21–9.64 4.64–10.21 | 4.27 2.27–6.27 1.73–6.80 | 11.69 7.48–15.90 6.37–17.01 | 78% 14% |
| Possession % | 58.81 52.02–65.60 50.35–67.27 | 41.38 34.60–48.17 32.93–49.84 | — | 83% 14% |
| Passes | 577 509–644 491–662 | 394 328–461 310–478 | 971 837–1105 801–1140 | 94% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.29 72.26–80.32 70.97–81.62 | 72.37 68.04–76.69 66.73–78.00 | — | 67% 28% |
| Fouls | 9.84 7.01–12.68 6.25–13.44 | 11.69 8.74–14.63 8.00–15.38 | 21.53 15.75–27.32 14.25–28.82 | 31% 61% |
| Offsides | 1.82 0.65–2.98 0.35–3.28 | 2.71 1.62–3.80 1.33–4.09 | 4.52 2.27–6.78 1.68–7.37 | 25% 18% 57% |
| Yellow cards | 1.45 0.40–2.50 0.13–2.77 | 1.85 0.72–2.98 0.43–3.27 | 3.30 1.12–5.48 0.57–6.04 | 30% 23% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.07 1.64–4.51 1.25–4.90 | 4.64 3.08–6.19 2.66–6.62 | 7.71 4.72–10.70 3.91–11.51 | 23% 65% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+