Bundesliga·Regular Season - 33·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 33·Predicted match statistics
Goals
38%
24%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.501.523.02safe0.54–2.470.66–2.371.20–4.84safer0.28–2.720.43–2.600.72–5.32
Shots on target
53%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction5.174.459.62safe3.30–7.032.71–6.196.01–13.22safer2.81–7.522.24–6.665.06–14.18
Total shots
70%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction15.6112.3827.99safe11.69–19.548.81–15.9420.50–35.48safer10.60–20.637.86–16.9018.45–37.53
Shots in box
58%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction10.318.9619.27safe7.36–13.256.28–11.6413.64–24.89safer6.54–14.085.54–12.3812.08–26.46
Blocked shots
54%
13%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction4.673.838.50safe2.79–6.552.18–5.484.96–12.03safer2.24–7.091.69–5.983.93–13.07
Corners
51%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction5.564.9910.55safe3.34–7.772.99–6.996.34–14.76safer2.77–8.352.46–7.525.23–15.87
Possession %
72%
25%
homeawayprediction55.8045.13safe49.01–62.5938.35–51.92safer47.34–64.2636.68–53.59
Passes
79%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction474378852safe406–541312–445718–986safer388–559294–462683–1021
Pass accuracy %
48%
47%
homeawayprediction69.8069.74safe65.77–73.8265.42–74.07safer64.47–75.1264.11–75.38
Fouls
47%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7611.5723.33safe8.92–14.598.63–14.5217.55–29.11safer8.16–15.357.88–15.2716.04–30.62
Offsides
43%
23%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.751.543.29safe0.59–2.910.45–2.631.03–5.54safer0.28–3.210.16–2.920.44–6.13
Yellow cards
35%
21%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.741.973.70safe0.69–2.790.84–3.101.53–5.88safer0.42–3.050.55–3.390.97–6.44
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.100.19safe0.00–0.250.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.400.00–0.420.00–0.82
GK saves
33%
16%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction2.833.396.21safe1.39–4.261.83–4.943.22–9.20safer1.00–4.651.40–5.372.41–10.02
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.50 0.54–2.47 0.28–2.72 | 1.52 0.66–2.37 0.43–2.60 | 3.02 1.20–4.84 0.72–5.32 | 38% 24% 38% |
| Shots on target | 5.17 3.30–7.03 2.81–7.52 | 4.45 2.71–6.19 2.24–6.66 | 9.62 6.01–13.22 5.06–14.18 | 53% 35% |
| Total shots | 15.61 11.69–19.54 10.60–20.63 | 12.38 8.81–15.94 7.86–16.90 | 27.99 20.50–35.48 18.45–37.53 | 70% 24% |
| Shots in box | 10.31 7.36–13.25 6.54–14.08 | 8.96 6.28–11.64 5.54–12.38 | 19.27 13.64–24.89 12.08–26.46 | 58% 34% |
| Blocked shots | 4.67 2.79–6.55 2.24–7.09 | 3.83 2.18–5.48 1.69–5.98 | 8.50 4.96–12.03 3.93–13.07 | 54% 13% 32% |
| Corners | 5.56 3.34–7.77 2.77–8.35 | 4.99 2.99–6.99 2.46–7.52 | 10.55 6.34–14.76 5.23–15.87 | 51% 37% |
| Possession % | 55.80 49.01–62.59 47.34–64.26 | 45.13 38.35–51.92 36.68–53.59 | — | 72% 25% |
| Passes | 474 406–541 388–559 | 378 312–445 294–462 | 852 718–986 683–1021 | 79% 21% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.80 65.77–73.82 64.47–75.12 | 69.74 65.42–74.07 64.11–75.38 | — | 48% 47% |
| Fouls | 11.76 8.92–14.59 8.16–15.35 | 11.57 8.63–14.52 7.88–15.27 | 23.33 17.55–29.11 16.04–30.62 | 47% 44% |
| Offsides | 1.75 0.59–2.91 0.28–3.21 | 1.54 0.45–2.63 0.16–2.92 | 3.29 1.03–5.54 0.44–6.13 | 43% 23% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.74 0.69–2.79 0.42–3.05 | 1.97 0.84–3.10 0.55–3.39 | 3.70 1.53–5.88 0.97–6.44 | 35% 21% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.83 1.39–4.26 1.00–4.65 | 3.39 1.83–4.94 1.40–5.37 | 6.21 3.22–9.20 2.41–10.02 | 33% 16% 51% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.