Bundesliga·Regular Season - 32·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 32·Predicted match statistics
Goals
21%
19%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction1.312.343.65safe0.35–2.281.48–3.191.83–5.47safer0.09–2.531.25–3.421.35–5.95
Shots on target
25%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction4.406.1110.51safe2.54–6.274.37–7.856.91–14.12safer2.05–6.763.90–8.325.95–15.07
Total shots
27%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3116.0729.38safe9.39–17.2412.51–19.6321.89–36.87safer8.29–18.3311.55–20.5919.84–38.92
Shots in box
16%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction8.1312.1720.30safe5.19–11.079.49–14.8514.67–25.92safer4.36–11.908.75–15.5913.11–27.49
Blocked shots
32%
14%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction3.534.347.88safe1.65–5.422.69–5.994.34–11.41safer1.11–5.962.20–6.493.31–12.45
Corners
24%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction4.326.1010.42safe2.11–6.544.10–8.106.20–14.63safer1.53–7.113.56–8.635.10–15.74
Possession %
19%
78%
homeawayprediction43.1857.08safe36.39–49.9750.29–63.86safer34.72–51.6448.62–65.53
Passes
16%
84%
homeawaytotalprediction390508899safe323–457442–575765–1032safer305–476424–592729–1068
Pass accuracy %
88%
homeawayprediction65.4975.03safe61.46–69.5270.70–79.35safer60.17–70.8169.39–80.66
Fouls
44%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9811.1422.12safe8.14–13.828.19–14.0816.34–27.90safer7.39–14.587.45–14.8314.83–29.41
Offsides
29%
21%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.522.033.55safe0.36–2.680.94–3.121.30–5.80safer0.06–2.980.65–3.410.71–6.39
Yellow cards
50%
22%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.941.433.38safe0.89–2.990.30–2.561.20–5.55safer0.63–3.260.01–2.850.64–6.11
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.100.20safe0.00–0.250.00–0.290.00–0.54safer0.00–0.400.00–0.420.00–0.83
GK saves
59%
14%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction3.942.836.77safe2.50–5.381.27–4.383.78–9.76safer2.12–5.760.85–4.812.96–10.57
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.31 0.35–2.28 0.09–2.53 | 2.34 1.48–3.19 1.25–3.42 | 3.65 1.83–5.47 1.35–5.95 | 21% 19% 60% |
| Shots on target | 4.40 2.54–6.27 2.05–6.76 | 6.11 4.37–7.85 3.90–8.32 | 10.51 6.91–14.12 5.95–15.07 | 25% 64% |
| Total shots | 13.31 9.39–17.24 8.29–18.33 | 16.07 12.51–19.63 11.55–20.59 | 29.38 21.89–36.87 19.84–38.92 | 27% 66% |
| Shots in box | 8.13 5.19–11.07 4.36–11.90 | 12.17 9.49–14.85 8.75–15.59 | 20.30 14.67–25.92 13.11–27.49 | 16% 78% |
| Blocked shots | 3.53 1.65–5.42 1.11–5.96 | 4.34 2.69–5.99 2.20–6.49 | 7.88 4.34–11.41 3.31–12.45 | 32% 14% 54% |
| Corners | 4.32 2.11–6.54 1.53–7.11 | 6.10 4.10–8.10 3.56–8.63 | 10.42 6.20–14.63 5.10–15.74 | 24% 65% |
| Possession % | 43.18 36.39–49.97 34.72–51.64 | 57.08 50.29–63.86 48.62–65.53 | — | 19% 78% |
| Passes | 390 323–457 305–476 | 508 442–575 424–592 | 899 765–1032 729–1068 | 16% 84% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.49 61.46–69.52 60.17–70.81 | 75.03 70.70–79.35 69.39–80.66 | — | 88% |
| Fouls | 10.98 8.14–13.82 7.39–14.58 | 11.14 8.19–14.08 7.45–14.83 | 22.12 16.34–27.90 14.83–29.41 | 44% 47% |
| Offsides | 1.52 0.36–2.68 0.06–2.98 | 2.03 0.94–3.12 0.65–3.41 | 3.55 1.30–5.80 0.71–6.39 | 29% 21% 50% |
| Yellow cards | 1.94 0.89–2.99 0.63–3.26 | 1.43 0.30–2.56 0.01–2.85 | 3.38 1.20–5.55 0.64–6.11 | 50% 22% 28% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.20 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.94 2.50–5.38 2.12–5.76 | 2.83 1.27–4.38 0.85–4.81 | 6.77 3.78–9.76 2.96–10.57 | 59% 14% 27% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+