Bundesliga·Regular Season - 33·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 33·Predicted match statistics
Goals
74%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.630.913.55safe1.66–3.600.06–1.771.72–5.37safer1.41–3.850.00–1.991.24–5.85
Shots on target
83%
homeawaytotalprediction7.113.5310.64safe5.25–8.971.79–5.277.03–14.24safer4.76–9.461.32–5.746.08–15.20
Total shots
97%
homeawaytotalprediction20.069.4629.51safe16.13–23.985.89–13.0222.03–37.00safer15.04–25.074.93–13.9819.98–39.05
Shots in box
95%
homeawaytotalprediction13.606.1119.71safe10.65–16.543.43–8.7914.08–25.33safer9.83–17.372.69–9.5312.51–26.90
Blocked shots
82%
homeawaytotalprediction5.552.478.02safe3.67–7.440.82–4.124.49–11.56safer3.13–7.980.32–4.613.45–12.59
Corners
88%
homeawaytotalprediction7.533.2310.76safe5.32–9.751.23–5.236.55–14.97safer4.75–10.320.69–5.765.44–16.08
Possession %
91%
homeawayprediction61.6038.18safe54.81–68.3931.39–44.96safer53.14–70.0629.72–46.64
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction603373976safe536–671306–439842–1110safer518–689289–457807–1145
Pass accuracy %
84%
homeawayprediction78.9670.64safe74.93–82.9966.32–74.97safer73.64–84.2865.01–76.28
Fouls
48%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction9.859.5619.42safe7.02–12.696.62–12.5113.63–25.20safer6.26–13.455.87–13.2612.13–26.70
Offsides
38%
21%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.841.933.77safe0.68–3.000.83–3.021.51–6.02safer0.38–3.300.55–3.310.92–6.61
Yellow cards
25%
23%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.161.782.94safe0.11–2.210.65–2.910.76–5.12safer0.00–2.480.36–3.200.20–5.67
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.120.16safe0.00–0.200.00–0.310.00–0.51safer0.00–0.350.00–0.440.00–0.79
GK saves
18%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction2.404.216.60safe0.96–3.832.65–5.773.61–9.60safer0.57–4.222.23–6.192.80–10.41
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.63 1.66–3.60 1.41–3.85 | 0.91 0.06–1.77 0.00–1.99 | 3.55 1.72–5.37 1.24–5.85 | 74% 15% |
| Shots on target | 7.11 5.25–8.97 4.76–9.46 | 3.53 1.79–5.27 1.32–5.74 | 10.64 7.03–14.24 6.08–15.20 | 83% |
| Total shots | 20.06 16.13–23.98 15.04–25.07 | 9.46 5.89–13.02 4.93–13.98 | 29.51 22.03–37.00 19.98–39.05 | 97% |
| Shots in box | 13.60 10.65–16.54 9.83–17.37 | 6.11 3.43–8.79 2.69–9.53 | 19.71 14.08–25.33 12.51–26.90 | 95% |
| Blocked shots | 5.55 3.67–7.44 3.13–7.98 | 2.47 0.82–4.12 0.32–4.61 | 8.02 4.49–11.56 3.45–12.59 | 82% |
| Corners | 7.53 5.32–9.75 4.75–10.32 | 3.23 1.23–5.23 0.69–5.76 | 10.76 6.55–14.97 5.44–16.08 | 88% |
| Possession % | 61.60 54.81–68.39 53.14–70.06 | 38.18 31.39–44.96 29.72–46.64 | — | 91% |
| Passes | 603 536–671 518–689 | 373 306–439 289–457 | 976 842–1110 807–1145 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.96 74.93–82.99 73.64–84.28 | 70.64 66.32–74.97 65.01–76.28 | — | 84% |
| Fouls | 9.85 7.02–12.69 6.26–13.45 | 9.56 6.62–12.51 5.87–13.26 | 19.42 13.63–25.20 12.13–26.70 | 48% 43% |
| Offsides | 1.84 0.68–3.00 0.38–3.30 | 1.93 0.83–3.02 0.55–3.31 | 3.77 1.51–6.02 0.92–6.61 | 38% 21% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 1.16 0.11–2.21 0.00–2.48 | 1.78 0.65–2.91 0.36–3.20 | 2.94 0.76–5.12 0.20–5.67 | 25% 23% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.40 0.96–3.83 0.57–4.22 | 4.21 2.65–5.77 2.23–6.19 | 6.60 3.61–9.60 2.80–10.41 | 18% 69% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+