Bundesliga·Regular Season - 32·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 32·Predicted match statistics
Goals
74%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.520.853.37safe1.55–3.490.00–1.711.55–5.19safer1.30–3.740.00–1.931.07–5.67
Shots on target
84%
homeawaytotalprediction6.603.029.61safe4.73–8.461.28–4.766.01–13.22safer4.24–8.950.81–5.235.05–14.17
Total shots
97%
homeawaytotalprediction19.038.8627.90safe15.11–22.965.30–12.4320.41–35.39safer14.02–24.054.34–13.3918.36–37.44
Shots in box
96%
homeawaytotalprediction12.755.1217.87safe9.81–15.692.44–7.8012.25–23.49safer8.98–16.521.70–8.5410.68–25.06
Blocked shots
85%
homeawaytotalprediction5.231.997.22safe3.35–7.110.34–3.653.69–10.76safer2.80–7.650.00–4.142.65–11.79
Corners
87%
homeawaytotalprediction6.972.919.88safe4.75–9.180.91–4.915.67–14.09safer4.18–9.750.38–5.454.56–15.20
Possession %
95%
homeawayprediction64.0435.70safe57.25–70.8328.91–42.48safer55.58–72.5027.24–44.16
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction609337946safe542–676271–403812–1079safer523–694253–421776–1115
Pass accuracy %
91%
homeawayprediction79.8768.83safe75.84–83.9064.51–73.15safer74.55–85.1963.20–74.46
Fouls
47%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0211.9023.92safe9.18–14.868.96–14.8518.14–29.70safer8.43–15.618.21–15.5916.63–31.21
Offsides
40%
23%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.641.553.18safe0.48–2.800.45–2.640.93–5.44safer0.17–3.100.16–2.930.34–6.03
Yellow cards
32%
22%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.571.923.49safe0.52–2.620.79–3.051.31–5.67safer0.25–2.880.50–3.340.75–6.23
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
77%
homeawaytotalprediction1.974.336.30safe0.53–3.402.78–5.893.31–9.30safer0.15–3.792.35–6.322.50–10.11
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.52 1.55–3.49 1.30–3.74 | 0.85 0.00–1.71 0.00–1.93 | 3.37 1.55–5.19 1.07–5.67 | 74% 16% |
| Shots on target | 6.60 4.73–8.46 4.24–8.95 | 3.02 1.28–4.76 0.81–5.23 | 9.61 6.01–13.22 5.05–14.17 | 84% |
| Total shots | 19.03 15.11–22.96 14.02–24.05 | 8.86 5.30–12.43 4.34–13.39 | 27.90 20.41–35.39 18.36–37.44 | 97% |
| Shots in box | 12.75 9.81–15.69 8.98–16.52 | 5.12 2.44–7.80 1.70–8.54 | 17.87 12.25–23.49 10.68–25.06 | 96% |
| Blocked shots | 5.23 3.35–7.11 2.80–7.65 | 1.99 0.34–3.65 0.00–4.14 | 7.22 3.69–10.76 2.65–11.79 | 85% |
| Corners | 6.97 4.75–9.18 4.18–9.75 | 2.91 0.91–4.91 0.38–5.45 | 9.88 5.67–14.09 4.56–15.20 | 87% |
| Possession % | 64.04 57.25–70.83 55.58–72.50 | 35.70 28.91–42.48 27.24–44.16 | — | 95% |
| Passes | 609 542–676 523–694 | 337 271–403 253–421 | 946 812–1079 776–1115 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.87 75.84–83.90 74.55–85.19 | 68.83 64.51–73.15 63.20–74.46 | — | 91% |
| Fouls | 12.02 9.18–14.86 8.43–15.61 | 11.90 8.96–14.85 8.21–15.59 | 23.92 18.14–29.70 16.63–31.21 | 47% 45% |
| Offsides | 1.64 0.48–2.80 0.17–3.10 | 1.55 0.45–2.64 0.16–2.93 | 3.18 0.93–5.44 0.34–6.03 | 40% 23% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.57 0.52–2.62 0.25–2.88 | 1.92 0.79–3.05 0.50–3.34 | 3.49 1.31–5.67 0.75–6.23 | 32% 22% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 1.97 0.53–3.40 0.15–3.79 | 4.33 2.78–5.89 2.35–6.32 | 6.30 3.31–9.30 2.50–10.11 | 77% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.