Bundesliga·Regular Season - 32·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 32·Predicted match statistics
Goals
25%
23%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.181.772.96safe0.21–2.150.92–2.631.13–4.78safer0.00–2.400.69–2.860.65–5.26
Shots on target
30%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction3.975.018.99safe2.11–5.833.27–6.765.38–12.59safer1.62–6.322.80–7.224.42–13.55
Total shots
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6513.1325.78safe8.73–16.589.56–16.6918.29–33.27safer7.63–17.678.61–17.6516.24–35.32
Shots in box
40%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction8.408.9717.36safe5.45–11.346.29–11.6511.74–22.99safer4.62–12.175.55–12.3810.17–24.55
Blocked shots
25%
13%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction3.164.497.65safe1.28–5.052.84–6.144.12–11.19safer0.74–5.592.34–6.633.08–12.22
Corners
38%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction4.825.3310.15safe2.61–7.033.33–7.335.94–14.36safer2.03–7.612.79–7.864.83–15.47
Possession %
15%
82%
homeawayprediction42.4058.95safe35.61–49.1952.17–65.74safer33.94–50.8650.49–67.41
Passes
90%
homeawaytotalprediction380535915safe313–447468–601781–1049safer295–465451–619745–1084
Pass accuracy %
86%
homeawayprediction66.9875.70safe62.95–71.0171.38–80.03safer61.66–72.3070.07–81.33
Fouls
47%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6010.4421.05safe7.76–13.447.50–13.3915.26–26.83safer7.01–14.196.75–14.1413.76–28.33
Offsides
47%
22%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.981.623.60safe0.82–3.150.52–2.711.35–5.85safer0.52–3.450.23–3.000.76–6.44
Yellow cards
38%
22%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.771.823.60safe0.72–2.820.69–2.951.42–5.77safer0.46–3.090.40–3.240.86–6.33
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.090.18safe0.00–0.250.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.400.00–0.410.00–0.81
GK saves
45%
17%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.092.905.99safe1.65–4.531.35–4.463.00–8.99safer1.27–4.910.92–4.882.19–9.80
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.18 0.21–2.15 0.00–2.40 | 1.77 0.92–2.63 0.69–2.86 | 2.96 1.13–4.78 0.65–5.26 | 25% 23% 51% |
| Shots on target | 3.97 2.11–5.83 1.62–6.32 | 5.01 3.27–6.76 2.80–7.22 | 8.99 5.38–12.59 4.42–13.55 | 30% 57% |
| Total shots | 12.65 8.73–16.58 7.63–17.67 | 13.13 9.56–16.69 8.61–17.65 | 25.78 18.29–33.27 16.24–35.32 | 42% 50% |
| Shots in box | 8.40 5.45–11.34 4.62–12.17 | 8.97 6.29–11.65 5.55–12.38 | 17.36 11.74–22.99 10.17–24.55 | 40% 51% |
| Blocked shots | 3.16 1.28–5.05 0.74–5.59 | 4.49 2.84–6.14 2.34–6.63 | 7.65 4.12–11.19 3.08–12.22 | 25% 13% 62% |
| Corners | 4.82 2.61–7.03 2.03–7.61 | 5.33 3.33–7.33 2.79–7.86 | 10.15 5.94–14.36 4.83–15.47 | 38% 50% |
| Possession % | 42.40 35.61–49.19 33.94–50.86 | 58.95 52.17–65.74 50.49–67.41 | — | 15% 82% |
| Passes | 380 313–447 295–465 | 535 468–601 451–619 | 915 781–1049 745–1084 | 90% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.98 62.95–71.01 61.66–72.30 | 75.70 71.38–80.03 70.07–81.33 | — | 86% |
| Fouls | 10.60 7.76–13.44 7.01–14.19 | 10.44 7.50–13.39 6.75–14.14 | 21.05 15.26–26.83 13.76–28.33 | 47% 44% |
| Offsides | 1.98 0.82–3.15 0.52–3.45 | 1.62 0.52–2.71 0.23–3.00 | 3.60 1.35–5.85 0.76–6.44 | 47% 22% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.77 0.72–2.82 0.46–3.09 | 1.82 0.69–2.95 0.40–3.24 | 3.60 1.42–5.77 0.86–6.33 | 38% 22% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.09 1.65–4.53 1.27–4.91 | 2.90 1.35–4.46 0.92–4.88 | 5.99 3.00–8.99 2.19–9.80 | 45% 17% 39% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.