Bundesliga·Regular Season - 32·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 32·Predicted match statistics
Goals
29%
22%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.501.973.47safe0.53–2.471.12–2.831.65–5.29safer0.28–2.720.89–3.051.17–5.77
Shots on target
32%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction4.865.8510.71safe3.00–6.724.11–7.597.11–14.32safer2.51–7.213.64–8.066.15–15.27
Total shots
41%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction14.2515.0429.29safe10.33–18.1811.48–18.6021.81–36.78safer9.24–19.2710.52–19.5619.76–38.83
Shots in box
36%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction9.5610.6120.17safe6.62–12.507.93–13.2914.55–25.80safer5.79–13.337.19–14.0312.98–27.36
Blocked shots
40%
14%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction4.114.368.47safe2.23–5.992.70–6.014.93–12.00safer1.68–6.542.21–6.503.90–13.04
Corners
31%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction4.785.9110.69safe2.57–6.993.91–7.916.48–14.90safer1.99–7.573.38–8.445.37–16.01
Possession %
20%
76%
homeawayprediction43.8956.96safe37.10–50.6850.17–63.74safer35.43–52.3548.50–65.41
Passes
16%
83%
homeawaytotalprediction385501886safe317–452435–568752–1019safer299–470417–585716–1055
Pass accuracy %
94%
homeawayprediction64.4176.79safe60.38–68.4472.46–81.11safer59.09–69.7371.15–82.42
Fouls
33%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4412.0322.47safe7.60–13.289.09–14.9816.69–28.26safer6.85–14.038.34–15.7315.19–29.76
Offsides
27%
20%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.562.233.79safe0.40–2.721.13–3.321.53–6.04safer0.10–3.020.84–3.610.95–6.63
Yellow cards
30%
22%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.481.903.38safe0.43–2.520.77–3.031.20–5.55safer0.16–2.790.48–3.320.64–6.11
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.100.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
50%
16%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.502.966.45safe2.06–4.931.40–4.513.46–9.45safer1.67–5.320.98–4.942.65–10.26
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.50 0.53–2.47 0.28–2.72 | 1.97 1.12–2.83 0.89–3.05 | 3.47 1.65–5.29 1.17–5.77 | 29% 22% 49% |
| Shots on target | 4.86 3.00–6.72 2.51–7.21 | 5.85 4.11–7.59 3.64–8.06 | 10.71 7.11–14.32 6.15–15.27 | 32% 56% |
| Total shots | 14.25 10.33–18.18 9.24–19.27 | 15.04 11.48–18.60 10.52–19.56 | 29.29 21.81–36.78 19.76–38.83 | 41% 52% |
| Shots in box | 9.56 6.62–12.50 5.79–13.33 | 10.61 7.93–13.29 7.19–14.03 | 20.17 14.55–25.80 12.98–27.36 | 36% 55% |
| Blocked shots | 4.11 2.23–5.99 1.68–6.54 | 4.36 2.70–6.01 2.21–6.50 | 8.47 4.93–12.00 3.90–13.04 | 40% 14% 46% |
| Corners | 4.78 2.57–6.99 1.99–7.57 | 5.91 3.91–7.91 3.38–8.44 | 10.69 6.48–14.90 5.37–16.01 | 31% 58% |
| Possession % | 43.89 37.10–50.68 35.43–52.35 | 56.96 50.17–63.74 48.50–65.41 | — | 20% 76% |
| Passes | 385 317–452 299–470 | 501 435–568 417–585 | 886 752–1019 716–1055 | 16% 83% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.41 60.38–68.44 59.09–69.73 | 76.79 72.46–81.11 71.15–82.42 | — | 94% |
| Fouls | 10.44 7.60–13.28 6.85–14.03 | 12.03 9.09–14.98 8.34–15.73 | 22.47 16.69–28.26 15.19–29.76 | 33% 59% |
| Offsides | 1.56 0.40–2.72 0.10–3.02 | 2.23 1.13–3.32 0.84–3.61 | 3.79 1.53–6.04 0.95–6.63 | 27% 20% 53% |
| Yellow cards | 1.48 0.43–2.52 0.16–2.79 | 1.90 0.77–3.03 0.48–3.32 | 3.38 1.20–5.55 0.64–6.11 | 30% 22% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.50 2.06–4.93 1.67–5.32 | 2.96 1.40–4.51 0.98–4.94 | 6.45 3.46–9.45 2.65–10.26 | 50% 16% 34% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.