Bundesliga·Regular Season - 32·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 32·Predicted match statistics
Goals
65%
19%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.190.993.18safe1.22–3.160.14–1.851.36–5.00safer0.97–3.410.00–2.070.88–5.48
Shots on target
74%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction6.273.709.97safe4.41–8.131.96–5.446.36–13.57safer3.92–8.621.49–5.915.41–14.53
Total shots
92%
homeawaytotalprediction18.3210.3028.62safe14.39–22.246.74–13.8621.13–36.11safer13.30–23.335.78–14.8219.08–38.16
Shots in box
88%
homeawaytotalprediction11.956.5118.46safe9.01–14.893.83–9.1912.84–24.08safer8.18–15.723.09–9.9311.27–25.65
Blocked shots
72%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction5.102.988.08safe3.21–6.981.33–4.634.54–11.61safer2.67–7.520.83–5.133.51–12.65
Corners
77%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction6.433.6310.06safe4.22–8.641.63–5.635.84–14.27safer3.64–9.221.10–6.164.74–15.38
Possession %
79%
18%
homeawayprediction57.0642.39safe50.27–63.8535.60–49.17safer48.60–65.5233.93–50.84
Passes
88%
homeawaytotalprediction532392924safe465–599325–458790–1058safer447–617308–476755–1093
Pass accuracy %
66%
30%
homeawayprediction75.3971.78safe71.36–79.4267.45–76.10safer70.07–80.7266.14–77.41
Fouls
29%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction10.1512.2622.41safe7.31–12.999.32–15.2116.63–28.20safer6.56–13.748.57–15.9615.13–29.70
Offsides
43%
24%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.423.08safe0.50–2.820.33–2.510.83–5.34safer0.20–3.130.04–2.800.24–5.93
Yellow cards
23%
22%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.222.003.22safe0.17–2.270.87–3.131.04–5.40safer0.00–2.530.58–3.420.48–5.95
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.120.16safe0.00–0.200.00–0.310.00–0.50safer0.00–0.350.00–0.440.00–0.79
GK saves
23%
14%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction2.533.836.37safe1.10–3.972.28–5.393.37–9.36safer0.71–4.361.85–5.812.56–10.17
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.19 1.22–3.16 0.97–3.41 | 0.99 0.14–1.85 0.00–2.07 | 3.18 1.36–5.00 0.88–5.48 | 65% 19% 16% |
| Shots on target | 6.27 4.41–8.13 3.92–8.62 | 3.70 1.96–5.44 1.49–5.91 | 9.97 6.36–13.57 5.41–14.53 | 74% 16% |
| Total shots | 18.32 14.39–22.24 13.30–23.33 | 10.30 6.74–13.86 5.78–14.82 | 28.62 21.13–36.11 19.08–38.16 | 92% |
| Shots in box | 11.95 9.01–14.89 8.18–15.72 | 6.51 3.83–9.19 3.09–9.93 | 18.46 12.84–24.08 11.27–25.65 | 88% |
| Blocked shots | 5.10 3.21–6.98 2.67–7.52 | 2.98 1.33–4.63 0.83–5.13 | 8.08 4.54–11.61 3.51–12.65 | 72% 18% |
| Corners | 6.43 4.22–8.64 3.64–9.22 | 3.63 1.63–5.63 1.10–6.16 | 10.06 5.84–14.27 4.74–15.38 | 77% 15% |
| Possession % | 57.06 50.27–63.85 48.60–65.52 | 42.39 35.60–49.17 33.93–50.84 | — | 79% 18% |
| Passes | 532 465–599 447–617 | 392 325–458 308–476 | 924 790–1058 755–1093 | 88% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.39 71.36–79.42 70.07–80.72 | 71.78 67.45–76.10 66.14–77.41 | — | 66% 30% |
| Fouls | 10.15 7.31–12.99 6.56–13.74 | 12.26 9.32–15.21 8.57–15.96 | 22.41 16.63–28.20 15.13–29.70 | 29% 63% |
| Offsides | 1.66 0.50–2.82 0.20–3.13 | 1.42 0.33–2.51 0.04–2.80 | 3.08 0.83–5.34 0.24–5.93 | 43% 24% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.22 0.17–2.27 0.00–2.53 | 2.00 0.87–3.13 0.58–3.42 | 3.22 1.04–5.40 0.48–5.95 | 23% 22% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.53 1.10–3.97 0.71–4.36 | 3.83 2.28–5.39 1.85–5.81 | 6.37 3.37–9.36 2.56–10.17 | 23% 14% 62% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+