Bundesliga·Regular Season - 32·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 32·Predicted match statistics
Goals
19%
18%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction1.332.453.78safe0.36–2.291.60–3.311.96–5.60safer0.11–2.541.37–3.541.48–6.08
Shots on target
19%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction4.246.6310.87safe2.38–6.104.89–8.377.26–14.47safer1.89–6.594.42–8.846.31–15.43
Total shots
19%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3117.7231.03safe9.38–17.2314.16–21.2923.54–38.52safer8.29–18.3213.20–22.2521.49–40.57
Shots in box
19%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction8.6312.0920.72safe5.68–11.579.41–14.7815.10–26.34safer4.86–12.408.68–15.5113.53–27.91
Blocked shots
31%
13%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction3.824.778.58safe1.93–5.703.11–6.425.05–12.12safer1.39–6.242.62–6.914.01–13.15
Corners
29%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction4.675.9610.63safe2.46–6.883.96–7.966.42–14.85safer1.88–7.463.43–8.495.31–15.95
Possession %
89%
homeawayprediction39.3661.07safe32.57–46.1554.29–67.86safer30.90–47.8252.62–69.53
Passes
94%
homeawaytotalprediction368553921safe301–436486–619788–1055safer283–454469–637752–1091
Pass accuracy %
97%
homeawayprediction61.7777.25safe57.74–65.8072.92–81.57safer56.45–67.0971.61–82.88
Fouls
55%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5310.3821.91safe8.69–14.377.44–13.3316.13–27.69safer7.93–15.126.69–14.0814.62–29.20
Offsides
29%
21%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.562.083.64safe0.40–2.720.99–3.181.39–5.89safer0.10–3.020.70–3.460.80–6.48
Yellow cards
36%
25%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.431.492.92safe0.38–2.480.36–2.620.74–5.10safer0.11–2.740.07–2.910.19–5.66
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.070.14safe0.00–0.240.00–0.250.00–0.49safer0.00–0.390.00–0.390.00–0.77
GK saves
64%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction4.472.967.43safe3.04–5.911.40–4.524.44–10.42safer2.65–6.300.98–4.943.63–11.24
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.33 0.36–2.29 0.11–2.54 | 2.45 1.60–3.31 1.37–3.54 | 3.78 1.96–5.60 1.48–6.08 | 19% 18% 62% |
| Shots on target | 4.24 2.38–6.10 1.89–6.59 | 6.63 4.89–8.37 4.42–8.84 | 10.87 7.26–14.47 6.31–15.43 | 19% 72% |
| Total shots | 13.31 9.38–17.23 8.29–18.32 | 17.72 14.16–21.29 13.20–22.25 | 31.03 23.54–38.52 21.49–40.57 | 19% 76% |
| Shots in box | 8.63 5.68–11.57 4.86–12.40 | 12.09 9.41–14.78 8.68–15.51 | 20.72 15.10–26.34 13.53–27.91 | 19% 74% |
| Blocked shots | 3.82 1.93–5.70 1.39–6.24 | 4.77 3.11–6.42 2.62–6.91 | 8.58 5.05–12.12 4.01–13.15 | 31% 13% 56% |
| Corners | 4.67 2.46–6.88 1.88–7.46 | 5.96 3.96–7.96 3.43–8.49 | 10.63 6.42–14.85 5.31–15.95 | 29% 59% |
| Possession % | 39.36 32.57–46.15 30.90–47.82 | 61.07 54.29–67.86 52.62–69.53 | — | 89% |
| Passes | 368 301–436 283–454 | 553 486–619 469–637 | 921 788–1055 752–1091 | 94% |
| Pass accuracy % | 61.77 57.74–65.80 56.45–67.09 | 77.25 72.92–81.57 71.61–82.88 | — | 97% |
| Fouls | 11.53 8.69–14.37 7.93–15.12 | 10.38 7.44–13.33 6.69–14.08 | 21.91 16.13–27.69 14.62–29.20 | 55% 36% |
| Offsides | 1.56 0.40–2.72 0.10–3.02 | 2.08 0.99–3.18 0.70–3.46 | 3.64 1.39–5.89 0.80–6.48 | 29% 21% 50% |
| Yellow cards | 1.43 0.38–2.48 0.11–2.74 | 1.49 0.36–2.62 0.07–2.91 | 2.92 0.74–5.10 0.19–5.66 | 36% 25% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.07 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.39 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 4.47 3.04–5.91 2.65–6.30 | 2.96 1.40–4.52 0.98–4.94 | 7.43 4.44–10.42 3.63–11.24 | 64% 23% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.