Bundesliga·Regular Season - 33·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 33·Predicted match statistics
Goals
17%
19%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction1.082.293.37safe0.11–2.041.44–3.141.54–5.19safer0.00–2.301.21–3.371.06–5.67
Shots on target
19%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction3.745.999.73safe1.87–5.604.25–7.736.12–13.33safer1.38–6.093.78–8.205.17–14.29
Total shots
15%
80%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9515.7726.72safe7.02–14.8712.21–19.3319.23–34.20safer5.93–15.9611.25–20.2917.18–36.26
Shots in box
83%
homeawaytotalprediction6.5010.8817.38safe3.56–9.448.20–13.5611.75–23.00safer2.73–10.277.46–14.3010.19–24.57
Blocked shots
24%
13%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction3.064.467.52safe1.18–4.942.81–6.113.99–11.06safer0.63–5.492.32–6.612.95–12.09
Corners
22%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction3.755.589.33safe1.54–5.963.58–7.585.11–13.54safer0.96–6.543.05–8.114.01–14.65
Possession %
18%
79%
homeawayprediction43.2957.80safe36.50–50.0851.02–64.59safer34.83–51.7549.35–66.26
Passes
18%
82%
homeawaytotalprediction390499889safe323–457433–566756–1023safer305–475415–583720–1059
Pass accuracy %
86%
homeawayprediction66.5775.58safe62.54–70.6071.25–79.90safer61.24–71.8969.94–81.21
Fouls
51%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1411.5223.65safe9.30–14.978.57–14.4617.87–29.43safer8.54–15.737.82–15.2116.36–30.94
Offsides
46%
24%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.691.343.02safe0.53–2.850.24–2.430.77–5.28safer0.23–3.150.00–2.720.18–5.87
Yellow cards
40%
22%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.821.783.61safe0.78–2.870.65–2.911.43–5.79safer0.51–3.140.36–3.200.87–6.34
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.090.20safe0.00–0.260.00–0.280.00–0.55safer0.00–0.410.00–0.410.00–0.83
GK saves
61%
14%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction3.802.556.35safe2.36–5.241.00–4.113.36–9.35safer1.98–5.620.57–4.532.55–10.16
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.08 0.11–2.04 0.00–2.30 | 2.29 1.44–3.14 1.21–3.37 | 3.37 1.54–5.19 1.06–5.67 | 17% 19% 65% |
| Shots on target | 3.74 1.87–5.60 1.38–6.09 | 5.99 4.25–7.73 3.78–8.20 | 9.73 6.12–13.33 5.17–14.29 | 19% 71% |
| Total shots | 10.95 7.02–14.87 5.93–15.96 | 15.77 12.21–19.33 11.25–20.29 | 26.72 19.23–34.20 17.18–36.26 | 15% 80% |
| Shots in box | 6.50 3.56–9.44 2.73–10.27 | 10.88 8.20–13.56 7.46–14.30 | 17.38 11.75–23.00 10.19–24.57 | 83% |
| Blocked shots | 3.06 1.18–4.94 0.63–5.49 | 4.46 2.81–6.11 2.32–6.61 | 7.52 3.99–11.06 2.95–12.09 | 24% 13% 63% |
| Corners | 3.75 1.54–5.96 0.96–6.54 | 5.58 3.58–7.58 3.05–8.11 | 9.33 5.11–13.54 4.01–14.65 | 22% 67% |
| Possession % | 43.29 36.50–50.08 34.83–51.75 | 57.80 51.02–64.59 49.35–66.26 | — | 18% 79% |
| Passes | 390 323–457 305–475 | 499 433–566 415–583 | 889 756–1023 720–1059 | 18% 82% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.57 62.54–70.60 61.24–71.89 | 75.58 71.25–79.90 69.94–81.21 | — | 86% |
| Fouls | 12.14 9.30–14.97 8.54–15.73 | 11.52 8.57–14.46 7.82–15.21 | 23.65 17.87–29.43 16.36–30.94 | 51% 41% |
| Offsides | 1.69 0.53–2.85 0.23–3.15 | 1.34 0.24–2.43 0.00–2.72 | 3.02 0.77–5.28 0.18–5.87 | 46% 24% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 1.82 0.78–2.87 0.51–3.14 | 1.78 0.65–2.91 0.36–3.20 | 3.61 1.43–5.79 0.87–6.34 | 40% 22% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.80 2.36–5.24 1.98–5.62 | 2.55 1.00–4.11 0.57–4.53 | 6.35 3.36–9.35 2.55–10.16 | 61% 14% 24% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+