Bundesliga·Regular Season - 33·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 33·Predicted match statistics
Goals
62%
19%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction2.261.183.44safe1.29–3.230.32–2.031.62–5.26safer1.04–3.480.10–2.261.14–5.74
Shots on target
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction6.243.9710.21safe4.38–8.102.23–5.726.61–13.82safer3.89–8.591.77–6.185.65–14.77
Total shots
82%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction16.3411.1427.48safe12.42–20.277.57–14.7019.99–34.97safer11.33–21.366.61–15.6617.94–37.02
Shots in box
78%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction11.517.7119.23safe8.57–14.465.03–10.3913.60–24.85safer7.74–15.294.29–11.1312.04–26.42
Blocked shots
60%
13%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction4.493.257.74safe2.60–6.371.60–4.914.20–11.28safer2.06–6.911.11–5.403.17–12.31
Corners
69%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction6.174.0610.23safe3.95–8.382.06–6.066.02–14.44safer3.38–8.961.53–6.604.91–15.55
Possession %
80%
16%
homeawayprediction57.6142.09safe50.82–64.4035.31–48.88safer49.15–66.0733.64–50.55
Passes
92%
homeawaytotalprediction569400969safe502–636333–466835–1103safer484–655316–484800–1138
Pass accuracy %
65%
30%
homeawayprediction73.5169.94safe69.48–77.5465.62–74.26safer68.19–78.8464.31–75.57
Fouls
50%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8910.3421.23safe8.06–13.737.39–13.2815.45–27.01safer7.30–14.496.64–14.0313.94–28.51
Offsides
56%
20%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction2.281.453.73safe1.12–3.440.36–2.541.48–5.99safer0.82–3.740.07–2.830.89–6.58
Yellow cards
33%
25%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.301.512.80safe0.25–2.340.38–2.640.62–4.98safer0.00–2.610.09–2.930.07–5.54
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.080.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.270.00–0.48safer0.00–0.360.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
26%
14%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction2.773.946.71safe1.33–4.202.38–5.503.72–9.70safer0.94–4.591.96–5.922.90–10.51
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.26 1.29–3.23 1.04–3.48 | 1.18 0.32–2.03 0.10–2.26 | 3.44 1.62–5.26 1.14–5.74 | 62% 19% 19% |
| Shots on target | 6.24 4.38–8.10 3.89–8.59 | 3.97 2.23–5.72 1.77–6.18 | 10.21 6.61–13.82 5.65–14.77 | 71% 19% |
| Total shots | 16.34 12.42–20.27 11.33–21.36 | 11.14 7.57–14.70 6.61–15.66 | 27.48 19.99–34.97 17.94–37.02 | 82% 14% |
| Shots in box | 11.51 8.57–14.46 7.74–15.29 | 7.71 5.03–10.39 4.29–11.13 | 19.23 13.60–24.85 12.04–26.42 | 78% 16% |
| Blocked shots | 4.49 2.60–6.37 2.06–6.91 | 3.25 1.60–4.91 1.11–5.40 | 7.74 4.20–11.28 3.17–12.31 | 60% 13% 26% |
| Corners | 6.17 3.95–8.38 3.38–8.96 | 4.06 2.06–6.06 1.53–6.60 | 10.23 6.02–14.44 4.91–15.55 | 69% 21% |
| Possession % | 57.61 50.82–64.40 49.15–66.07 | 42.09 35.31–48.88 33.64–50.55 | — | 80% 16% |
| Passes | 569 502–636 484–655 | 400 333–466 316–484 | 969 835–1103 800–1138 | 92% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.51 69.48–77.54 68.19–78.84 | 69.94 65.62–74.26 64.31–75.57 | — | 65% 30% |
| Fouls | 10.89 8.06–13.73 7.30–14.49 | 10.34 7.39–13.28 6.64–14.03 | 21.23 15.45–27.01 13.94–28.51 | 50% 41% |
| Offsides | 2.28 1.12–3.44 0.82–3.74 | 1.45 0.36–2.54 0.07–2.83 | 3.73 1.48–5.99 0.89–6.58 | 56% 20% 24% |
| Yellow cards | 1.30 0.25–2.34 0.00–2.61 | 1.51 0.38–2.64 0.09–2.93 | 2.80 0.62–4.98 0.07–5.54 | 33% 25% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.77 1.33–4.20 0.94–4.59 | 3.94 2.38–5.50 1.96–5.92 | 6.71 3.72–9.70 2.90–10.51 | 26% 14% 60% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.