Bundesliga·Regular Season - 33·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 33·Predicted match statistics
Goals
37%
24%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.521.593.11safe0.55–2.490.74–2.451.29–4.93safer0.30–2.740.51–2.670.81–5.41
Shots on target
42%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction5.135.3110.43safe3.26–6.993.56–7.056.83–14.04safer2.77–7.483.10–7.515.87–14.99
Total shots
64%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction16.3213.8330.14safe12.39–20.2410.27–17.3922.66–37.63safer11.30–21.339.31–18.3520.61–39.68
Shots in box
57%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction10.449.2119.65safe7.50–13.396.53–11.8914.03–25.28safer6.67–14.225.79–12.6312.46–26.84
Blocked shots
54%
13%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction4.673.878.55safe2.79–6.552.22–5.535.01–12.08safer2.25–7.101.73–6.023.98–13.12
Corners
57%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.874.7910.66safe3.66–8.082.79–6.796.45–14.87safer3.08–8.662.26–7.335.34–15.98
Possession %
52%
43%
homeawayprediction50.4848.60safe43.69–57.2741.82–55.39safer42.02–58.9440.15–57.06
Passes
59%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction461434895safe394–528368–501762–1029safer376–546350–518726–1065
Pass accuracy %
36%
59%
homeawayprediction68.5870.93safe64.55–72.6166.61–75.26safer63.26–73.9065.30–76.57
Fouls
48%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9211.6223.54safe9.08–14.758.68–14.5717.76–29.32safer8.32–15.517.93–15.3216.25–30.83
Offsides
52%
22%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction2.001.353.35safe0.84–3.160.26–2.451.10–5.60safer0.54–3.460.00–2.730.51–6.19
Yellow cards
35%
23%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.571.763.33safe0.52–2.620.63–2.891.15–5.51safer0.25–2.880.34–3.180.59–6.07
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.110.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.430.00–0.80
GK saves
36%
15%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction3.303.787.08safe1.87–4.742.22–5.334.09–10.08safer1.48–5.131.80–5.763.28–10.89
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.52 0.55–2.49 0.30–2.74 | 1.59 0.74–2.45 0.51–2.67 | 3.11 1.29–4.93 0.81–5.41 | 37% 24% 40% |
| Shots on target | 5.13 3.26–6.99 2.77–7.48 | 5.31 3.56–7.05 3.10–7.51 | 10.43 6.83–14.04 5.87–14.99 | 42% 46% |
| Total shots | 16.32 12.39–20.24 11.30–21.33 | 13.83 10.27–17.39 9.31–18.35 | 30.14 22.66–37.63 20.61–39.68 | 64% 29% |
| Shots in box | 10.44 7.50–13.39 6.67–14.22 | 9.21 6.53–11.89 5.79–12.63 | 19.65 14.03–25.28 12.46–26.84 | 57% 35% |
| Blocked shots | 4.67 2.79–6.55 2.25–7.10 | 3.87 2.22–5.53 1.73–6.02 | 8.55 5.01–12.08 3.98–13.12 | 54% 13% 33% |
| Corners | 5.87 3.66–8.08 3.08–8.66 | 4.79 2.79–6.79 2.26–7.33 | 10.66 6.45–14.87 5.34–15.98 | 57% 31% |
| Possession % | 50.48 43.69–57.27 42.02–58.94 | 48.60 41.82–55.39 40.15–57.06 | — | 52% 43% |
| Passes | 461 394–528 376–546 | 434 368–501 350–518 | 895 762–1029 726–1065 | 59% 41% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.58 64.55–72.61 63.26–73.90 | 70.93 66.61–75.26 65.30–76.57 | — | 36% 59% |
| Fouls | 11.92 9.08–14.75 8.32–15.51 | 11.62 8.68–14.57 7.93–15.32 | 23.54 17.76–29.32 16.25–30.83 | 48% 43% |
| Offsides | 2.00 0.84–3.16 0.54–3.46 | 1.35 0.26–2.45 0.00–2.73 | 3.35 1.10–5.60 0.51–6.19 | 52% 22% 26% |
| Yellow cards | 1.57 0.52–2.62 0.25–2.88 | 1.76 0.63–2.89 0.34–3.18 | 3.33 1.15–5.51 0.59–6.07 | 35% 23% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.30 1.87–4.74 1.48–5.13 | 3.78 2.22–5.33 1.80–5.76 | 7.08 4.09–10.08 3.28–10.89 | 36% 15% 49% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+