Bundesliga·Regular Season - 33·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 33·Predicted match statistics
Goals
57%
20%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction2.271.413.68safe1.30–3.240.56–2.271.86–5.51safer1.05–3.490.33–2.501.38–5.99
Shots on target
64%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction6.534.8611.38safe4.66–8.393.11–6.607.78–14.99safer4.17–8.882.65–7.066.82–15.94
Total shots
79%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction18.2613.2831.54safe14.34–22.199.72–16.8424.06–39.03safer13.25–23.288.76–17.8022.01–41.08
Shots in box
71%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction12.249.2221.46safe9.30–15.186.54–11.9015.84–27.08safer8.47–16.015.80–12.6414.27–28.65
Blocked shots
48%
14%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction4.584.198.77safe2.70–6.462.53–5.845.23–12.30safer2.16–7.012.04–6.334.20–13.34
Corners
68%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction6.504.4310.93safe4.28–8.712.43–6.436.71–15.14safer3.71–9.281.90–6.975.61–16.25
Possession %
64%
32%
homeawayprediction54.0947.12safe47.30–60.8840.33–53.90safer45.63–62.5538.66–55.57
Passes
75%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction538456993safe470–605389–522859–1127safer452–623372–540824–1162
Pass accuracy %
42%
52%
homeawayprediction73.2774.24safe69.24–77.3069.91–78.56safer67.95–78.5968.60–79.87
Fouls
48%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9710.6621.63safe8.13–13.817.71–13.6015.85–27.41safer7.38–14.566.97–14.3514.34–28.91
Offsides
70%
15%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.951.354.31safe1.79–4.110.26–2.452.05–6.56safer1.49–4.420.00–2.731.46–7.15
Yellow cards
31%
22%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.481.893.37safe0.44–2.530.76–3.011.19–5.55safer0.17–2.800.47–3.310.63–6.11
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
33%
15%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction3.213.837.03safe1.77–4.642.27–5.384.04–10.03safer1.38–5.031.85–5.813.23–10.84
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.27 1.30–3.24 1.05–3.49 | 1.41 0.56–2.27 0.33–2.50 | 3.68 1.86–5.51 1.38–5.99 | 57% 20% 23% |
| Shots on target | 6.53 4.66–8.39 4.17–8.88 | 4.86 3.11–6.60 2.65–7.06 | 11.38 7.78–14.99 6.82–15.94 | 64% 26% |
| Total shots | 18.26 14.34–22.19 13.25–23.28 | 13.28 9.72–16.84 8.76–17.80 | 31.54 24.06–39.03 22.01–41.08 | 79% 16% |
| Shots in box | 12.24 9.30–15.18 8.47–16.01 | 9.22 6.54–11.90 5.80–12.64 | 21.46 15.84–27.08 14.27–28.65 | 71% 22% |
| Blocked shots | 4.58 2.70–6.46 2.16–7.01 | 4.19 2.53–5.84 2.04–6.33 | 8.77 5.23–12.30 4.20–13.34 | 48% 14% 38% |
| Corners | 6.50 4.28–8.71 3.71–9.28 | 4.43 2.43–6.43 1.90–6.97 | 10.93 6.71–15.14 5.61–16.25 | 68% 22% |
| Possession % | 54.09 47.30–60.88 45.63–62.55 | 47.12 40.33–53.90 38.66–55.57 | — | 64% 32% |
| Passes | 538 470–605 452–623 | 456 389–522 372–540 | 993 859–1127 824–1162 | 75% 25% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.27 69.24–77.30 67.95–78.59 | 74.24 69.91–78.56 68.60–79.87 | — | 42% 52% |
| Fouls | 10.97 8.13–13.81 7.38–14.56 | 10.66 7.71–13.60 6.97–14.35 | 21.63 15.85–27.41 14.34–28.91 | 48% 43% |
| Offsides | 2.95 1.79–4.11 1.49–4.42 | 1.35 0.26–2.45 0.00–2.73 | 4.31 2.05–6.56 1.46–7.15 | 70% 15% 15% |
| Yellow cards | 1.48 0.44–2.53 0.17–2.80 | 1.89 0.76–3.01 0.47–3.31 | 3.37 1.19–5.55 0.63–6.11 | 31% 22% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.21 1.77–4.64 1.38–5.03 | 3.83 2.27–5.38 1.85–5.81 | 7.03 4.04–10.03 3.23–10.84 | 33% 15% 52% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+