Bundesliga·Regular Season - 32·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 32·Predicted match statistics
Goals
30%
22%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.531.963.49safe0.56–2.501.10–2.811.67–5.31safer0.31–2.750.88–3.041.19–5.79
Shots on target
27%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction4.766.2911.04safe2.89–6.624.54–8.037.44–14.65safer2.40–7.114.08–8.496.48–15.60
Total shots
24%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction14.2717.7232.00safe10.35–18.2014.16–21.2824.51–39.48safer9.26–19.2913.20–22.2422.46–41.53
Shots in box
25%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction9.0711.6820.75safe6.13–12.019.00–14.3615.13–26.37safer5.30–12.848.26–15.1013.56–27.94
Blocked shots
29%
13%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction3.644.738.37safe1.76–5.523.07–6.384.83–11.90safer1.22–6.072.58–6.873.80–12.94
Corners
33%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction4.925.8110.72safe2.70–7.133.81–7.816.51–14.94safer2.13–7.703.27–8.345.40–16.04
Possession %
55%
40%
homeawayprediction52.1949.09safe45.40–58.9842.31–55.88safer43.73–60.6540.63–57.55
Passes
56%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction469451920safe401–536385–518786–1053safer383–554367–535750–1089
Pass accuracy %
20%
76%
homeawayprediction68.6974.68safe64.66–72.7270.35–79.00safer63.37–74.0169.04–80.31
Fouls
20%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction10.0013.4923.49safe7.16–12.8410.55–16.4417.71–29.27safer6.41–13.609.80–17.1816.21–30.78
Offsides
24%
20%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.512.333.83safe0.34–2.671.23–3.421.58–6.09safer0.04–2.970.95–3.710.99–6.68
Yellow cards
28%
21%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.572.163.73safe0.52–2.621.03–3.291.55–5.91safer0.25–2.880.74–3.580.99–6.47
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.110.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
54%
15%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction3.853.076.92safe2.41–5.291.51–4.633.93–9.91safer2.03–5.671.09–5.053.12–10.73
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.53 0.56–2.50 0.31–2.75 | 1.96 1.10–2.81 0.88–3.04 | 3.49 1.67–5.31 1.19–5.79 | 30% 22% 48% |
| Shots on target | 4.76 2.89–6.62 2.40–7.11 | 6.29 4.54–8.03 4.08–8.49 | 11.04 7.44–14.65 6.48–15.60 | 27% 62% |
| Total shots | 14.27 10.35–18.20 9.26–19.29 | 17.72 14.16–21.28 13.20–22.24 | 32.00 24.51–39.48 22.46–41.53 | 24% 70% |
| Shots in box | 9.07 6.13–12.01 5.30–12.84 | 11.68 9.00–14.36 8.26–15.10 | 20.75 15.13–26.37 13.56–27.94 | 25% 68% |
| Blocked shots | 3.64 1.76–5.52 1.22–6.07 | 4.73 3.07–6.38 2.58–6.87 | 8.37 4.83–11.90 3.80–12.94 | 29% 13% 58% |
| Corners | 4.92 2.70–7.13 2.13–7.70 | 5.81 3.81–7.81 3.27–8.34 | 10.72 6.51–14.94 5.40–16.04 | 33% 55% |
| Possession % | 52.19 45.40–58.98 43.73–60.65 | 49.09 42.31–55.88 40.63–57.55 | — | 55% 40% |
| Passes | 469 401–536 383–554 | 451 385–518 367–535 | 920 786–1053 750–1089 | 56% 44% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.69 64.66–72.72 63.37–74.01 | 74.68 70.35–79.00 69.04–80.31 | — | 20% 76% |
| Fouls | 10.00 7.16–12.84 6.41–13.60 | 13.49 10.55–16.44 9.80–17.18 | 23.49 17.71–29.27 16.21–30.78 | 20% 73% |
| Offsides | 1.51 0.34–2.67 0.04–2.97 | 2.33 1.23–3.42 0.95–3.71 | 3.83 1.58–6.09 0.99–6.68 | 24% 20% 56% |
| Yellow cards | 1.57 0.52–2.62 0.25–2.88 | 2.16 1.03–3.29 0.74–3.58 | 3.73 1.55–5.91 0.99–6.47 | 28% 21% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.85 2.41–5.29 2.03–5.67 | 3.07 1.51–4.63 1.09–5.05 | 6.92 3.93–9.91 3.12–10.73 | 54% 15% 31% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.