Bundesliga·Regular Season - 33·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 33·Predicted match statistics
Goals
18%
20%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction1.072.143.22safe0.11–2.041.29–3.001.39–5.04safer0.00–2.291.06–3.220.91–5.52
Shots on target
23%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction3.945.769.70safe2.08–5.804.01–7.506.09–13.30safer1.59–6.293.55–7.975.14–14.26
Total shots
22%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2315.8028.03safe8.31–16.1612.23–19.3620.54–35.52safer7.22–17.2511.27–20.3218.49–37.57
Shots in box
16%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction7.1010.7017.81safe4.16–10.058.02–13.3812.18–23.43safer3.33–10.887.28–14.1210.62–25.00
Blocked shots
24%
13%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction2.944.297.24safe1.06–4.832.64–5.953.70–10.77safer0.52–5.372.15–6.442.66–11.81
Corners
23%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction3.925.749.66safe1.71–6.143.74–7.745.45–13.88safer1.14–6.713.21–8.284.34–14.99
Possession %
94%
homeawayprediction36.9463.63safe30.15–43.7356.84–70.41safer28.48–45.4055.17–72.08
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction3746431017safe307–442576–709883–1151safer289–460559–727848–1187
Pass accuracy %
92%
homeawayprediction73.0284.31safe68.99–77.0579.99–88.64safer67.70–78.3478.68–89.95
Fouls
63%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3210.2222.54safe9.49–15.167.27–13.1616.76–28.32safer8.73–15.926.52–13.9115.25–29.83
Offsides
48%
20%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction2.281.874.15safe1.12–3.440.78–2.971.90–6.40safer0.82–3.740.49–3.251.31–6.99
Yellow cards
44%
21%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction2.021.803.81safe0.97–3.070.67–2.931.64–5.99safer0.70–3.330.38–3.221.08–6.55
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.080.18safe0.00–0.260.00–0.270.00–0.53safer0.00–0.410.00–0.400.00–0.81
GK saves
61%
15%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction3.632.466.09safe2.20–5.070.90–4.023.10–9.09safer1.81–5.460.48–4.442.29–9.90
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.07 0.11–2.04 0.00–2.29 | 2.14 1.29–3.00 1.06–3.22 | 3.22 1.39–5.04 0.91–5.52 | 18% 20% 62% |
| Shots on target | 3.94 2.08–5.80 1.59–6.29 | 5.76 4.01–7.50 3.55–7.97 | 9.70 6.09–13.30 5.14–14.26 | 23% 66% |
| Total shots | 12.23 8.31–16.16 7.22–17.25 | 15.80 12.23–19.36 11.27–20.32 | 28.03 20.54–35.52 18.49–37.57 | 22% 72% |
| Shots in box | 7.10 4.16–10.05 3.33–10.88 | 10.70 8.02–13.38 7.28–14.12 | 17.81 12.18–23.43 10.62–25.00 | 16% 77% |
| Blocked shots | 2.94 1.06–4.83 0.52–5.37 | 4.29 2.64–5.95 2.15–6.44 | 7.24 3.70–10.77 2.66–11.81 | 24% 13% 62% |
| Corners | 3.92 1.71–6.14 1.14–6.71 | 5.74 3.74–7.74 3.21–8.28 | 9.66 5.45–13.88 4.34–14.99 | 23% 66% |
| Possession % | 36.94 30.15–43.73 28.48–45.40 | 63.63 56.84–70.41 55.17–72.08 | — | 94% |
| Passes | 374 307–442 289–460 | 643 576–709 559–727 | 1017 883–1151 848–1187 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.02 68.99–77.05 67.70–78.34 | 84.31 79.99–88.64 78.68–89.95 | — | 92% |
| Fouls | 12.32 9.49–15.16 8.73–15.92 | 10.22 7.27–13.16 6.52–13.91 | 22.54 16.76–28.32 15.25–29.83 | 63% 29% |
| Offsides | 2.28 1.12–3.44 0.82–3.74 | 1.87 0.78–2.97 0.49–3.25 | 4.15 1.90–6.40 1.31–6.99 | 48% 20% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 2.02 0.97–3.07 0.70–3.33 | 1.80 0.67–2.93 0.38–3.22 | 3.81 1.64–5.99 1.08–6.55 | 44% 21% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.63 2.20–5.07 1.81–5.46 | 2.46 0.90–4.02 0.48–4.44 | 6.09 3.10–9.09 2.29–9.90 | 61% 15% 25% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+